Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

833

lifetime

Volume

$195.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$234

Open exposure

$344

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-04 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

64% 100% +$14

Other

36% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No		-374	$-329	92¢	$-344	$-15	06-04 14:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	23	$12.0K	6,188	6,188	+0	open	—	03-12 23:15
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	12	$10.0K	5,522	4,676	+846	open	—	02-27 03:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	10	$9.7K	6,228	3,671	+2,557	open	—	05-22 23:50
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	28	$9.4K	7,856	2,181	+5,675	open	—	03-31 19:59
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	77	$8.3K	8,050	525	+7,525	open	—	01-28 20:35
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	18	$7.4K	5,352	2,249	+3,103	open	—	03-04 01:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	26	$7.4K	4,383	4,383	+0	open	—	04-20 22:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	42	$7.0K	4,027	3,359	+667	open	—	04-10 18:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	55	$6.4K	4,583	4,582	+1	open	—	03-01 18:36
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$4.8K	2,422	2,422	+0	open	—	01-20 10:29
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$4.8K	4,865	0	+4,865	open	—	05-30 05:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$4.7K	5,417	0	+5,417	open	—	04-21 22:16
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	24	$4.6K	2,357	2,357	+0	open	—	03-31 19:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	6	$4.5K	3,209	1,434	+1,775	open	—	01-31 20:07
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$4.2K	4,580	586	+3,994	open	—	04-07 00:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$3.8K	0	3,949	-3,949	open	—	06-04 14:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$3.8K	2,713	2,713	+0	open	—	04-05 17:30
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$3.6K	1,803	1,803	+0	open	—	02-28 17:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$3.5K	1,816	1,816	+0	open	—	05-06 05:47
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	84	$3.5K	2,903	2,903	+0	open	—	03-31 15:29
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	4	$3.4K	3,074	501	+2,573	open	—	03-08 22:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	9	$3.2K	1,679	1,679	+0	open	—	04-12 19:53
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$3.2K	4,183	4,183	+0	open	—	02-13 06:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$3.2K	3,378	0	+3,378	open	—	03-06 13:54
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	14	$2.8K	1,953	1,154	+798	open	—	03-26 02:27
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$2.7K	1,555	1,332	+223	open	—	02-05 08:18
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	7	$2.5K	1,391	1,391	+0	open	—	02-08 17:17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$2.4K	2,605	0	+2,605	open	—	01-30 05:55
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$2.4K	1,334	1,334	+0	open	—	01-31 04:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	10	$2.4K	1,370	1,106	+264	open	—	04-24 15:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:25:33	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	267	8¢	$21	0x5682e5…
06-04 14:25:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	3,949	97¢	$3,847	0x43e7a1…
06-04 14:25:28	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	374	88¢	$329	0x40b7ea…
06-04 14:25:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x39970f…
06-04 14:25:24	State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?	No	SELL	149	95¢	$142	0xbbc98b…
06-04 14:25:22	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	113	32¢	$36	0x8f212c…
06-04 14:25:22	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x31fccd…
06-04 03:01:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x68f129…
06-03 03:03:49	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x9c2bb3…
06-03 02:43:07	Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x0b6de9…
06-02 03:38:29	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xca380b…
06-02 03:07:45	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xa53c44…
06-02 03:07:45	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x9b14c1…
06-02 03:07:45	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x47c761…
06-02 03:07:45	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x1c6efa…
06-02 03:07:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0xe33c12…
06-02 03:07:08	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	107	90¢	$96	0x5895f8…
06-02 03:06:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	137	91¢	$125	0xf71f27…
06-01 08:25:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x41c257…
05-30 05:39:06	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	297	89¢	$263	0xc6b7ee…
05-30 05:25:44	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,011	99¢	$1,990	0xda97cd…
05-28 19:03:31	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	398	98¢	$389	0x6735e9…
05-28 18:42:32	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	323	98¢	$317	0x174a92…
05-28 18:42:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe160d7…
05-28 18:42:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	854	98¢	$838	0xa7db35…
05-28 18:42:15	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa59549…
05-28 18:42:06	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeae181…
05-28 18:42:06	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3e8a24…
05-28 18:42:04	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x80f4b4…
05-28 18:41:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x74faeb…
05-28 18:41:47	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0066a6…
