Shrill-Presence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

520

Trades

2,102

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-29 00:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 72% $-73

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 699 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+57	$-0	5¢	$3	+$3	06-29 00:20
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+51	$4	6¢	$3	$-1	05-31 03:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$39	42	+42	open	—	05-03 00:19
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$39	42	+42	open	—	05-03 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$39	45	+45	open	—	05-03 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	6	$39	45	+45	open	—	05-03 03:54
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$36	48	+48	open	—	05-03 01:29
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$31	34	+34	open	—	05-03 06:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$30	32	+32	open	—	05-03 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$30	35	+35	open	—	05-03 01:34
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$30	32	+32	open	—	05-03 01:44
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$30	33	+33	open	—	05-03 01:24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$30	33	+33	open	—	05-03 02:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$28	31	+31	open	—	05-03 08:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$26	31	+31	open	—	05-03 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$26	34	+34	open	—	05-03 06:19
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$26	28	+28	open	—	05-03 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$26	30	+30	open	—	05-03 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$26	28	+28	open	—	05-03 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$26	37	+37	open	—	05-03 05:44
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$26	33	+33	open	—	05-03 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$26	27	+27	open	—	05-03 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$26	31	+31	open	—	05-03 09:34
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$26	32	+32	open	—	05-03 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	6	$26	36	+36	open	—	05-03 03:59
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	3	$26	29	+29	open	—	05-03 00:59
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$25	35	+35	open	—	05-03 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$25	31	+31	open	—	05-03 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$25	30	+30	open	—	05-03 00:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$25	30	+30	open	—	05-03 08:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$24	27	+27	open	—	05-03 00:04
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	4	$24	31	+31	open	—	05-03 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 00:20:40	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0x40f3fe…
06-08 03:32:43	btc updown 5m 1780889400	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x85c244…
06-08 03:31:03	btc updown 5m 1780889400	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa6949f…
06-08 03:26:55	btc updown 5m 1780889100	Up	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xfd547c…
06-08 03:25:54	btc updown 5m 1780889100	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe44176…
06-08 03:11:51	btc updown 5m 1780888200	Down	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0xe31ac8…
06-08 03:10:54	btc updown 5m 1780888200	Down	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x5ce711…
06-02 16:06:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xe50975…
06-02 08:56:12	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x5e602f…
06-02 03:24:33	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x181c1f…
05-31 21:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6dcdd1…
05-31 21:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xee22a9…
05-31 21:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6530b0…
05-31 21:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x177dad…
05-31 21:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x23b96f…
05-31 21:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x4d2e45…
05-31 21:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xed81b2…
05-31 20:39:07	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4f23d5…
05-31 20:34:02	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x952687…
05-31 20:34:02	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x76c45e…
05-31 20:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x4c699e…
05-31 20:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x9665da…
05-31 20:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xaa907b…
05-31 20:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf1ace1…
05-31 20:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd4861d…
05-31 20:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x2b801b…
05-31 20:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xeae7ca…
05-31 20:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0xe9de23…
05-31 19:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5e955f…
05-31 19:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x6f2578…
05-31 19:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x4838bd…
05-31 19:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x8da831…
05-31 19:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x8d8cc6…
05-31 19:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x742deb…
05-31 19:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3296f5…
05-31 19:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x53563a…
05-31 19:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4e357c…
05-31 19:19:05	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x3b2c58…
05-31 19:19:01	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xb0a263…
05-31 19:04:02	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x12dea5…
05-31 18:54:00	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xeca8d3…
05-31 18:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb1ecca…
05-31 18:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xf3751b…
05-31 18:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1c755f…
05-31 18:24:01	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x69df84…
05-31 18:24:01	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x35e20e…
05-31 18:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xfb88c0…
05-31 18:14:00	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x4eb663…
05-31 17:59:01	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1898e2…
05-31 17:59:01	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x15367c…
05-31 17:54:07	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x135c78…
05-31 17:54:02	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x620c35…
05-31 17:54:02	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x48b96a…
05-31 17:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x19a512…
05-31 17:49:51	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xa53c2e…
05-31 17:49:01	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc21d3d…
05-31 17:44:03	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x48482f…
05-31 17:44:03	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2b76cf…
05-31 17:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8d3260…
05-31 17:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf46caa…
05-31 16:59:05	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x64fe8b…
05-31 16:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf53fa1…
05-31 03:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x3b4792…
05-31 03:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x95b07e…
05-31 03:11:25	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x4ea5ab…
05-31 03:10:11	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9a5e2d…
05-31 03:08:11	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x24df56…
05-31 03:05:33	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0fa6d9…
05-31 03:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x64c07f…
05-31 03:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x19b31d…
05-31 03:00:43	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0x3eefa6…
05-31 03:00:02	Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	129	3¢	$4	0xb56daa…
05-31 02:59:47	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe30018…
05-30 19:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xaf880b…
05-30 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x8e546b…
05-30 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0x4f54ca…
05-30 18:54:02	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x219446…
05-30 18:54:00	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x4caa8a…
05-30 18:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb5ac7c…
05-30 18:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc852f3…
05-30 18:14:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdb8245…
05-30 18:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x9b245d…
05-30 18:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0d1c5b…
05-30 18:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x54c4f3…
05-30 18:04:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x0d5b57…
05-30 17:59:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x775287…
05-30 17:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6e4c06…
05-30 17:54:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x53555f…
05-30 17:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5cb7ec…
05-30 17:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x06baff…
05-30 02:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x781ae6…
05-30 02:09:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6b142f…
05-30 01:44:01	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc8c282…
05-30 01:39:05	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xcd2066…
05-30 01:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfe6021…
05-30 01:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0ade2e…
05-30 01:24:02	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x421760…
05-30 00:04:02	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xd12e4e…
05-29 23:49:01	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xf51e50…
05-29 23:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x948145…