Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$2.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-17 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Tech

37% — —

Other

32% — —

Politics

16% 100% +$0

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

7% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	32	$526	290	290	+0	open	—	04-20 21:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$319	462	462	+0	open	—	04-18 13:41
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	35	$257	558	558	+0	open	—	04-24 13:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$195	207	207	+0	open	—	04-17 22:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$124	76	76	+0	open	—	04-17 15:21
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	4	$103	59	59	+0	open	—	04-16 20:37
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	7	$96	63	63	+0	open	—	04-21 20:38
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	2	$96	51	51	+0	open	—	04-15 20:52
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$87	62	62	+0	open	—	04-11 23:18
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	2	$85	47	47	+0	open	—	04-14 20:36
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$84	72	53	+19	open	—	04-22 19:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	8	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	05-06 21:45
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	04-24 10:21
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 18:07
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	2	$38	21	21	+0	open	—	04-23 08:31
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	3	$29	24	24	-0	open	—	03-30 21:40
Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$28	51	51	+0	No	$-10	04-24 16:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 17:56
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 09:11
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$18	359	0	+359	open	—	03-31 23:50
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	3	$12	19	9	+10	open	—	03-31 16:22
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-01 06:05
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	06-09 16:20
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	06-16 20:36
will trump say obama during address to the nation 925 698	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-01 23:09
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-16 21:40
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 16:39
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 15:58
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 00:43
fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 btts	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-15 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 16:39:34	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc2d594…
06-17 15:58:32	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x33c588…
06-17 00:43:52	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x39a4e6…
06-16 21:40:16	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0611bc…
06-16 20:36:47	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xa35420…
06-16 18:07:11	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa6b7d7…
06-15 21:57:16	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9945de…
06-09 16:20:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe9b7be…
05-06 21:45:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x96b9f9…
05-05 19:58:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xc1910e…
05-05 11:04:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xcb6fa2…
05-04 18:36:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x37e061…
05-04 18:21:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x571337…
05-03 16:26:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe5d593…
05-02 23:14:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe87649…
05-01 21:06:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9f8349…
05-01 17:56:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xecd411…
05-01 16:02:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xcd0cb0…
05-01 09:11:54	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x407924…
04-24 17:49:36	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x287233…
04-24 16:25:32	Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	51	18¢	$9	0xcfc29c…
04-24 13:57:36	Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	51	38¢	$19	0x4ee14e…
04-24 13:29:58	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	16¢	$17	0xcf7cb2…
04-24 13:16:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x3b9e9c…
04-24 13:15:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	16¢	$8	0xfd99d6…
04-24 13:15:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x7ef831…
04-24 13:10:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x86e5ef…
04-24 10:21:20	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	28	70¢	$20	0x7edcc0…
04-24 09:31:30	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xef5daa…
04-23 18:07:36	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xee9859…
04-23 13:14:24	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe5b2c4…
04-23 08:31:28	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0x786865…
04-23 04:40:54	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x4aba44…
04-22 19:25:42	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x9af837…
04-22 18:24:22	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0xeb699d…
04-22 18:22:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x0a05ee…
04-22 17:55:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x180fc5…
04-22 17:45:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x92f281…
04-22 17:32:08	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	26	65¢	$17	0x3f4488…
04-22 17:23:54	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x88ec8e…
04-22 17:18:30	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0x536420…
04-22 17:17:14	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	61¢	$17	0xe79535…
04-22 16:30:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x8e52a9…
04-22 16:06:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb5dbfe…
04-22 16:05:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x266180…
04-22 15:50:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x411217…
04-22 15:46:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x836cda…
04-22 14:42:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x6f268d…
04-22 14:41:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x000f41…
04-22 14:41:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0x5b3e4f…
04-22 14:33:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	29¢	$17	0x21d8ad…
04-22 14:12:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x98c894…
04-22 14:08:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	31¢	$17	0x760f76…
04-22 13:59:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0xa096d0…
04-22 13:59:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$6	0x773bb5…
04-22 13:57:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcb46f4…
04-22 13:26:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	27¢	$16	0x92d4c1…
04-22 13:04:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	28¢	$12	0x3990e1…
04-22 13:04:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x15ef09…
04-22 12:49:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	28¢	$17	0xe65377…
04-22 11:25:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0xff2deb…
04-21 20:38:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xe30d21…
04-21 20:38:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xdd66ee…
04-21 20:35:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x188ffa…
04-21 20:30:56	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0x34bca8…
04-21 20:17:46	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x679e8f…
04-21 19:50:10	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	27	84¢	$22	0xe3ef6a…
04-21 19:46:52	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	27	84¢	$22	0x644460…
04-21 14:42:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	14¢	$22	0x4d6e53…
04-21 13:13:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	25¢	$24	0x8a08f7…
04-20 21:48:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x9f3a96…
04-20 21:48:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x580006…
04-20 21:46:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb2a761…
04-20 21:46:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x3ec73a…
04-20 21:45:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x913957…
04-20 21:45:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x8f7c67…
04-20 21:37:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xacbf7e…
04-20 21:24:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xde3334…
04-20 21:23:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xf8a565…
04-20 21:23:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x068c89…
04-20 21:17:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xb8066d…
04-20 21:13:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x042aa6…
04-18 17:46:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x078898…
04-18 13:41:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	133	30¢	$40	0x28667b…
04-18 09:23:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	133	35¢	$46	0x3c32fc…
04-17 22:48:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	43¢	$22	0x4c6776…
04-17 22:35:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	44¢	$17	0x5d1c98…
04-17 22:34:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	44¢	$7	0x4db88c…
04-17 21:00:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	45¢	$48	0x7265ef…
04-17 18:26:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x6f14ee…
04-17 18:06:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x3c85df…
04-17 17:53:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	118	44¢	$52	0x82b2b2…
04-17 17:23:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	118	53¢	$63	0x1dd8d2…
04-17 15:21:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	76	83¢	$63	0xbb6a6c…
04-17 14:40:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	76	81¢	$61	0xafc9db…
04-17 12:40:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	211	29¢	$61	0xdfbe80…
04-17 03:43:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	211	27¢	$57	0x79a6a7…
04-17 00:17:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x3e018c…
04-17 00:14:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xec9337…
04-17 00:10:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x49da5a…