Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$60.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$670

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-04 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Politics

95% 35% -$2,454

Sports

2% 0% -$1,474

Other

2% 67% +$1,243

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$8.4K	5,877	5,877	+0	Yes	+$407	03-23 11:07
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$7.3K	7,067	7,067	+0	No	-$104	04-01 12:48
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	4	$5.0K	2,991	2,990	+0	No	+$938	07-29 23:17
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	7	$4.0K	4,427	4,427	+0	No	-$573	03-05 12:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$3.6K	9,369	0	+9,369	Yes	+$5,809	04-01 12:48
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$3.4K	4,384	0	+4,384	Yes	-$3,376	08-04 03:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$2.8K	1,852	1,852	+0	Yes	+$921	03-01 07:52
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	4	$2.8K	1,693	1,693	+0	No	+$541	07-28 09:51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	2	$2.7K	1,547	1,547	+0	No	+$308	06-15 03:01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$2.6K	5,100	1,943	+3,157	Yes	-$1,338	03-06 04:35
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	7	$2.3K	3,461	0	+3,461	No	-$2,332	07-01 00:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$1.5K	7,205	7,205	+0	No	-$671	03-27 01:37
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$1.5K	2,780	0	+2,780	Ciryl Gane	-$1,474	06-15 03:02
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$1.4K	3,099	3,099	+0	No	-$867	03-23 11:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$1.2K	1,464	0	+1,464	Yes	-$1,214	06-13 06:38
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	5	$1.2K	4,655	4,654	+1	No	-$718	01-16 00:09
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	2	$1.2K	1,839	1,839	+0	Yes	+$201	03-06 04:35
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	1	$1.0K	2,427	0	+2,427	Yes	+$1,401	05-29 01:54
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$937	1,645	0	+1,645	Yes	+$708	02-19 00:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	1	$710	2,450	0	+2,450	No	-$710	05-27 12:38
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	2	$696	470	470	+0	No	+$9	07-20 02:06
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$612	784	784	+0	No	+$78	03-23 11:33
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	3	$535	812	812	+0	No	-$340	03-05 04:52
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$474	1,356	0	+1,356	No	-$474	01-16 05:18
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	1	$347	417	0	+417	No	+$70	07-08 23:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$342	1,104	0	+1,104	No	-$342	03-23 11:34
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	1	$303	631	0	+631	No	-$303	03-04 00:26
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	1	$248	712	0	+712	Yes	+$464	02-21 06:31
iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	2	$175	3,173	3,173	+0	No	-$134	06-29 10:17
us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	1	$170	1,061	0	+1,061	No	-$170	03-01 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 03:09:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	820	51¢	$419	0x8700ac…
07-29 23:18:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3,564	83¢	$2,958	0xfcb5d3…
07-29 23:17:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	2,990	100¢	$2,988	0xbbd3f1…
07-29 07:59:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	BUY	1,880	65¢	$1,224	0x82078b…
07-29 07:18:38	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	BUY	628	65¢	$411	0xab4e36…
07-28 09:51:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	1,693	98¢	$1,651	0x0265ed…
07-20 02:09:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	521	67¢	$349	0x0b1bb2…
07-20 02:06:06	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	470	75¢	$353	0x1dee6a…
07-18 22:35:18	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	651	64¢	$417	0x18f89a…
07-16 09:00:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	482	86¢	$415	0x1758e2…
07-13 21:23:56	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	521	66¢	$344	0x03d0c3…
07-09 00:00:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	470	73¢	$343	0xc99209…
07-08 23:57:50	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	417	83¢	$347	0x550701…
07-01 00:29:04	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	45¢	$172	0xf39716…
06-30 06:24:04	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	594	58¢	$342	0x19e8aa…
06-29 12:28:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	84¢	$106	0x8ccf3a…
06-29 12:28:25	iran successfully targets shipping on july 4 20260625225210245	Yes	SELL	421	6¢	$24	0x9f40da…
06-29 12:28:19	iran successfully targets shipping on july 2 20260625225210243	Yes	SELL	387	5¢	$20	0xb8d926…
06-29 12:28:13	iran successfully targets shipping on june 30 20260625225210241	Yes	SELL	413	7¢	$29	0xcb815e…
06-29 12:28:08	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	Yes	SELL	552	6¢	$34	0x86375f…
06-29 12:27:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	464	84¢	$390	0xf184c6…
06-29 12:26:37	iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	Yes	SELL	856	7¢	$57	0x6053c3…
06-29 11:53:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	545	51¢	$278	0xee50b2…
06-29 11:37:08	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	338	76¢	$257	0xf4c525…
06-29 11:35:14	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,014	78¢	$787	0xe2cf42…
06-29 10:17:34	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	Yes	SELL	3,173	1¢	$20	0x796e22…
06-27 10:32:41	iran successfully targets shipping on july 4 20260625225210245	Yes	BUY	421	8¢	$36	0x6e6835…
06-27 10:32:31	iran successfully targets shipping on july 2 20260625225210243	Yes	BUY	387	9¢	$36	0x7fb417…
