Realized P&L (90d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
25.0%
Resolved (90d)
6
Trades (90d)
13
13 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$18
$18 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$13
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-11 21:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
59% 33% $-2
Politics
41%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? Yes +5 $3 94¢ $5 +$1 05-07 18:56
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11? Down +4 $1 100¢ $4 +$3 05-11 14:08
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? Yes +34 $1 $1 +$0 05-11 21:42
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 05-06 13:50
Will Kim Do-eup win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? Yes +505 $1 $1 $-0 05-08 02:37
Will Park Jae-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? Yes +500 $1 $1 $-0 05-08 02:32
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? No -2 $-2 26¢ $-1 +$1 05-10 19:14