(anonymous) 0xf4702b…9bcbe1
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$126
Unrealized P&L
-$66
Hit rate
59.0%
Resolved
189
Trades
5,262
lifetime
Volume
$162.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$2.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-29 17:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
47% 0% -$13
Crypto
43% 41% +$381
Other
8% 0% -$242
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 295 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +273 $193 68¢ $187 -$5 10-29 17:44
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +220 $170 70¢ $153 -$17 10-29 17:10
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +222 $168 64¢ $142 -$25 10-28 21:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +212 $132 63¢ $133 +$0 10-29 17:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +124 $118 90¢ $112 -$5 10-16 12:22
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +359 $99 30¢ $110 +$10 10-29 17:47
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +99 $85 98¢ $97 +$12 10-15 09:56
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +180 $76 50¢ $91 +$15 10-29 17:55
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +277 $75 30¢ $85 +$10 10-29 17:51
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +157 $74 50¢ $78 +$4 10-29 17:51
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +112 $81 68¢ $77 -$5 10-29 13:22
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +90 $97 72¢ $65 -$31 10-29 17:33
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +132 $70 50¢ $65 -$5 10-29 17:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +98 $50 66¢ $65 +$15 10-26 12:05
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +82 $61 70¢ $58 -$3 10-29 17:34
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +67 $62 86¢ $58 -$4 10-28 22:24
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +72 $42 76¢ $55 +$13 10-29 08:17
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +55 $52 99¢ $55 +$2 10-22 15:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +58 $53 94¢ $54 +$1 10-29 15:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +152 $54 30¢ $45 -$9 10-29 17:45
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +59 $43 70¢ $41 -$2 10-29 00:48
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? Yes +62 $49 62¢ $38 -$11 10-28 12:10
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +55 $47 67¢ $37 -$10 10-29 17:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +120 $51 30¢ $36 -$16 10-29 15:13
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $48 94¢ $35 -$13 10-16 15:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +98 $26 34¢ $33 +$7 10-25 17:55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +32 $33 96¢ $30 -$3 10-26 17:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +48 $17 62¢ $30 +$13 10-29 15:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +42 $35 70¢ $30 -$6 10-29 09:00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +37 $28 80¢ $29 +$1 10-16 09:53