Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
43
lifetime
Volume
$337
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$52
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 07-03 14:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
55%
Other
26%
Sports
11%
Tech
8%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -40 $-7 22¢ $-9 $-2 06-21 12:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-8 84¢ $-8 $-1 06-19 12:49
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +8 $5 66¢ $6 +$1 06-25 12:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 07-03 14:02
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $-0 07-03 14:03
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +20 $4 20¢ $4 $-0 07-03 14:00
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +10 $3 36¢ $4 +$1 06-18 12:59
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +15 $11 22¢ $3 $-8 06-02 11:54
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -23 $-4 13¢ $-3 +$1 06-18 03:18
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $2 $2 +$0 06-25 03:46
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +40 $1 $2 +$1 06-07 01:56
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-18 12:33