Immense-Bump — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$77

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$41.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$549

Open exposure

$15

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-20 00:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$71

Other

0% 62% +$0

Politics

0% 70% +$5

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	-8	-$4	92¢	$-7	-$3	06-03 13:14
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	No	-5	-$5	100¢	$-5	+$0	10-20 00:38
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	-2	-$2	98¢	$-2	$0	09-02 12:17
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-6	-$1	16¢	$-1	+$0	06-03 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on march 24	15	$7.4K	4,219	3,200	+1,019	Yes	+$35	03-24 15:34
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	2	$6.8K	3,427	3,400	+27	Yes	+$3	03-25 07:04
bitcoin above 66k on march 25	5	$6.8K	3,404	3,404	+0	Yes	+$3	03-25 11:08
bitcoin above 66k on march 24	11	$6.7K	3,368	3,368	+0	Yes	+$10	03-24 07:25
bitcoin above 60k on march 26	2	$5.9K	2,942	2,942	+0	Yes	+$13	03-25 03:04
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	4	$4.2K	2,083	2,083	+0	Yes	+$2	03-24 00:37
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	1	$3.4K	3,356	0	+3,356	Yes	+$3	03-23 13:08
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-06 05:46
Netanyahu out by June 30?	2	$6	0	6	-6	No	$0	06-19 01:36
will nepali congress win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	1	$6	9	0	+9	No	+$3	02-21 19:07
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?	1	$6	0	6	-6	No	$0	06-24 06:54
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	1	$5	0	5	-5	No	$0	06-23 17:59
will trump say elon or musk during the state of the union address 964	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	02-24 17:00
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$5	4	1	+3	No	+$0	03-30 22:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	2	$5	4	1	+4	No	+$0	04-18 00:06
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	10-20 00:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$4	0	8	-8	open	—	06-03 13:14
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	+$2	02-28 08:38
will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 28	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-28 05:54
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	1	$3	0	4	-4	open	—	08-06 03:08
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-03 05:00 UTC	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	03-03 08:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-19 23:20
will ethereum reach 2200 on march 25	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-26 02:11
foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	04-18 15:59
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-14 17:49
will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	02-15 16:51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$3	0	3	-3	No	$0	05-13 06:21
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	02-26 14:35
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-07 03:49
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-23 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 00:38:32	Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x489b40…
09-02 12:17:01	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe43891…
08-06 03:08:45	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x1caf1d…
06-24 06:54:50	Sam Altman in jail by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x64c69e…
06-23 17:59:59	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc71b4c…
06-19 01:36:58	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd52231…
06-03 13:14:13	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x799b85…
06-03 13:11:43	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xde4f0b…
06-03 13:11:32	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xa63da8…
05-18 00:24:16	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x809261…
05-15 15:36:17	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xd42f6b…
05-13 06:21:06	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x89e190…
04-18 15:59:44	foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaa1f64…
04-18 00:06:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x74919c…
04-11 04:31:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x6b78e4…
03-30 22:53:49	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7f0d69…
03-28 05:54:25	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 28	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5a9384…
03-26 02:11:35	will ethereum reach 2200 on march 25	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc942b1…
03-25 11:08:49	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	SELL	1,170	100¢	$1,169	0xc04ad0…
03-25 11:07:49	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	SELL	983	100¢	$982	0x7ae713…
03-25 11:07:07	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	SELL	984	100¢	$983	0x0ae46e…
03-25 11:06:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	SELL	266	100¢	$266	0xbe93c5…
03-25 07:25:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	BUY	3,404	100¢	$3,397	0xafdcbf…
03-25 07:04:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	SELL	3,400	100¢	$3,397	0x301a6d…
03-25 05:27:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	3,427	100¢	$3,420	0xd9184e…
03-25 03:04:21	bitcoin above 60k on march 26	Yes	SELL	2,942	100¢	$2,939	0x1cf17e…
03-24 23:34:07	bitcoin above 60k on march 26	Yes	BUY	2,942	99¢	$2,926	0xa6e0ad…
03-24 15:34:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcc9b36…
03-24 15:34:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7b955e…
03-24 15:34:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x752936…
03-24 15:33:11	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xeb9cb7…
03-24 15:33:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x826019…
03-24 15:23:51	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	922	100¢	$919	0x088deb…
03-24 15:16:55	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	SELL	3,200	100¢	$3,197	0xe2a3e3…
03-24 13:48:37	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x28d111…
03-24 13:33:01	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x829c8f…
03-24 13:09:21	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	164	99¢	$162	0xa1663c…
03-24 13:07:23	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	268	99¢	$265	0x0dff98…
03-24 13:06:31	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	1,591	99¢	$1,573	0xe28969…
03-24 13:06:19	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	345	99¢	$342	0x20a0f1…
03-24 11:05:23	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0xee35c6…
03-24 11:04:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 24	Yes	BUY	444	99¢	$439	0x1d56d3…
03-24 07:25:11	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	SELL	3,368	100¢	$3,361	0xe4cde9…
03-24 05:21:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa08127…
03-24 05:20:31	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xacc3c5…
03-24 05:20:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x58a20e…
03-24 05:18:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6b039e…
03-24 05:12:53	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x0969b7…
03-24 05:12:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xbffc23…
03-24 05:11:09	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$597	0xe8acbf…
03-24 05:09:45	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	998	100¢	$993	0x9db6ac…
03-24 04:47:41	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58252b…
03-24 04:45:59	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$696	0xdea997…
03-24 00:37:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	SELL	631	100¢	$630	0x539d2f…
03-24 00:35:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	SELL	1,452	100¢	$1,449	0xc64279…
03-24 00:21:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cf656…
03-24 00:21:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	2,077	100¢	$2,071	0x0de0b7…
03-23 13:08:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	3,356	100¢	$3,353	0x5f37b0…
03-23 00:15:11	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x465684…
03-22 08:37:31	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3f1cbe…
03-20 07:10:19	will virginia win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xefbf38…
03-19 23:20:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x87e329…
03-14 17:49:51	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x717355…
03-11 03:10:31	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0d2186…
03-07 03:49:47	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x979e33…
03-06 05:46:15	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xe1443e…
03-05 12:47:21	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x3f4c4a…
03-03 08:27:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-03 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xd8c883…
03-02 14:31:01	2026 us senate election democrats flip republicans by march 31	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xace2bc…
02-28 08:38:07	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x4ff132…
02-26 14:35:30	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x13262d…
02-24 22:57:42	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xe09258…
02-24 17:00:02	will trump say elon or musk during the state of the union address 964	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0cad9c…
02-21 19:07:18	will nepali congress win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x9b77b0…
02-15 16:51:55	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x18bd9a…