Tangible-Mattress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$7.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 04-29 06:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 25% $-0

Sports

32% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$326	163	163	+0	open	—	04-19 20:22
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$319	133	186	-53	open	—	03-04 20:22
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$272	136	136	+0	open	—	04-16 04:31
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$252	126	126	+0	open	—	02-25 11:35
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	03-20 18:03
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	03-29 16:17
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	04-17 01:52
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	04-03 15:47
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$190	95	95	+0	open	—	04-14 21:41
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$188	94	94	+0	open	—	04-02 13:02
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$182	91	91	+0	No	+$0	03-26 04:48
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	03-22 18:32
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	04-13 10:06
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	03-04 13:36
will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$175	88	88	+0	open	—	03-23 00:51
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	2	$173	87	87	+0	open	—	03-29 01:42
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$168	84	84	+0	open	—	04-21 08:48
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$166	83	83	+0	open	—	04-16 19:43
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	03-12 03:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$158	79	79	+0	open	—	04-17 05:12
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	04-19 09:31
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$154	77	77	+0	No	$-0	04-07 20:13
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$152	76	76	+0	No	$-0	03-14 08:06
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$150	75	75	+0	No	$-0	03-26 11:37
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	03-21 14:34
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	04-05 06:02
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$146	73	73	+0	open	—	02-21 05:45
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	03-05 11:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$142	71	71	+0	open	—	03-13 18:50
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$142	71	71	+0	open	—	02-14 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-29 06:38:54	Will Solana dip to $50 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7a8297…
04-21 08:48:10	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x8e6f48…
04-21 03:28:56	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x53a7a8…
04-20 07:00:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xc087ae…
04-20 03:24:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x9ef6a2…
04-19 20:22:06	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x1b52c4…
04-19 17:11:22	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xe38886…
04-19 09:31:08	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x65c10c…
04-19 05:15:52	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x31890a…
04-17 13:50:16	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xf7c346…
04-17 12:45:22	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x92e718…
04-17 05:12:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x8abcc2…
04-17 01:53:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x2a7c16…
04-17 01:52:54	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x2a0759…
04-16 22:54:30	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xb2f12c…
04-16 19:43:02	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x864ce8…
04-16 13:39:28	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x42f95d…
04-16 04:31:24	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x853f1b…
04-15 23:08:54	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x558ebf…
04-14 21:41:18	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xb179bd…
04-14 18:19:04	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x4ebfb1…
04-13 10:06:03	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xbb2e76…
04-13 05:23:11	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x84ee90…
04-12 16:17:07	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xd18d98…
04-12 15:02:25	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xf98bd7…
04-07 20:13:03	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x15315d…
04-07 17:06:03	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x9f7630…
04-05 06:02:57	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0xad46e3…
04-05 03:21:05	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xc19000…
04-03 15:47:17	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x95ac0a…
04-03 10:32:01	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd9156c…
04-02 13:02:05	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x72c22f…
04-02 04:55:03	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x7df996…
04-01 02:50:33	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x23d98b…
03-31 22:32:49	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x46d258…
03-31 11:55:35	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb8d444…
03-31 07:35:39	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd59a34…
03-29 16:17:42	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x5535a1…
03-29 15:15:16	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x737aad…
03-29 01:42:20	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xcdcd22…
03-28 22:36:12	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xab0c6b…
03-26 11:37:17	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xcc0a8e…
03-26 05:20:17	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x2cd1c6…
03-26 04:48:19	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xf23fd1…
03-25 22:53:49	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x3564ed…
03-24 14:51:25	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x9e86f9…
03-24 08:24:27	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xa9cae6…
03-23 00:51:57	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xed7bfb…
03-23 00:06:09	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x265a9e…
03-23 00:05:59	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3e86c9…
03-22 18:32:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x4f0519…
03-22 12:19:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x210472…
03-22 06:03:19	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x55de9c…
03-21 23:23:59	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x121fe3…
03-21 14:34:01	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xee87d6…
03-21 00:58:31	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x82eb08…
03-20 18:03:03	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xd8eeb7…
03-19 21:38:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xf82ca6…
03-14 08:06:43	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x4583e8…
03-14 01:28:21	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xf0b343…
03-13 18:50:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x376339…
03-13 12:00:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xb0e63b…
03-12 23:43:39	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Nuggets	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xc80cbd…
03-12 23:43:09	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Bulls	BUY	52	17¢	$9	0xfd5e52…
03-12 23:42:51	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x63497c…
03-12 18:02:05	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x83b98f…
03-12 03:05:17	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x3ea45d…
03-11 18:10:55	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x5a513a…
03-10 19:55:07	nba ind sac 2026 03 10	Kings	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x7adcae…
03-10 19:54:37	nba cha por 2026 03 10	Trail Blazers	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xd05c67…
03-10 19:54:09	nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	Bulls	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x618b1b…
03-08 20:22:29	nba det mia 2026 03 08	Pistons	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x142714…
03-08 20:22:03	nba was nop 2026 03 08	Wizards	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0x6e9e0e…
03-08 20:21:35	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Pacers	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0x2d8127…
03-07 15:48:03	nba phi atl 2026 03 07	Hawks	BUY	47	71¢	$33	0x4223ea…
03-07 15:47:37	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Warriors	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x3e6552…
03-07 15:47:11	nba lac mem 2026 03 07	Clippers	BUY	34	70¢	$24	0xee5040…
03-05 11:15:29	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xf9dcdb…
03-04 20:23:09	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x1644fc…
03-04 20:22:53	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x87a784…
03-04 13:37:15	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x618135…
03-04 13:36:59	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x71723f…
03-04 06:32:19	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xda0961…
03-03 23:41:55	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Mavericks	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x21826c…
03-03 13:22:13	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	39	86¢	$33	0x03f19d…
03-03 13:21:43	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Lakers	BUY	37	77¢	$28	0xda7f54…
03-03 13:21:21	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x916032…
03-03 05:00:13	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x65f015…
03-02 22:13:27	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xf6198c…
03-02 08:52:09	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x461912…
03-02 08:51:53	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xbfc6ab…
03-02 02:19:05	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xe6bc77…
03-01 19:38:53	nba cle bkn 2026 03 01	Cavaliers	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x411465…
03-01 19:38:33	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0xbb7240…
03-01 11:56:29	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x9eed88…
02-28 13:08:37	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x97e7b9…
02-28 02:10:15	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xe651de…
02-27 20:05:21	Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x47df4d…
02-27 19:03:07	Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x72f110…
02-27 04:11:14	Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x64de9e…