Decisive-Inlay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$900

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$280

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 09-28 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

66% 50% -$891

Politics

32% 0% -$9

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	2	$960	505	505	+0	No	+$0	06-12 03:33
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	2	$954	515	515	+0	No	+$6	06-11 06:34
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$949	505	505	+0	open	—	06-10 06:33
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	2	$949	505	505	+0	open	—	06-08 02:55
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	2	$944	512	512	+0	open	—	06-03 08:31
israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	2	$865	470	470	+0	No	-$9	08-04 02:24
another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	2	$856	465	465	+0	No	+$0	08-05 02:11
will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	3	$840	450	450	+0	Yes	+$3	07-18 05:58
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	2	$837	460	460	+0	No	+$0	08-04 05:33
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	2	$836	459	459	+0	open	—	07-03 03:42
will a new country join the abraham accords by july 31 20260626214759163	2	$834	434	434	+0	No	+$0	07-03 07:32
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	2	$828	450	450	+0	open	—	07-18 02:06
will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31	2	$819	450	450	+0	open	—	08-21 03:58
will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	2	$819	448	448	+0	No	+$0	08-21 03:03
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	2	$818	440	440	+0	No	+$0	08-05 03:19
will iran target oman by september 30 2026	2	$818	440	440	+0	No	+$0	08-21 02:20
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	3	$517	270	270	+0	No	+$1	06-21 04:56
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	2	$503	270	270	+0	open	—	06-20 07:39
dota2 re nemiga 2026 06 10 game1 any player rampage	1	$475	500	0	+500	Yes	-$475	06-10 06:47
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	1	$474	510	0	+510	Under	+$36	06-12 06:29
lol al blg 2026 06 08 game1 both teams destroy inhibitors	1	$474	515	0	+515	Yes	-$474	06-08 03:14
Spread: Albania (-2.5)	1	$473	498	0	+498	Israel	+$25	06-03 08:37
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	17	$320	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-12 07:25
aus mct ccm 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	1	$173	180	0	+180	Melbourne City FC	+$7	04-07 08:04
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	-$20	07-03 08:30
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	09-28 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 06:14:09	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd1c36f…
08-21 03:58:42	will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31	No	SELL	450	91¢	$410	0x09078a…
08-21 03:18:09	will russia capture all of drobysheve by december 31	No	BUY	450	91¢	$410	0xc69304…
08-21 03:03:48	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	No	SELL	448	91¢	$409	0x29bb09…
08-21 02:32:36	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	No	BUY	448	91¢	$409	0x70b69f…
08-21 02:20:00	will iran target oman by september 30 2026	No	SELL	440	93¢	$409	0xbe5836…
08-21 01:48:28	will iran target oman by september 30 2026	No	BUY	440	93¢	$409	0xd26e5d…
08-05 03:19:41	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	No	SELL	440	93¢	$409	0x89c905…
08-05 02:40:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by august 31	No	BUY	440	93¢	$409	0x6012cd…
08-05 02:11:09	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	No	SELL	465	92¢	$428	0x936531…
08-05 01:39:14	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	No	BUY	465	92¢	$428	0x6f9875…
08-04 05:33:26	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	No	SELL	460	91¢	$419	0x989a21…
08-04 03:15:18	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in august 2026 20260731154202609	No	BUY	460	91¢	$419	0x23d50a…
08-04 02:24:02	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	SELL	470	91¢	$428	0x9861db…
08-04 01:37:47	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	BUY	470	93¢	$437	0xe23964…
07-18 05:58:42	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	SELL	341	94¢	$319	0xae5ff9…
07-18 05:58:36	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	SELL	109	94¢	$102	0xb5c02d…
07-18 02:32:24	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	BUY	450	93¢	$418	0xe0161d…
07-18 02:06:51	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	450	92¢	$414	0xbb5e28…
07-18 01:28:45	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	450	92¢	$414	0xc2aba0…
07-03 08:30:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xeb45a6…
07-03 07:32:53	will a new country join the abraham accords by july 31 20260626214759163	No	SELL	434	96¢	$417	0x9770ec…
07-03 07:03:49	will a new country join the abraham accords by july 31 20260626214759163	No	BUY	434	96¢	$417	0x03ac5f…
07-03 03:42:04	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	459	91¢	$417	0x386d18…
07-03 02:54:59	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	459	91¢	$420	0xb7ecde…
06-21 04:56:23	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xc6a7a7…
06-21 04:55:29	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	256	96¢	$246	0xaef582…
06-21 02:46:41	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	270	96¢	$258	0x43a615…
06-20 07:39:05	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	270	93¢	$252	0x6f9171…
06-20 05:48:22	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	BUY	270	93¢	$251	0xb11509…
06-12 06:29:49	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	510	93¢	$474	0xbf549b…
06-12 03:33:39	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	SELL	505	95¢	$480	0x19daec…
06-12 02:40:49	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	BUY	505	95¢	$480	0xdab351…
06-11 06:34:34	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	515	93¢	$480	0x21a69e…
06-11 05:05:48	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	515	92¢	$474	0xf900e4…
06-10 06:47:58	dota2 re nemiga 2026 06 10 game1 any player rampage	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x2ece80…
06-10 06:33:31	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	505	94¢	$475	0xea460d…
06-10 05:58:04	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	505	94¢	$475	0x8414d4…
06-08 03:14:51	lol al blg 2026 06 08 game1 both teams destroy inhibitors	No	BUY	515	92¢	$474	0xb0556b…
06-08 02:55:13	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	505	94¢	$475	0xdcc4c4…
06-08 02:00:09	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	505	94¢	$475	0xa058ad…
06-03 08:37:22	Spread: Albania (-2.5)	Israel	BUY	498	95¢	$473	0x0d8e9d…
06-03 08:31:04	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	512	92¢	$472	0xdf004b…
06-03 07:26:04	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	512	92¢	$472	0x0b2df4…
05-12 07:25:23	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	46	80¢	$37	0xa35723…
05-12 07:16:56	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x5dbcba…
05-12 06:54:21	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x6a68ed…
05-12 06:23:54	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x3fcd3a…
05-12 06:14:17	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x8f78ea…
05-12 06:08:04	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xdd797d…
05-12 06:07:05	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xfd81c3…
05-12 05:58:48	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x80399a…
05-12 05:55:02	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	62	80¢	$50	0x70e90a…
05-12 05:42:00	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xdabc54…
05-12 04:33:52	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x950b46…
05-12 03:01:15	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x9ec522…
05-12 03:00:46	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x4d6490…
05-12 03:00:14	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x153d7a…
05-12 02:59:51	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xac3dca…
05-12 02:59:09	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x4a1d3f…
05-12 02:56:21	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	96	80¢	$77	0xfe47bc…
04-07 08:04:19	aus mct ccm 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	Melbourne City FC	BUY	180	96¢	$173	0xece875…