Realized P&L
+$36
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
97.8%
Resolved
303
Trades
344
lifetime
Volume
$3.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$11
11 positions
First seen
2026-09-11
last 11-02 17:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
95% 96% +$36
Politics
5% 69% $0
Crypto
0% 50% $0
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +2 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:46
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:32
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:38
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 85¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:21
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 $0 09-13 10:43
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 09-13 10:52
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +6 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 09-13 10:55