06-27 10:32:17	iran successfully targets shipping on july 1 20260625225210242	Yes	BUY	856	8¢	$72	0x4598e8…
06-27 10:31:56	iran successfully targets shipping on june 30 20260625225210241	Yes	BUY	413	12¢	$48	0xa56216…
06-27 10:31:38	iran successfully targets shipping on june 29 20260625225210240	Yes	BUY	552	12¢	$64	0x5250dc…
06-27 10:31:20	iran successfully targets shipping on june 28 20260625225210239	Yes	BUY	882	10¢	$86	0xca4172…
06-26 16:19:13	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	Yes	BUY	3,173	5¢	$155	0x8dd0c6…
06-26 16:18:14	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	1,033	5¢	$52	0xdc4b97…
06-15 03:02:27	UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	BUY	2,780	53¢	$1,474	0xa18027…
06-15 03:01:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	No	SELL	1,547	98¢	$1,510	0x2afa1f…
06-13 12:45:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1,547	78¢	$1,202	0x09638e…
06-13 06:38:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,464	83¢	$1,214	0x6e60e8…
05-29 01:54:54	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	2,427	42¢	$1,025	0x81f3e8…
05-27 12:38:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	2,450	29¢	$710	0x2980ee…
04-01 12:48:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	9,369	38¢	$3,560	0xfe13af…
04-01 12:48:03	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	7,067	51¢	$3,596	0x580fb7…
03-27 01:38:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	774	56¢	$430	0xa58938…
03-27 01:37:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	7,205	6¢	$432	0x1da016…
03-23 11:34:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,104	31¢	$342	0x0ddce0…
03-23 11:33:41	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	784	44¢	$345	0xaf40d6…
03-23 11:09:01	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	784	34¢	$267	0x8ebad7…
03-23 11:08:37	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	SELL	3,099	8¢	$249	0xe380ee…
03-23 11:08:19	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	6,293	52¢	$3,269	0x10a34c…
03-23 11:07:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	7,205	15¢	$1,104	0xf2bdb6…
03-23 11:07:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	5,877	75¢	$4,411	0xec4db7…
03-15 08:17:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	5,877	68¢	$4,004	0x781d0d…
03-09 11:54:27	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	671	10¢	$67	0x6bf523…
03-09 10:43:23	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,099	36¢	$1,116	0x8807c4…
03-06 04:35:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	1,718	39¢	$672	0x0e56f5…
03-06 04:35:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	SELL	1,839	37¢	$679	0xe36c36…
03-05 12:13:19	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	1,839	26¢	$478	0xea70ce…
03-05 12:13:05	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	1,439	34¢	$484	0x0e0a84…
03-05 12:09:41	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	1,392	70¢	$971	0xc461e0…
03-05 08:31:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	1,392	46¢	$637	0x06898c…
03-05 08:31:09	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	1,943	33¢	$641	0xd97a75…
03-05 04:52:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	252	39¢	$98	0x924e2c…
03-05 04:52:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	Yes	SELL	812	12¢	$97	0xfda06a…
03-05 00:31:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	1,691	43¢	$725	0xaa25a6…
03-05 00:30:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	3,035	24¢	$729	0x30469e…
03-04 01:04:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	508	66¢	$335	0x84a36a…
03-04 01:04:45	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	Yes	BUY	632	54¢	$339	0x58617b…
03-04 00:44:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	536	62¢	$334	0xf4039f…
03-04 00:26:53	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	Yes	BUY	180	55¢	$99	0xe275c2…
03-04 00:26:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	BUY	631	48¢	$303	0xcefcad…
03-01 08:06:05	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	1,178	39¢	$460	0x7017d3…
03-01 07:52:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,852	100¢	$1,849	0x6a0ae6…
03-01 01:07:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	813	62¢	$508	0x45046f…
03-01 00:10:11	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,061	16¢	$170	0xdd0f4f…
02-28 10:12:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	410	61¢	$250	0xdc3166…
02-28 09:08:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,443	47¢	$678	0x1eb8a9…
02-28 07:16:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	2,357	3¢	$66	0x170ee0…
02-28 07:10:25	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x496dd9…
02-21 06:31:20	US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	712	35¢	$248	0x9e495b…
02-19 00:33:42	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,645	57¢	$937	0x6fd11f…
01-16 05:19:02	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	465	17¢	$79	0x408768…
01-16 05:18:46	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	703	34¢	$239	0x83ac75…
01-16 00:09:36	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	653	36¢	$235	0x066fe1…
01-16 00:09:16	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	Yes	SELL	4,654	5¢	$236	0x989343…
01-12 09:47:36	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	Yes	BUY	1,763	19¢	$335	0x819546…
01-12 09:15:14	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	Yes	BUY	1,883	18¢	$339	0xf39376…
01-12 06:05:52	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	Yes	BUY	688	29¢	$199	0xae5f8f…
01-12 02:51:10	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	Yes	BUY	321	25¢	$81	0xecd9df…
01-12 02:42:44	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	Yes	SELL	583	14¢	$82	0xb1646f…
01-10 13:13:34	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	Yes	BUY	583	12¢	$70	0x4d5603…