05-28 18:41:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xfffea6…
05-28 18:41:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	135	98¢	$132	0xabb466…
05-28 18:41:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	324	98¢	$317	0x8c861f…
05-28 18:41:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x6e8303…
05-28 18:41:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	786	98¢	$769	0x211036…
05-23 08:51:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,727	62¢	$1,690	0x32305e…
05-22 23:52:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	258	89¢	$230	0x7ab0ad…
05-22 23:50:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	709	99¢	$704	0x89a6b2…
05-22 22:23:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	707	99¢	$703	0x4c9d02…
05-22 22:13:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	707	99¢	$702	0x167982…
05-22 17:05:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0xe799ee…
05-22 17:04:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	845	99¢	$840	0xf031fd…
05-22 15:41:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	68	93¢	$63	0xca4618…
05-22 15:39:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	965	93¢	$895	0x76e67f…
05-22 15:38:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	704	99¢	$700	0xd4dd28…
05-22 15:37:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	87	93¢	$81	0x664a2d…
05-22 15:34:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	386	93¢	$359	0x5ae9f7…
05-16 21:44:20	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	154	90¢	$139	0xea07fd…
05-16 21:42:10	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x8a5f17…
05-16 21:41:51	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	96	90¢	$87	0x6887e7…
05-16 21:39:50	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfebdf3…
05-16 21:37:14	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	88	90¢	$79	0x01cbca…
05-16 21:36:25	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x2be7cb…
05-16 21:30:16	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	97	90¢	$87	0xdf27dc…
05-16 21:27:40	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x584f97…
05-16 21:26:22	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf70d37…
05-16 21:26:22	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	341	89¢	$303	0x520222…
05-16 21:01:32	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	151	98¢	$148	0x097d97…
05-16 21:01:25	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x39b063…
05-16 20:55:58	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	172	98¢	$168	0x369d32…
05-16 20:54:55	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x887070…
05-16 20:54:01	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	136	98¢	$133	0xe89178…
05-16 20:54:01	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x2c9450…
05-13 14:03:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	232	93¢	$217	0x2e4caf…
05-13 14:02:48	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	232	99¢	$229	0x8abf0e…
05-13 13:09:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	92	94¢	$86	0x5ffcfa…
05-10 15:10:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	219	95¢	$209	0xff2083…
05-08 17:52:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,026	97¢	$999	0x8f67e5…
05-06 05:47:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,816	97¢	$1,755	0xfe9ce1…
05-04 18:21:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2,041	97¢	$1,990	0xc9e95f…
05-04 18:21:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,975	97¢	$1,924	0x7835aa…
05-04 18:18:00	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	232	97¢	$226	0xaff5c6…
05-04 18:16:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,816	97¢	$1,757	0xcc76f1…
05-04 18:12:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,430	97¢	$1,390	0xc8317e…
05-03 00:49:02	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x8d4401…
05-02 19:31:32	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x9eb89a…
05-02 19:31:06	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0x5ceda8…
04-24 16:18:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	308	84¢	$259	0x6bb0f8…
04-24 16:00:18	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4cb4e7…
04-24 15:59:42	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0x4536c7…
04-24 15:57:58	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xadae06…
04-24 15:52:40	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	669	98¢	$657	0xba8320…
04-24 15:52:00	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	423	100¢	$423	0x62a55c…
04-24 15:48:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	423	100¢	$422	0x23ed0c…
04-24 00:39:02	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0x29e451…
04-21 22:16:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x504683…
04-21 20:18:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x0363c5…
04-21 20:18:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xf4a55a…
04-21 15:41:52	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	896	98¢	$874	0x47aec0…
04-20 22:26:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1,070	56¢	$603	0x86b9e9…
04-20 22:26:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x9640cb…
04-20 22:26:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	58	59¢	$34	0x1ddae1…
04-20 22:16:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	165	60¢	$99	0xd5cc7f…
04-20 22:08:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	69	63¢	$44	0xc3c75d…
04-20 20:18:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	115	56¢	$65	0xdc4094…
04-20 20:01:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	4	59¢	$3	0x484118…
04-20 19:20:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	23	59¢	$13	0x25387d…
04-20 04:08:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	49	82¢	$41	0xa2fd2e…
04-19 23:05:40	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x420c9d…