Verifiable-Terrarium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-08 08:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% — —

Politics

41% 100% +$88

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes		+20	$1	6¢	$1	+$0	06-22 09:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	20	$1.5K	1,094	1,094	+0	No	+$1	05-10 11:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$970	834	834	+0	open	—	05-09 03:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	6	$870	441	441	+0	No	+$1	05-09 01:21
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	10	$821	416	416	+0	open	—	05-07 00:47
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	15	$683	697	697	+0	open	—	04-13 21:37
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	15	$679	829	828	+1	open	—	04-12 15:22
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	5	$593	310	310	+0	open	—	03-31 09:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$487	255	255	+0	open	—	05-11 05:23
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	5	$348	474	474	+0	open	—	03-30 06:48
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$345	180	180	+0	open	—	04-10 04:05
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	4	$329	168	168	+0	No	+$0	04-20 05:37
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	5	$328	170	170	+0	open	—	04-14 03:55
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 30 2026	2	$320	170	170	+0	open	—	03-28 23:29
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$313	159	159	+0	open	—	04-09 00:41
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$312	163	163	+0	open	—	04-03 13:58
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	3	$312	161	161	+0	open	—	04-03 00:53
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	3	$311	160	160	+0	open	—	04-02 12:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$307	159	159	+0	open	—	04-02 05:30
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	4	$303	154	154	+0	open	—	03-31 18:16
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	4	$302	154	154	+0	open	—	03-31 15:09
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	2	$292	150	150	+0	open	—	03-25 18:20
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$288	153	153	+0	open	—	03-28 14:29
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$283	143	143	+0	open	—	03-28 02:39
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	3	$279	147	147	+0	open	—	03-23 23:05
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	2	$268	140	140	+0	open	—	03-26 05:47
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	7	$257	381	381	+0	open	—	03-20 15:35
will iran strike turkey in march	4	$256	135	135	+0	open	—	03-25 02:16
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	2	$254	129	129	+0	open	—	03-24 18:29
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$239	125	125	+0	open	—	03-19 07:02
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$211	527	527	+0	open	—	03-25 09:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:27:32	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x56123d…
06-08 08:28:31	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe73b61…
06-08 08:28:31	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x9170f2…
06-08 08:28:31	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x8a2099…
06-08 08:28:31	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x7e888b…
06-08 08:28:31	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x14f5da…
05-19 12:17:37	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	73	5¢	$4	0x7d692b…
05-19 05:23:58	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xa18774…
05-18 22:25:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	107	96¢	$102	0x3eaebc…
05-13 03:27:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	1¢	$3	0xa2043f…
05-13 02:00:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	1¢	$3	0x102712…
05-12 14:38:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	156	5¢	$8	0x28a990…
05-12 10:35:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	156	6¢	$9	0x853fb0…
05-11 14:16:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0xaf6142…
05-11 14:16:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x90d710…
05-11 14:16:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x294410…
05-11 14:16:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	3¢	$6	0x0312c6…
05-11 11:49:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	4¢	$13	0x405539…
05-11 05:23:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	255	96¢	$244	0x1aaa16…
05-11 02:11:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xd4222e…
05-11 02:11:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	166	96¢	$159	0x97477a…
05-11 02:11:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x0025f0…
05-10 11:41:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	252	97¢	$244	0x888287…
05-10 05:17:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0xaa32ba…
05-10 05:17:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0xa603d6…
05-10 05:17:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x02f3f7…
05-10 03:19:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0xff09c3…
05-10 03:19:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0xa7c6c5…
05-10 03:19:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0x80554d…
05-10 03:19:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0x26793f…
05-09 22:31:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	98	96¢	$94	0xee1c8d…
05-09 22:31:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	153	96¢	$147	0x997a95…
05-09 20:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	353	3¢	$12	0x241758…
05-09 15:53:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	4¢	$12	0xb24605…
05-09 11:50:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xc9841c…
05-09 11:50:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$68	0x8d57e7…
05-09 11:50:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x81f896…
05-09 11:50:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x612a6f…
05-09 11:50:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x596d65…
05-09 08:03:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	138	96¢	$133	0xc6343f…
05-09 08:03:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xa34cad…
05-09 08:03:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	86	96¢	$83	0x4dfffb…
05-09 03:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0xa13bc6…
05-09 03:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0x4727b9…
05-09 03:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x1608ae…
05-09 01:39:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	196	98¢	$191	0xdab5c2…
05-09 01:39:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x1a3978…
05-09 01:21:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0xf360cd…
05-09 01:21:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	173	99¢	$171	0xd6fc49…
05-08 18:28:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	245	99¢	$242	0x706d00…
05-08 14:53:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0xcefc1d…
05-08 14:53:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0x3d67cc…
05-08 10:18:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	196	98¢	$192	0x42ba47…
05-08 06:43:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	250	96¢	$241	0xe8944a…
05-08 02:53:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0x1ec599…
05-08 02:53:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	94	97¢	$91	0x1e6417…
05-07 23:25:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	344	3¢	$9	0xe2645b…
05-07 20:45:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	344	3¢	$9	0x396e72…
05-07 00:47:27	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xdb5ec6…
05-07 00:47:27	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xd4bd37…
05-07 00:47:27	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x517ac8…
05-07 00:47:27	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x0ef111…
05-06 21:09:59	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0xa8cd8f…
05-06 20:09:39	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa1f546…
05-06 20:09:37	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$159	0x5d85b0…
05-06 17:28:46	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xde369c…
05-06 12:47:20	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xa23161…
05-06 12:47:20	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x9a82f6…
05-06 10:47:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	291	32¢	$93	0x7e7bab…
05-06 06:33:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	3¢	$8	0x2872c4…
04-20 05:37:02	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x4862d8…
04-20 05:37:00	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	76	98¢	$75	0x731221…
04-20 01:51:32	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xd83a8f…
04-20 01:51:32	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xc17539…
04-19 00:08:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$2	0xc69fc0…
04-19 00:08:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	82	2¢	$2	0x86047f…
04-19 00:08:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$2	0x3fc53f…
04-19 00:08:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	99	2¢	$2	0x18a9ea…
04-18 21:52:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$7	0x051d2a…
04-16 13:00:50	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	428	2¢	$7	0x03b7c2…
04-16 08:41:20	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	428	2¢	$11	0xa5275c…
04-14 03:55:33	will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xafe0a0…
04-14 03:55:33	will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0x4a067a…
04-14 01:38:05	will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xe43e5a…
04-14 01:38:05	will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	92	94¢	$87	0x3b2ecb…
04-14 01:38:05	will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0x2a8349…
04-13 21:37:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	129	94¢	$122	0xd6752b…
04-13 21:37:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0x7569e8…
04-13 21:37:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x1156d6…
04-13 18:01:41	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xe9e88a…
04-13 18:01:41	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x924050…
04-13 18:01:41	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0x2bf5a1…
04-13 06:18:01	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	75	4¢	$3	0xf3e5f7…
04-13 06:18:01	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	149	4¢	$6	0x31a729…
04-13 03:00:37	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	224	4¢	$8	0xcf669d…
04-12 15:22:45	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	215	6¢	$12	0x9cfda2…
04-12 12:45:57	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x38b6dc…
04-12 12:45:57	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x20b843…
04-12 12:45:57	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	126	6¢	$7	0x07531d…
04-11 23:49:27	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	292	5¢	$14	0x3d1801…