Envious-Pennant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.09K

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

138

Trades

2,791

lifetime

Volume

$990.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$355

Open exposure

$2.90K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Politics

76% 76% -$30,830

Other

24% 58% -$1,405

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-13).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-2,540	-$1,524	97¢	$-2455	-$931	05-01 10:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	-458	-$275	96¢	$-439	-$164	04-30 17:31
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-3	-$3	99¢	$-3	$0	08-13 19:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	3	$62.2K	43,144	20,000	+23,144	No	+$569	02-26 21:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	122	$43.3K	28,740	28,740	+0	Yes	-$98	04-14 16:05
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	14	$40.0K	41,368	0	+41,368	No	+$1,397	02-25 10:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	23	$32.6K	23,686	23,686	+0	No	+$5,173	06-01 04:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$30.6K	18,874	18,874	+0	Yes	-$1,134	02-21 00:06
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	456	$28.9K	103,324	103,795	-471	No	-$1,460	03-29 11:30
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	34	$27.6K	28,872	0	+28,872	No	+$1,274	02-20 00:09
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	24	$26.0K	26,667	0	+26,667	No	+$661	02-09 22:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	5	$25.4K	13,100	13,100	+0	No	+$772	06-08 05:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	158	$24.5K	224,656	272,522	-47,865	No	-$1,439	06-15 06:34
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	35	$24.3K	27,895	29,512	-1,617	Yes	-$23,275	02-28 07:14
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$21.2K	22,352	0	+22,352	No	+$1,118	02-22 09:36
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	10	$20.4K	13,254	9,409	+3,845	No	+$25	02-13 09:55
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	99	$20.2K	11,988	13,253	-1,265	No	+$4,759	03-16 22:03
another us government shutdown by february 14	45	$20.1K	26,014	11,872	+14,142	No	-$1,033	02-13 23:23
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	4	$19.4K	19,556	0	+19,556	No	+$196	02-10 10:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$18.4K	10,650	10,650	+0	No	-$12	01-31 23:01
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	23	$16.1K	8,869	8,853	+17	No	+$1,292	03-31 18:51
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	5	$16.0K	16,383	0	+16,383	No	+$351	02-22 09:38
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	3	$15.9K	16,466	0	+16,466	No	+$564	02-22 13:42
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	16	$15.3K	8,376	8,205	+171	No	+$248	02-12 08:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	29	$13.7K	8,185	8,185	+0	No	+$856	05-06 08:22
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	73	$13.3K	8,443	8,793	-350	No	+$3,735	03-18 04:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	71	$13.2K	41,744	63,641	-21,897	No	+$4,576	05-16 22:10
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	43	$13.1K	14,805	14,805	+0	Yes	-$12,774	02-28 07:23
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	5	$13.0K	13,743	0	+13,743	No	+$776	02-21 00:07
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	26	$12.7K	7,586	7,586	+0	No	+$936	05-01 01:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	22	$12.7K	8,618	9,113	-495	No	-$2,545	02-28 22:38
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	22	$12.3K	7,167	7,167	+0	No	+$1,520	03-31 13:52
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$11.3K	11,723	0	+11,723	No	+$425	02-01 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 19:08:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x14d9ae…
07-05 08:40:53	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	31	76¢	$24	0x6e19e2…
07-05 08:40:43	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	413	76¢	$314	0x973da1…
07-01 06:23:49	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0xd953bc…
06-18 11:51:28	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0x4948e1…
06-15 17:03:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6,959	2¢	$167	0xe12d98…
06-15 16:57:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0x22b746…
06-15 16:57:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	2¢	$24	0xee92bb…
06-15 16:55:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,083	2¢	$50	0x0a64d3…
06-15 16:51:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	900	2¢	$22	0x3e05aa…
06-15 16:50:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xf84121…
06-15 16:49:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x27e968…
06-15 16:49:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x1e8844…
06-15 16:49:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	109	5¢	$5	0x25ab7f…
06-15 16:49:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2507bc…
06-15 16:48:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	2,800	5¢	$140	0xf1282e…
06-15 16:48:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc444ba…
06-15 16:48:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xb2df87…
06-15 16:48:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x26dbc1…
06-15 16:47:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9f7cd9…
06-15 16:47:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x093398…
06-15 16:47:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x22fda8…
06-15 16:47:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xdc61a2…
06-15 16:47:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x1b4cda…
06-15 16:46:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	116	5¢	$6	0x265ab2…
06-15 16:46:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	300	5¢	$15	0xfd6a07…
06-15 16:46:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xe38c57…
06-15 16:46:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x0562df…
