Gentle-Antigen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$394

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

24.6%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$330

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-03 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% 0% $-48

Politics

26% 20% $-346

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+206	$201	98¢	$202	+$1	06-03 07:03
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI		-447	$-116	29¢	$-127	$-11	06-03 06:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.5K	750	1,500	-750	open	—	05-26 14:58
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	5	$980	1,333	2,083	-750	open	—	05-26 14:52
Trump kiss by May 31?	4	$715	1,200	2,175	-975	open	—	05-20 02:52
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$558	300	650	-350	open	—	05-06 05:23
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	7	$452	9,764	525	+9,239	open	—	05-24 06:52
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	10	$380	474	999	-525	open	—	05-26 15:41
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	2	$366	450	975	-525	open	—	05-26 14:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$354	750	750	+0	open	—	05-29 14:56
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	6	$351	1,800	150	+1,650	open	—	05-22 17:01
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	2	$298	225	225	+0	open	—	05-26 15:07
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	2	$270	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	05-25 19:25
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	5	$260	1,350	600	+750	open	—	05-20 21:00
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	7	$259	700	700	+0	open	—	05-08 20:37
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	3	$256	225	225	+0	open	—	05-18 22:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$225	450	450	+0	open	—	05-29 14:53
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$201	206	0	+206	open	—	06-03 07:03
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	2	$189	300	300	+0	open	—	05-13 23:18
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	4	$178	205	205	+0	open	—	05-31 17:13
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$175	150	150	+0	open	—	05-18 03:09
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$173	225	225	+0	open	—	05-26 14:38
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	3	$166	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	05-20 17:01
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	5	$164	400	700	-300	open	—	05-11 23:07
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?	2	$153	750	0	+750	open	—	05-28 07:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$146	200	200	+0	Yes	+$54	05-08 18:05
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	3	$140	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	05-14 12:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	11	$134	1,134	0	+1,134	Yes	$-134	05-09 04:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	2	$129	300	43	+257	open	—	05-31 15:12
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?	2	$123	750	0	+750	open	—	05-28 07:24
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	6	$117	9,900	0	+9,900	open	—	05-18 20:15
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	1	$116	0	447	-447	open	—	06-03 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 07:03:55	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	206	98¢	$201	0xfed6a9…
06-03 06:59:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	18¢	$44	0x022f5d…
06-03 06:59:05	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	447	26¢	$116	0x2846cf…
06-02 19:41:59	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0x6bd3b3…
06-02 19:41:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	21¢	$45	0x41b014…
05-31 17:13:03	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	SELL	46	60¢	$28	0xef80b9…
05-31 17:12:17	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	SELL	116	60¢	$70	0xc4065b…
05-31 17:10:57	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	SELL	42	60¢	$25	0xdcaf57…
05-31 17:03:39	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	205	27¢	$55	0x03b95c…
05-31 15:12:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	43	90¢	$39	0x613dc9…
05-31 15:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0x528a3c…
05-29 14:56:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	750	26¢	$193	0xd02c91…
05-29 14:56:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	450	14¢	$63	0x21f2da…
05-29 14:53:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	450	35¢	$158	0x479603…
05-29 14:52:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	450	11¢	$50	0xfff727…
05-29 14:52:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	19¢	$86	0x75872e…
05-29 14:51:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	450	15¢	$68	0xf4c183…
05-29 14:51:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xf0f534…
05-29 04:49:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xb651bd…
05-29 04:35:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0xad2816…
05-29 04:34:41	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x7598aa…
05-28 07:24:13	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?	No	BUY	450	12¢	$54	0x1252b8…
05-28 07:24:04	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?	No	BUY	450	16¢	$72	0x1ee380…
05-28 07:24:02	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31?	No	BUY	261	1¢	$3	0xab4600…
05-28 07:23:59	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?	No	BUY	450	11¢	$50	0x1edb1b…
05-28 07:23:55	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?	No	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0x210e10…
05-28 07:23:25	Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 750.0k by May 31?	No	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0x9f9804…
05-26 15:41:36	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0xea1efd…
05-26 15:41:36	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x340fd5…
05-26 15:07:08	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	225	92¢	$208	0x781b28…
05-26 14:58:17	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	87¢	$1,302	0x524ef4…
05-26 14:56:34	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	No	SELL	78	73¢	$57	0x93e67f…
05-26 14:54:28	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	SELL	975	28¢	$276	0x16dd09…
05-26 14:53:09	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0x456b71…
05-26 14:53:08	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0x78eea8…
05-26 14:53:08	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0x585eb0…
