Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$59

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-24 22:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$0

Sports

27% — —

Politics

17% 0% $-2

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-05 06:47
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-07 03:49
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-05 00:28
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 01:02
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$3	5	1	+4	open	—	04-07 03:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-31 01:54
will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-29 23:32
will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 06:41
will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 04:30
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 04:58
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-05 00:28
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 01:28
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 17:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-19 10:37
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 04:01
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	3	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	04-16 12:23
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 17:31
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	07-24 22:27
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$1	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 12:07
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$1	4	4	+0	open	—	04-23 06:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$1	1	1	+0	open	—	05-11 06:28
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-30 15:09
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-17 18:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	$-1	04-11 05:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-22 04:13
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-01 16:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	$-1	04-11 05:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 22:27:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x858e1f…
06-30 15:09:38	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd8d51f…
06-17 18:44:05	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6c14db…
05-31 01:54:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x036de9…
05-11 06:28:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x661114…
05-05 06:47:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x016c07…
04-25 01:28:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe80f99…
04-25 01:27:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc49963…
04-24 17:42:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x26dd98…
04-24 17:31:38	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x393795…
04-23 12:07:12	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x2c6741…
04-23 12:06:18	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x563063…
04-23 10:57:18	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x122868…
04-23 06:17:14	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xb60c4b…
04-23 05:41:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8ce893…
04-23 05:40:40	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa2d4b4…
04-23 03:21:42	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xa36b3a…
04-23 03:11:58	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x688a44…
04-22 04:13:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfafb7d…
04-22 01:02:48	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x826ced…
04-22 00:56:46	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8401cf…
04-22 00:53:52	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x128469…
04-19 14:41:36	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x824562…
04-19 10:37:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x452a9f…
04-19 10:03:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2ca3a5…
04-19 06:36:50	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfbcd21…
04-17 02:47:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x84eb4e…
04-16 12:23:12	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3e9c38…
04-13 17:45:19	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd8f093…
04-12 22:02:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd8fa75…
04-12 21:57:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x57bc26…
04-11 05:45:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd65b6a…
04-11 05:45:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3f563c…
04-11 05:45:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x951743…
04-08 17:50:51	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2471e7…
04-08 17:50:49	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x711346…
04-07 03:49:37	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd1f818…
04-07 03:49:35	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x04ae55…
04-06 17:44:03	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x45256d…
04-06 02:56:49	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x08394c…
04-05 03:44:41	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0x9fd52a…
04-05 03:44:17	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe9bd79…
04-05 03:36:57	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7596a6…
04-05 02:20:33	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xec10e6…
04-05 00:28:05	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb2bcd2…
04-05 00:28:03	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8bfdf5…
04-04 23:46:31	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0471ba…
04-04 23:46:29	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdcdbb6…
04-02 18:19:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbb1370…
04-01 16:50:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9b6fe6…
04-01 13:58:19	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7ab326…
04-01 13:58:19	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x077c1f…
03-29 23:32:16	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6f0642…
03-28 04:58:23	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb6f58a…
03-27 04:01:15	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x87769b…
03-22 01:02:37	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9ce047…
03-20 19:35:11	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x880f1f…
03-20 19:32:13	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd7a5b4…
03-20 19:14:51	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x247ee6…
03-20 19:14:41	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcd344f…
03-20 04:27:55	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb78400…
03-18 06:41:09	will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd0269b…
03-18 04:30:33	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x33da8e…
03-11 18:57:49	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3f2ff0…
03-11 17:40:47	will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb0e12c…