Excellent-Guideline — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

11 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$12

$12 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 04:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 38% $-0

Other

17% — —

Tech

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes		+2	$1	79¢	$1	+$0	05-06 03:59
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes		+2	$1	44¢	$1	$-0	05-06 03:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$1	0	4	-4	Down	+$1	05-05 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Up	+$1	05-05 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Down	$-1	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-06 04:23
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-06 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 04:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-06 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-05 05:50
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-06 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-06 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-05 05:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 04:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xeff975…
05-06 04:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc01e42…
05-06 04:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x429071…
05-06 04:04:36	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8f20a4…
05-06 03:59:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc372b5…
05-06 03:58:26	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf4a444…
05-05 05:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x473b4f…
05-05 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x5f8953…
05-05 05:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xfe5f55…
05-05 05:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x1b74e6…
05-05 05:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa9dba1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$4.40K	63	05-07 20:01
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$9.58K	39	05-06 04:24
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	7	$751	39	05-06 04:24
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	7	$692	37	05-06 04:24
Repentant-Prelude 0x0705…a86f	3	$1.08K	4	05-06 04:19