Fluid-Cappuccino — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$33

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

981 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$67.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 09-13 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

57% 41% -$1,184

Tech

24% 52% +$1,261

Politics

18% 37% -$1,243

Crypto

0% 29% +$6

Sports

0% 0% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	+92	$2	2¢	$1	$0	06-07 11:17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	82¢	$1	$0	06-28 23:41
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	+2	$5	4¢	$0	-$5	06-27 04:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	20¢	$0	+$0	05-28 12:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	3	$6.3K	0	6,489	-6,489	No	-$155	06-05 10:05
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	40	$5.7K	4,353	4,353	+0	No	+$1,044	03-18 06:43
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	20	$5.5K	3,039	3,039	-0	No	+$393	06-05 10:14
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	5	$4.8K	5,696	0	+5,696	No	+$867	06-05 10:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	16	$3.4K	2,998	2,998	+0	open	—	09-13 16:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	8	$3.4K	15	3,423	-3,408	No	-$67	05-28 06:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	2	$1.9K	1,004	1,004	+0	No	+$89	06-12 19:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	4	$1.8K	2,700	200	+2,500	Yes	-$1,552	06-12 10:12
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	17	$1.7K	2,172	0	+2,172	No	+$452	05-28 09:16
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	5	$1.7K	2,169	0	+2,169	No	+$460	06-05 11:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$1.6K	2,230	2,230	+0	No	+$82	04-16 05:31
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	12	$1.6K	1,814	694	+1,120	No	+$476	02-26 17:46
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?	4	$1.6K	870	870	+0	open	—	06-02 07:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	8	$1.6K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$585	06-16 13:02
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	60	$1.3K	3,328	3,329	-1	Yes	-$1,172	03-30 16:29
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$1.2K	1,644	0	+1,644	No	+$472	03-12 16:44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	14	$1.2K	1,650	1,648	+2	No	+$70	05-22 17:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	1	$1.0K	0	1,049	-1,049	No	-$26	06-12 10:09
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	4	$993	600	600	+0	No	+$33	02-19 13:38
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	24	$935	2,850	2,850	+0	No	-$883	03-30 16:29
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	1	$900	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$100	06-12 19:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	5	$823	474	424	+50	Yes	-$4	06-14 23:36
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	6	$806	490	490	+0	No	+$132	02-12 07:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	3	$757	1,203	0	+1,203	No	+$446	06-05 10:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	22	$706	2,920	0	+2,920	Yes	-$706	03-25 08:32
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	75	$689	15,539	0	+15,539	No	-$689	02-19 14:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	30	$675	586	586	+0	No	-$15	04-17 12:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	19	$636	2,359	2,952	-593	No	-$527	04-25 10:01
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	21	$612	2,306	2,306	+0	No	-$378	03-18 06:46
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	5	$607	2,533	2,533	+0	No	-$101	03-19 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 16:59:31	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	569	5¢	$28	0xb3c2b3…
09-13 16:58:54	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	1,376	47¢	$652	0x365b93…
09-10 18:32:27	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	1,000	48¢	$480	0xcfffb6…
09-05 10:50:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	13¢	$20	0xfeba06…
09-05 10:50:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	13¢	$12	0x178d70…
08-09 10:42:01	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	33	32¢	$11	0x8dfe9b…
08-09 10:41:58	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	429	31¢	$133	0x34eb73…
08-09 10:41:45	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	300	75¢	$225	0x923ccd…
07-15 19:18:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x0526eb…
07-15 19:17:44	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xac94c1…
07-07 01:52:40	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x66c80f…
07-06 16:04:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	No	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x410597…
07-06 16:04:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	Yes	SELL	35	19¢	$7	0x1a3ba4…
07-06 08:53:23	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0xe0c72b…
07-06 08:53:23	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	Yes	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0xdaf1f6…
07-05 15:53:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	No	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xe5447b…
07-05 15:53:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	Yes	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x81bf57…
07-05 08:45:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	Yes	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x855d2b…
07-05 08:45:59	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x77fca0…
06-28 23:41:17	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xdfff65…
06-28 23:41:16	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xb03e4c…
06-27 23:35:40	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe406c5…
06-27 23:35:40	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xa75559…
06-27 04:29:34	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xed61c8…
06-27 04:29:34	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0x804f6f…
06-27 04:29:34	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x5ff88f…
06-27 04:29:34	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x4c2cc1…
06-27 04:29:34	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x383e2a…
06-27 04:29:32	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x87bc8d…
06-27 04:29:16	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xc4026f…
06-27 04:29:16	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xc23b40…
06-27 04:29:16	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc1fd50…
06-27 04:29:16	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xac3a2e…
06-27 04:29:16	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x9b53b6…
06-27 04:29:16	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x1632b6…
06-26 09:43:17	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0xda5ed6…
06-26 09:43:17	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x15beea…
06-26 07:35:53	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x187427…
06-26 05:38:13	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x453c3e…
06-26 04:25:19	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xfa30aa…
06-26 04:25:19	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd3fede…
06-26 04:25:19	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc30989…
06-26 04:25:19	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb2e36c…
06-26 04:25:19	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6446c6…
06-26 04:25:19	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x643570…
06-26 04:24:41	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xd7bb38…
06-26 04:24:41	will openai ipo by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x402911…
06-26 04:24:40	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xb47989…
06-26 04:24:40	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x632905…
06-26 04:24:40	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x12327f…
06-26 04:24:40	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x00128f…
06-25 07:27:46	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xde74bc…
06-25 07:27:46	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17c2d2…
06-25 05:30:25	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf867d3…
06-25 05:30:25	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbe9149…
06-22 16:09:50	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xfecb7e…
06-22 16:09:50	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc809c1…
06-22 15:46:25	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xd8b8af…
06-22 15:46:25	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x76ae5f…
06-22 14:22:25	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	No	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x91a85c…
06-22 14:22:25	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x3b14ea…
06-22 14:22:11	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf56d33…
06-22 14:22:11	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xabeef2…
06-22 10:45:56	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xd115ec…
06-22 10:45:56	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x202628…
06-21 11:06:02	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xb5e97e…
06-21 11:06:02	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x93fad3…
06-21 11:06:02	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x80065c…
06-21 11:06:02	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x708b06…
06-21 11:06:02	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x120d7a…
06-21 11:06:02	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x0ec836…
06-21 11:05:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xaaae0b…
06-21 11:05:49	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa3abe6…
06-21 11:05:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x80a612…
06-21 11:05:49	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x7eecc1…
06-21 11:05:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x31340f…
06-21 11:05:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x0ef128…
06-21 10:42:16	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x893848…
06-21 10:42:16	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x6c4e3a…
06-18 00:28:31	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x649108…
06-18 00:28:31	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	206	0¢	$1	0x51a684…
06-18 00:18:29	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdfef58…
06-18 00:18:29	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x6efc0d…
06-18 00:08:26	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa89e25…
06-18 00:08:26	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0x5b1213…
06-18 00:08:16	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0xb3e10d…
06-18 00:08:16	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5c9975…
06-16 13:02:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,250	43¢	$538	0x5ac176…
06-16 12:23:40	Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xce43d5…
06-16 12:23:40	Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xa0a403…
06-16 12:23:40	Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x044259…
06-16 12:23:39	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xa6134f…
06-16 12:23:39	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x54efd2…
06-16 12:23:39	Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x188b81…
06-16 11:39:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xea3814…
06-16 11:29:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x139fa5…
06-16 11:19:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x3a5e03…
06-15 17:19:07	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf97644…
06-15 17:17:58	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x524207…
06-15 12:17:45	Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafee18…