Woeful-Monocle 0xf15f4f…c3c75d Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$71
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
2,652
Trades
4,107
lifetime
Volume
$10.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$37
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 11-05 18:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Other
64% 58% -$84
Crypto
22% 61% +$23
Sports
10% 51% -$4
Politics
4% 58% -$6
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +8 $5 62¢ $5 $0 05-24 13:17
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +5 $4 88¢ $5 +$0 10-28 23:53
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 11-02 07:37
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +8 $3 38¢ $3 +$0 05-25 08:57
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 $0 11-05 17:01
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $3 66¢ $2 -$1 11-05 17:00
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 11-05 15:19
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +2 $2 68¢ $2 $0 11-05 00:07
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +65 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 06-29 14:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +50 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 06-29 14:25
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +3 $2 46¢ $2 $0 11-05 18:16
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-08 14:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $2 66¢ $1 $0 11-05 17:01
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +2 $1 65¢ $1 $0 11-05 15:45
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 11-05 00:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 11-05 17:01
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 $0 11-05 18:02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 $0 11-05 02:06
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? No +2 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-19 20:10