Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$2.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$35

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-25 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

43% 90% +$4

Politics

39% 100% +$5

Crypto

10% 100% +$1

Tech

9% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	+55	$54	36¢	$20	-$34	05-29 18:47
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	-27	-$26	56¢	$-15	+$11	05-01 11:54
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	08-23 12:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$121	64	64	+0	No	+$0	08-24 09:10
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	2	$120	63	63	+0	open	—	08-07 14:31
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	05-23 03:16
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$117	59	59	+0	No	+$1	06-15 06:30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$116	59	59	+0	No	+$0	06-15 17:11
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	11	$114	59	59	+0	open	—	08-23 12:16
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?	4	$113	59	59	+0	open	—	08-22 20:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$113	59	59	+0	open	—	06-30 07:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	7	$111	56	56	+0	Yes	+$1	05-29 08:20
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	2	$110	58	58	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 16:31
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	2	$109	55	55	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 06:28
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	2	$109	57	57	+0	open	—	10-24 20:31
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$108	55	55	+0	open	—	05-08 12:59
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	4	$108	56	56	-0	open	—	10-25 09:53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	4	$107	56	56	+0	No	+$1	05-31 13:01
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	2	$105	56	56	+0	Yes	+$0	05-29 09:39
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	14	$104	54	54	+0	No	+$2	05-26 12:03
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	09-04 16:50
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-21 00:21
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	09-20 09:59
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	3	$98	52	52	+0	open	—	09-22 20:06
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	3	$77	41	41	+0	No	+$0	05-15 23:31
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	05-12 12:48
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	1	$54	55	0	+55	open	—	05-29 18:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	1	$53	54	0	+54	Yes	+$1	05-21 05:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$53	54	0	+54	No	+$1	05-21 06:16
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	2	$47	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-09 07:21
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	04-09 14:42
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-21 15:15
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	2	$26	0	27	-27	No	-$1	04-29 23:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:53:26	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x6b4a9d…
10-24 20:31:29	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x6e3c68…
10-23 16:31:56	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	SELL	58	98¢	$56	0x7f42b2…
10-14 14:47:24	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x666aef…
10-13 22:50:33	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x25e389…
10-13 16:22:15	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x24fe9a…
10-11 02:25:35	Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x87453f…
10-08 17:41:48	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0x066b9a…
10-04 13:10:19	Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x9f2329…
10-01 20:20:29	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	BUY	58	93¢	$54	0x254fd7…
09-22 20:06:52	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$49	0xb29285…
09-21 14:56:03	Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x081a15…
09-21 00:21:07	Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xbd1715…
09-20 09:59:13	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe42b64…
09-16 14:11:18	Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xa84845…
09-14 20:49:00	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x26a0bf…
09-10 19:05:52	Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0xec5be2…
09-06 06:24:03	Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xe7d7ac…
09-04 16:50:43	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x5e2727…
09-04 08:46:36	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe73e3f…
09-03 11:19:22	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0xe8f0db…
08-24 16:05:39	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xb06955…
08-24 09:10:45	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	64	94¢	$61	0xe1f29e…
08-23 12:16:21	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xf14a83…
08-23 11:30:13	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xd41c5e…
08-23 07:43:12	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xbfe8b9…
08-23 07:37:12	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xec0d8c…
08-23 07:36:42	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x65d650…
08-23 07:17:33	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x2fb5ca…
08-23 06:47:39	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x252df1…
08-23 06:47:01	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x49d488…
08-22 20:26:58	Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x4f4c4b…
08-15 13:32:30	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$61	0x93de96…
08-07 14:31:33	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	63	96¢	$60	0xf2246a…
07-03 11:48:04	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xb02e13…
06-30 07:06:05	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x929bc3…
06-22 20:39:41	Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x273ee0…
06-22 19:21:35	Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x924ac0…
06-22 13:36:47	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd3c522…
06-22 13:30:14	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc6b6e9…
06-22 13:24:08	Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x5d442d…
06-22 13:23:17	Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x93c27d…
06-15 17:11:09	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x26a4e6…
06-15 06:30:40	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x20b34b…
06-15 06:30:40	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0c79f8…
06-15 06:16:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe488b4…
06-08 19:59:00	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x1748b3…
06-08 09:47:52	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x1278a9…
06-08 06:28:09	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xf36e3e…
06-08 05:49:45	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x51b921…
05-31 13:01:57	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x193538…
05-31 05:44:31	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x395be9…
05-31 04:22:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0x94b97d…
05-29 20:31:59	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x21215d…
05-29 18:47:06	Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x37d9ee…
05-29 09:39:06	Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	SELL	56	94¢	$53	0x38b160…
05-29 08:20:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0xd82c28…
05-29 08:19:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x92b4db…
05-29 08:19:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1b048b…
05-29 08:13:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xe49098…
05-29 08:08:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xdbcaf8…
05-26 12:03:47	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0xab8ffb…
05-26 09:40:01	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0x1eaae2…
05-26 09:04:40	Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x426a28…
05-26 07:54:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x9fca3f…
05-26 07:46:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x05380c…
05-23 03:16:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x5636b6…
05-21 20:13:47	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x62549a…
05-21 17:14:58	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x903b9d…
05-21 13:49:35	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x960dc6…
05-21 09:01:56	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9aa0ac…
05-21 09:01:54	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe397e6…
05-21 09:01:54	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x626e7e…
05-21 09:01:51	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xeccaf3…
05-21 09:01:49	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9aa276…
05-21 09:01:49	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3912f6…
05-21 09:01:47	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf192c6…
05-21 09:01:47	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x518122…
05-21 09:01:46	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xad3d7c…
05-21 09:01:46	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5bb89a…
05-21 06:16:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb3d7ff…
05-21 06:10:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa1ac1e…
05-21 06:07:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x810fb7…
05-21 06:04:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd13def…
05-21 06:00:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xce9bc4…
05-21 05:48:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x7758b8…
05-15 23:31:04	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x02bf61…
05-15 13:57:04	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x111990…
05-13 12:03:32	Will Maurício Ruffy fight Max Holloway next?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x3f7250…
05-12 20:20:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x4c5904…
05-12 12:48:00	Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x495871…
05-09 07:21:00	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x40aa00…
05-08 12:59:02	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x7aa813…
05-08 12:02:23	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	No	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0x756de1…
05-04 11:26:32	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x351a71…
05-04 06:40:12	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x0d7764…
05-04 05:27:30	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x79ad44…
05-01 11:54:24	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x4c7b70…
04-29 23:02:34	Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x3274ca…
04-29 20:53:32	Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xdbd713…