Dishonest-Message — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$25

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

11 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$102

$102 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-16 23:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

85% 100% +$25

Sports

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	+9	$5	100¢	$9	+$4	05-16 20:32
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	-62	$-2	1¢	$-0	+$2	05-15 19:18
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cincinnati Reds	+15	$5	0¢	$0	$-5	05-16 23:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$25	0	61	-61	No	+$25	05-11 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	05-14 21:24
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 19:08
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-11 16:12
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 19:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 19:02
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 19:12
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-16 20:32
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-16 23:04
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	1	$5	39	0	+39	open	—	05-16 21:07
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$2	0	62	-62	open	—	05-15 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 23:04:48	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x48e054…
05-16 21:07:19	Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x9f487f…
05-16 20:32:26	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x35499c…
05-15 19:18:20	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	4¢	$2	0x61c1be…
05-14 21:24:59	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x091ad4…
05-14 19:12:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x144426…
05-14 19:12:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8250ce…
05-14 19:08:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf37bda…
05-14 19:02:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x16d23d…
05-11 16:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1e2417…
05-11 16:08:23	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	40¢	$25	0xf3dc88…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	8	$2.57K	134	05-16 17:31
Automatic-Cappuccino 0x3423…fe57	8	$2.16K	70	05-16 19:02
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	6	$26.5K	593	05-16 16:06
Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521	6	$752	18	05-13 00:48
Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d	6	$671	31	05-16 20:51
Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507	6	$659	11	05-16 16:11
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e	6	$632	30	05-16 23:47
Standard-Verification 0x689a…779e	5	$12.4K	51	05-15 15:29