Realized P&L
+$29.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.83K
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved
5,141
Trades
153,426
lifetime
Volume
$34.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$224
Open exposure
$68.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 23:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 273 days
Categories
Other
81% 77% +$83,672
Sports
14% 65% -$54,868
Politics
4% 48% -$5,495
Crypto
0% 78% +$2,839
Tech
0% 90% +$2,836
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 2328 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +42,535 $30,251 84¢ $35.9K +$5,692 09-30 03:06
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +6,926 $5,001 98¢ $6.8K +$1,786 10-23 16:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4,187 $3,336 90¢ $3.7K +$412 10-21 18:48
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +4,863 $3,747 74¢ $3.6K -$149 10-26 21:28
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,967 $2,730 99¢ $2.9K +$197 10-21 19:14
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +2,610 $2,134 80¢ $2.1K -$59 10-26 21:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,000 $1,942 96¢ $1.9K -$21 10-24 11:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +2,459 $1,942 76¢ $1.9K -$73 10-19 10:39
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +1,000 $930 97¢ $972 +$42 10-14 00:06
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +1,606 $1,076 57¢ $915 -$161 10-24 10:58
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1,000 $900 90¢ $905 +$5 10-18 16:47
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1,000 $685 88¢ $875 +$190 10-18 22:33
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,111 $522 66¢ $728 +$206 08-21 19:16
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? No +760 $712 96¢ $726 +$14 10-18 07:41
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2027 Yes +5,134 $719 12¢ $590 -$128 10-14 14:08
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? No +942 $669 62¢ $589 -$80 10-22 04:29
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? No +506 $493 97¢ $492 -$1 10-22 19:40
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +734 $426 64¢ $466 +$40 10-21 22:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +500 $365 90¢ $449 +$84 10-18 22:15
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +894 $277 40¢ $358 +$81 10-22 13:52
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +9,392 $491 3¢ $272 -$218 10-24 01:25
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +1,000 $300 24¢ $235 -$65 10-18 18:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +628 $144 36¢ $229 +$85 10-21 22:36
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +1,030 $77 16¢ $167 +$90 10-18 03:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +219 $266 66¢ $145 -$121 10-25 19:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +164 $143 88¢ $145 +$2 10-20 07:29
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +158 $137 86¢ $135 -$2 10-20 03:23
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +245 $137 42¢ $104 -$33 10-24 17:21
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +142 $121 68¢ $97 -$24 10-19 14:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? No +90 $51 100¢ $90 +$40 10-21 23:56