Round-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

2,049

Trades

2,092

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 212 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$3

Sports

17% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 97% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-27 17:22
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	07-09 15:28
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-20 05:03
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:03
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:32
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:25
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52796c…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc57b49…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7eb8ac…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdcf9b6…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b1431…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x328835…
10-19 18:51:59	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x749e27…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c3c57…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2070c1…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68c257…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x60a14c…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x439d02…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ee5fc…
10-12 09:05:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefeb42…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa12463…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddc8b9…
10-09 02:09:57	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12f723…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x624657…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x45ca62…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc29f63…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe33ca6…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb401ae…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadd8e8…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3a94e…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x875029…
10-01 06:03:14	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f3c6d…
09-30 23:54:45	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7170ef…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44d7df…
09-29 13:58:59	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2abdd…
09-29 13:16:03	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13a781…
09-27 20:41:57	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd70708…
09-27 13:31:20	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b4dfd…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cfd87…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e037c…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x871874…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc97bc6…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8c3ca…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a56a8…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x421c54…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b8760…
09-20 21:08:23	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26a7e2…
09-20 12:44:51	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x450eed…
09-20 06:45:34	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x522546…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf37931…
09-20 02:19:00	Merrimack vs. Tarleton State	Tarleton State	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30ca80…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefe836…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca5375…
09-19 01:33:04	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbee9c3…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fbeba…
09-17 20:00:13	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e0070…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb235ed…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe039bd…
09-17 00:30:54	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96a2ba…
09-16 12:24:48	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe15097…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb8618…
09-15 20:06:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4aca8f…
09-15 13:46:15	wta collins arsenea 2026 09 15	Kylie Collins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x608351…
09-14 20:06:06	cs2 ww blackp 2026 09 14 game1	WW Team	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x60279f…
09-13 22:59:30	Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf249a7…
09-13 14:59:09	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7efb9e…
09-13 02:51:28	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ee929…
09-13 02:22:39	Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall	Marshall	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6d63e…
09-12 22:22:09	atp wild dodig 2026 09 12	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x39ea5b…
09-12 22:19:03	atp wild dodig 2026 09 12	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x27fe09…
09-12 17:08:25	European T20 Premier League: Dublin Guardians vs Glasgow Cosmic	Glasgow Cosmic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2ef37…
09-12 03:07:06	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb6f89…
09-11 21:06:34	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee2cc8…
09-11 20:46:13	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07e6ed…
09-11 02:58:30	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3630fc…
09-10 19:00:03	USA vs. Hungary/Japan	USA	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c9e70…
09-10 18:48:22	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ba301…
09-10 17:31:46	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x250767…
09-10 01:18:25	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd1084…
09-09 22:45:54	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa8bc9…
09-09 22:03:06	xauusd up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8837c…
09-09 18:51:10	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x260e23…
09-09 01:17:55	Over $2M committed to the Linera public sale?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x999800…
09-09 00:21:46	Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd69db…
09-08 23:11:24	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa3fd8…
09-08 20:57:12	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54844a…
09-08 16:03:45	Will Brazil win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x034ce2…
09-08 12:12:34	Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Juan Martin	Valerio Aboian	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08bc76…
09-08 06:06:01	M25 Sapporo: Kazushi Idogaki vs Seiya Nakanishi	Seiya Nakanishi	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc46ba0…
09-08 05:02:48	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c392d…
09-07 21:25:39	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0341ed…
09-04 15:07:30	cs2 fokus aim1 2026 09 04	FOKUS	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x588dee…
09-03 16:11:28	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 12°C or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06e065…
09-03 10:13:04	itf jadou popovi 2026 09 03	Stevan Popovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff2ed4…
09-03 09:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e48a8…
09-03 07:44:54	cs2 fly kg 2026 09 03	FlyQuest	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x422200…
09-02 18:32:27	Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6281da…
09-02 18:29:31	Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31a7a3…
09-02 11:11:00	itf paque strakho 2026 09 02	Valeriya Strakhova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x694371…
09-01 16:36:49	Will Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win on 2026-09-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ddbad…
09-01 14:41:12	Como: Raul Brancaccio vs Duje Ajdukovic	Duje Ajdukovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb656ac…
09-01 13:27:10	Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Infinite	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9038db…
09-01 04:53:51	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8aedee…
09-01 04:23:36	chatgpt outage by september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddfdcb…
08-31 13:40:22	China vs. Lebanon	China	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44cccc…
08-31 04:00:31	Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcaf742…