05-26 14:53:02	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$4	0xfcfc99…
05-26 14:52:55	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	SELL	975	28¢	$273	0xe62e6d…
05-26 14:52:55	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xdcfb67…
05-26 14:52:55	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x42dd2e…
05-26 14:52:12	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	No	SELL	2,083	37¢	$769	0x1e1d26…
05-26 14:44:21	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	No	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0xe45670…
05-26 14:44:21	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	BUY	225	40¢	$90	0x45d873…
05-26 14:44:19	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0x2fb525…
05-26 14:43:56	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	No	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x1e3d53…
05-26 14:43:51	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	No	BUY	556	10¢	$56	0x3e7166…
05-26 14:43:48	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	BUY	450	20¢	$90	0xe14f14…
05-26 14:43:48	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	20¢	$90	0xdbacb8…
05-26 14:43:48	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	450	20¢	$90	0x36a894…
05-26 14:43:48	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	No	BUY	450	20¢	$90	0x1bf6f5…
05-26 14:43:48	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	No	BUY	78	40¢	$31	0x1b9f7d…
05-26 14:38:24	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	225	45¢	$101	0x16b618…
05-26 14:35:45	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	225	32¢	$72	0x804b9b…
05-26 06:54:37	Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	66	88¢	$58	0x711fba…
05-25 19:25:33	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	9,000	2¢	$180	0x32a75b…
05-25 14:02:20	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x8ce08d…
05-25 13:04:26	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	165	33¢	$54	0x25049a…
05-25 09:03:35	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	184	20¢	$37	0x9161aa…
05-25 08:04:47	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	BUY	9,000	1¢	$90	0x8ae950…
05-24 15:30:06	Will Dell Technologies (DELL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	66	35¢	$23	0x5b83f8…
05-24 06:52:22	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	5,899	1¢	$59	0x33273f…
05-24 06:52:10	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xe95862…
05-24 06:52:10	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	3,101	1¢	$31	0x6be606…
05-24 06:52:10	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	450	16¢	$72	0x624a76…
05-24 06:52:10	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x5f5494…
05-24 06:49:43	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	SELL	525	41¢	$214	0x0d74c2…
05-24 06:48:28	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0x8db67b…
05-22 17:01:31	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	No	BUY	900	8¢	$72	0x00570b…
05-22 17:01:18	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	No	BUY	450	12¢	$54	0x55662a…
05-22 17:01:17	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	No	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0x7bb54e…
05-21 21:06:12	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	169	21¢	$35	0x7dffd3…
05-21 21:06:03	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	131	21¢	$28	0x337745…
05-21 17:30:41	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	450	16¢	$72	0xd7745e…
05-21 17:01:45	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by June 30?	No	BUY	9,000	1¢	$90	0xd6e417…
05-20 21:00:56	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	15¢	$68	0xd24b79…
05-20 21:00:56	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0xbf5a8f…
05-20 17:01:51	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	No	BUY	900	7¢	$63	0x025294…
05-20 17:01:48	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	No	BUY	450	10¢	$45	0x663604…
05-20 17:01:02	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	No	BUY	450	13¢	$58	0x46c781…
05-20 02:52:40	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	SELL	1,650	13¢	$214	0x5339f5…
05-20 01:50:19	Chirayu Rana sued?	No	BUY	192	1¢	$2	0xc2d81a…
05-20 01:49:00	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	900	6¢	$54	0xe96cbf…
05-19 23:32:37	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	SELL	525	69¢	$362	0xc72856…
05-19 23:27:45	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x43a18b…
05-18 22:23:39	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	No	SELL	208	82¢	$170	0x8055b5…
05-18 20:15:42	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	8,822	1¢	$88	0xd5133d…
05-18 20:15:40	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2f9294…
05-18 20:15:38	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2af77c…
05-18 20:15:36	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9797a7…
05-18 20:15:35	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x9d1d71…
05-18 20:15:35	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	No	BUY	900	3¢	$27	0x0d2648…
05-18 13:16:31	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x35ae6a…
05-18 13:10:13	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	No	BUY	225	31¢	$70	0x743233…
05-18 03:09:49	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	150	85¢	$127	0x1a217a…
05-17 17:10:09	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	150	32¢	$48	0x70542f…
05-14 22:48:38	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 14?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xac8ee7…
05-14 21:42:17	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x5c311d…
05-14 21:18:55	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 14?	Yes	BUY	38	33¢	$13	0xbc5045…
05-14 20:25:45	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	478	7¢	$33	0x5f5359…
05-14 20:25:41	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	7¢	$9	0x074709…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	52	$9.99K	522	06-09 20:43
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	45	$8.88K	2,527	06-10 00:47
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	44	$13.3K	1,519	06-09 15:59
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	43	$2.52M	5,693	06-10 00:16
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	42	$39.1K	716	06-09 23:15
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	41	$6.28K	380	06-02 12:20
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	40	$40.5K	4,300	06-09 23:42
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	40	$4.33K	791	06-09 00:14