06-15 16:46:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x065579…
06-15 16:46:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xaf2016…
06-15 16:44:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	208	2¢	$5	0x0491d3…
06-15 16:44:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12,497	0¢	$25	0xe69be4…
06-15 16:44:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	24,841	0¢	$50	0xc43454…
06-15 16:44:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	22,180	0¢	$62	0xa7e0a4…
06-15 16:43:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xdd0710…
06-15 16:43:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x191f38…
06-15 16:43:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	3,500	2¢	$60	0x14b347…
06-15 16:43:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x9b0655…
06-15 16:43:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	777	2¢	$19	0xd58925…
06-15 06:34:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	123,423	1¢	$753	0x758fe8…
06-14 22:43:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc0e6b7…
06-11 21:44:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x0c7ade…
06-11 21:44:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1bfedf…
06-11 21:40:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	503	71¢	$357	0x95a8c5…
06-11 21:39:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	80,756	1¢	$569	0xa449d9…
06-11 11:32:52	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	578	88¢	$508	0x530f82…
06-11 11:05:40	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x619dd3…
06-11 10:12:52	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xe5ca41…
06-11 09:45:39	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x86992d…
06-11 08:37:19	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x37fd35…
06-11 08:32:34	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xffd946…
06-11 07:23:27	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x62e349…
06-11 07:05:22	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x7710db…
06-11 02:28:48	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x84b3ce…
06-10 22:22:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3,874	1¢	$43	0x86e654…
06-10 22:22:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,291	1¢	$14	0x1f0cc1…
06-10 22:17:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,722	1¢	$19	0xeb5b26…
06-10 22:04:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$22	0xc109ba…
06-10 21:51:48	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x1f62fb…
06-10 21:10:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$10	0xf7d85c…
06-10 21:10:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	799	1¢	$9	0xc92838…
06-10 21:07:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0xdd5507…
06-10 20:33:54	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x039fb5…
06-09 11:16:09	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	2,500	88¢	$2,200	0x6d304e…
06-09 08:48:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	222	79¢	$175	0xefd2f9…
06-09 08:43:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x87b2af…
06-09 08:41:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	115	79¢	$91	0x08b815…
06-09 08:19:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	488	79¢	$386	0xade57c…
06-09 08:10:24	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	499	75¢	$374	0x635fd9…
06-09 07:49:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3,482	79¢	$2,750	0x954b19…
06-08 22:37:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	2,774	69¢	$1,914	0x2f5a8f…
06-08 22:33:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x750758…
06-08 22:31:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	726	69¢	$501	0x24ecbf…
06-08 22:26:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	669	79¢	$528	0x7c918c…
06-08 21:24:19	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb63c91…
06-08 05:36:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	4,000	80¢	$3,200	0x932a59…
06-08 05:09:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	13,100	100¢	$13,087	0x368976…
06-02 21:14:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,100	95¢	$1,995	0xd4d954…
06-01 22:40:15	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	2,095	82¢	$1,718	0x732bde…
06-01 22:36:23	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xa971d2…
06-01 22:09:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0xaceb47…
06-01 22:01:05	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	300	82¢	$246	0xe23321…
06-01 20:27:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	85¢	$3,400	0x829125…
06-01 20:06:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	94¢	$3,760	0x2800a0…
06-01 19:28:54	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x953fef…
06-01 04:12:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	94¢	$4,700	0x024169…
06-01 04:11:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17,686	100¢	$17,668	0x795db6…
05-27 06:08:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	188	74¢	$139	0xe82d72…
05-27 06:08:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,312	74¢	$2,451	0xdd1d7b…
05-27 05:59:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,600	98¢	$2,558	0xd2cd2f…
05-27 05:57:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	57¢	$131	0x065bc3…
05-24 21:08:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	51¢	$117	0x5fbb53…
05-23 23:08:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	264	35¢	$93	0x44c09b…
05-23 23:03:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x0b7beb…
05-23 23:01:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x95c32c…
05-23 23:01:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0xf14181…
05-23 23:00:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	94	35¢	$33	0xe4ffb3…
05-23 22:58:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,800	37¢	$1,036	0x865cc4…
05-23 22:54:18	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	856	78¢	$667	0x932866…
05-23 22:53:55	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11,718	1¢	$141	0x6bd546…