Woeful-Monocle 0xf15f4f…c3c75d Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$72
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
2,668
Trades
4,142
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$57
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 11-09 13:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Other
64% 58% -$85
Crypto
22% 61% +$23
Sports
10% 51% -$4
Politics
4% 58% -$6
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +7 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 11-06 19:58
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +8 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 05-24 13:17
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 11-07 23:20
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +7 $5 62¢ $4 -$1 11-07 23:17
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 11-02 07:37
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 $0 11-08 16:32
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +6 $3 46¢ $3 +$0 11-08 17:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +8 $3 32¢ $2 $0 05-25 08:57
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $2 87¢ $2 +$0 11-07 23:20
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +6 $1 37¢ $2 +$1 11-09 05:27
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +4 $3 62¢ $2 -$1 11-09 05:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +7 $2 30¢ $2 $0 11-08 14:23
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 November 9-15? No +3 $2 58¢ $2 $0 11-09 10:23
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +2 $1 80¢ $2 +$0 11-05 15:45
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2 $2 66¢ $2 $0 11-05 15:19
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 November 9-15? No +4 $2 36¢ $2 $0 11-09 10:23
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-08 14:36
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +65 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 06-29 14:25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +50 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 06-29 14:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 11-05 17:01
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 11-05 18:02
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +3 $2 38¢ $1 $0 11-05 18:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 11? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 $0 11-09 13:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +3 $1 20¢ $1 $0 11-06 19:38