(anonymous) 0xf11c0d…bef8fa Create alert
bot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$14
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
96.6%
Resolved (7d)
90
Trades (7d)
97
398 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$901
$3.70K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$96
18 positions
First seen
2026-09-11
last 11-06 16:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
96% 96% +$20
Politics
4% 69% $0
Crypto
0% 50% $0
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on November 6? No +21 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 11-06 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 6? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on November 6? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 11-06 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 6? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 11-06 16:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 6? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 11-06 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on November 6? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 11-06 16:32
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +6 $1 29¢ $2 +$1 09-13 10:55
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +2 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:21
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:38
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:40
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:52
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 09-13 10:43
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 09-13 10:42
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 $0 09-13 10:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1 $1 50¢ $1 $0 09-13 10:56