Faraway-Deodorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$695

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-02 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

64% 96% +$4

Politics

24% 84% -$21

Crypto

10% 100% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	11-02 09:32
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	11-02 09:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	09-25 02:51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-16 16:09
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$15	17	0	+17	Yes	-$15	09-25 02:53
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	08-01 10:55
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	06-26 03:08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-26 03:08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	06-09 09:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	06-26 03:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$11	15	0	+15	No	+$4	05-26 10:17
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$11	13	0	+13	No	+$2	08-01 10:55
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-09 09:38
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	-$11	01-07 15:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	05-26 10:17
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	10-17 13:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	08-01 10:54
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-01 10:54
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-01 10:55
Trump renames AI by September 30?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	-$10	09-25 02:51
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-16 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	07-16 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	09-25 02:52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 09:38
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-26 03:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-16 16:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-26 03:08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	06-09 09:38
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 09:39
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 115 139	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-18 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 09:32:25	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xba7924…
11-02 09:32:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x6dbdaa…
10-17 13:29:54	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xd8927b…
10-17 13:29:41	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x53a17e…
09-25 02:53:03	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x906064…
09-25 02:52:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x094c9e…
09-25 02:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xe705a8…
09-25 02:51:26	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x45e14b…
09-25 02:51:05	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc1dae8…
08-01 10:55:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xa790bf…
08-01 10:55:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x2b4347…
08-01 10:55:08	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xa4c6be…
08-01 10:54:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xe4bfef…
08-01 10:54:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x50cc99…
07-16 16:09:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x6a0abc…
07-16 16:09:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x65ad5a…
07-16 16:09:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb207e5…
07-16 16:08:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb59e64…
07-16 16:07:44	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x532f75…
07-16 16:07:07	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x080892…
06-26 03:08:43	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xe51fb8…
06-26 03:08:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x96fbed…
06-26 03:08:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xdfb2c8…
06-26 03:07:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x5e9c78…
06-26 03:06:49	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa62731…
06-09 09:39:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb330a5…
06-09 09:39:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xc1dbe7…
06-09 09:38:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x92b33f…
06-09 09:38:49	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x3db327…
06-09 09:38:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xabb6bf…
05-26 10:19:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x38aef8…
05-26 10:18:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xde6833…
05-26 10:18:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0198de…
05-26 10:18:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x23c692…
05-26 10:17:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xc899c3…
05-26 10:17:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x955e22…
05-14 22:12:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x28af98…
05-14 22:12:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xcafe01…
05-14 22:12:14	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x983c0b…
05-14 22:12:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xf946ce…
05-14 17:26:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xabe691…
05-14 17:26:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x798977…
05-14 17:25:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x781afc…
05-14 17:25:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x08f140…
04-28 08:44:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x025f90…
04-28 08:44:30	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1b3ca9…
04-28 08:44:24	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x647bb6…
04-28 08:43:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb8456e…
04-18 07:01:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x25c444…
04-18 07:01:38	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6376d9…
04-18 07:01:08	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 140 164	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xebebcf…
04-18 07:00:56	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x666a30…
04-18 07:00:46	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 115 139	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9a9a7a…
04-09 06:54:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xada65f…
04-09 06:54:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xc6300d…
04-09 06:53:21	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x313e74…
04-09 06:53:05	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 160 179	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd4f557…
04-09 06:52:07	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xb81e35…
04-09 06:51:37	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd0a1f1…
04-09 06:50:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x3a0c28…
04-09 06:50:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x793585…
04-09 06:50:21	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaedd7c…
03-21 07:35:09	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xeafe4d…
03-21 07:34:53	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 0 39	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x78ee9d…
03-21 07:34:13	ted cruz of tweets march 17 march 24 160 179	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6fa2de…
03-21 07:33:57	white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 140 159	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x031f81…
03-21 07:33:33	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 200plus	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9f752b…
03-21 07:33:11	donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 140 159	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xddbef0…
03-21 07:32:05	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcd6ed6…
03-21 07:31:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xfa9f5e…
02-01 08:07:28	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x41dde4…
01-30 04:13:24	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 165 189	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb96e4e…
01-30 04:12:26	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 420 439	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xcde0d0…
01-30 04:12:18	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf0230c…
01-30 04:11:52	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf0b712…
01-30 04:11:42	us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc614df…
01-14 11:31:18	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xbb3345…
01-14 11:30:42	Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x13bc4d…
01-14 11:30:08	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 400 419	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc2917f…
01-14 11:29:24	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x4cfe25…
01-14 11:29:18	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbe1c7d…
01-07 15:07:27	will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xfe4f73…
01-07 15:07:13	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x3a378d…
01-07 15:07:09	will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0555fc…
01-07 15:06:37	will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4c6e12…
01-07 15:06:25	over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xcb947b…
01-07 15:06:11	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe20508…
01-07 15:06:07	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd348d1…
01-07 15:05:53	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 540 559	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x648fe4…
01-07 15:05:47	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9b9bf1…
01-07 15:05:35	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xc4e376…