Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
23
lifetime
Volume
$63
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$15
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-10 11:27
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
73%
Other
24%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +7 $5 60¢ $4 $-1 06-10 11:13
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) Labour +4 $3 51¢ $2 $-1 06-10 11:22
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +71 $1 $2 +$1 06-02 11:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +15 $1 $1 +$0 06-02 10:58
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +9 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-10 11:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 $1 $-0 06-01 11:45
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Yes +125 $1 $1 $-0 06-02 10:58
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes +67 $1 $1 $-0 06-02 10:51
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +48 $1 $1 $-0 06-02 11:01
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? Yes +1 $1 42¢ $1 $-0 06-10 11:16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +6 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-10 11:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +40 $1 $0 $-1 06-01 11:39
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +7 $1 $0 $-1 06-01 11:20