Realized P&L (30d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
97.3%
Resolved (30d)
296
Trades (30d)
306
429 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.75K
$4.18K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$73
16 positions
First seen
2026-09-11
last 11-10 06:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
96% 96% +$17
Politics
3% 69% $0
Crypto
0% 50% $0
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 10? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-10 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 10? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-10 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 10? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-10 06:26
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:46
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:59
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:21
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:38
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:42
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:52
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 09-13 10:40
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 $0 09-13 10:43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1 $1 44¢ $1 $0 09-13 10:56
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +6 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-13 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 10? No +6 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 11-10 06:26