Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$505

Unrealized P&L

-$34

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

162

Trades

519

lifetime

Volume

$9.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$129

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-29 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 31% -$278

Other

14% 19% -$194

Sports

1% 29% -$24

Politics

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+183	$109	54¢	$99	-$10	10-29 13:19
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes		+138	$53	21¢	$29	-$24	10-28 14:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	11	$1.1K	911	911	+0	No	+$309	03-24 03:59
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	11	$847	614	614	+0	No	+$8	03-27 04:47
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	15	$747	768	768	+0	Yes	+$46	03-29 22:12
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	11	$564	736	736	+0	Yes	-$26	03-30 16:45
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?	12	$527	872	599	+273	No	+$250	03-26 19:56
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	15	$383	1,584	1,584	+0	Yes	-$50	03-30 10:30
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$369	1,159	1,159	+0	Yes	-$14	03-30 08:30
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$361	245	237	+8	No	+$102	04-10 20:08
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?	12	$307	709	709	+0	Yes	-$159	03-30 11:27
Perle Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?	10	$278	851	751	+100	Yes	-$166	03-26 18:11
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$260	173	173	+0	No	+$14	01-11 13:15
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$257	348	238	+110	Yes	+$3	04-14 19:00
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?	6	$227	964	964	+0	Yes	-$79	01-11 13:14
bkcba sha3 fuj 2026 04 10	4	$223	400	169	+231	Shanghai Sharks	-$14	04-10 13:48
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	10	$206	1,725	410	+1,315	Yes	-$49	03-24 20:02
cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	6	$201	267	262	+5	Lucknow Super Giants	+$166	04-09 17:49
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	4	$195	441	441	+0	Yes	-$167	04-01 03:34
Axis Robotics FDV above $250M one day after launch?	2	$135	102	102	+0	Yes	+$67	10-22 21:46
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$109	183	0	+183	open	—	10-29 13:19
Perle Labs FDV above $80M one day after launch?	5	$107	609	609	+0	Yes	-$80	03-25 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:45 UTC	2	$90	47	47	+0	Down	+$2	04-11 19:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$85	2,641	2,641	+0	Yes	-$80	01-31 05:14
Perle Labs FDV above $300M one day after launch?	6	$85	1,069	1,069	+0	No	-$45	03-26 16:35
Axis Robotics FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$65	38	38	+0	Yes	+$9	10-22 21:46
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?	6	$65	151	45	+106	No	-$32	02-05 17:03
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	8	$60	1,487	1,052	+435	No	-$41	04-14 19:11
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	1	$53	138	0	+138	open	—	10-28 14:45
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$52	347	347	+0	No	-$28	02-05 17:01
ethereum above 2000 on march 27	6	$51	200	200	+0	No	-$1	03-26 20:40
Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$50	32	32	+0	No	+$10	03-19 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:19:05	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	183	60¢	$109	0xab8d4e…
10-28 14:45:20	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	138	39¢	$53	0xed7eb9…
10-22 21:46:21	Axis Robotics FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0xe6cf6b…
10-22 21:46:05	Axis Robotics FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0x23c532…
10-20 22:15:06	Axis Robotics FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0xb2857a…
10-20 22:14:12	Axis Robotics FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	102	33¢	$34	0xafe86e…
10-04 18:02:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe47d72…
09-09 21:31:09	laptop fdv above 1pt5b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x3b1ca4…
09-09 14:35:39	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x19a6f9…
09-09 13:34:48	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x55adfc…
09-04 15:22:18	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	No	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0xa81d1e…
06-17 22:21:43	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x025eab…
06-17 02:22:12	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb97a36…
06-17 01:49:05	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe1a628…
06-16 23:42:59	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0x5cb76f…
06-16 23:42:02	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x967330…
06-16 21:08:07	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7c4896…
06-16 20:41:50	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdc368d…
06-16 07:15:04	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x0f9aa0…
06-16 07:14:49	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x28c4ea…
06-16 04:42:27	mlb tb lad 2026 06 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6b0d04…
06-16 02:50:16	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xbafcc9…
06-16 02:30:18	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x8129b1…
06-16 01:30:22	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	13¢	$3	0xab3349…
06-16 01:29:34	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x67fb49…
06-16 01:26:34	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xc83c30…
06-16 01:26:25	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0x8a328d…
06-16 01:26:18	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x664210…
06-16 01:19:48	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x4cd2ba…
06-16 00:45:18	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xc120ad…
06-16 00:44:28	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd32a14…
06-16 00:43:16	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4b66b8…
06-15 22:48:34	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x038b5d…
06-15 21:04:45	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x8a8a1c…
06-15 21:04:12	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x768355…
06-15 21:03:21	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfe9970…
06-15 20:50:39	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x5230c3…
06-15 20:50:06	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xc46c6f…
06-15 20:49:40	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xb9f600…
06-15 18:01:42	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x580546…
06-15 17:59:34	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x09a1fb…
06-15 17:56:03	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x4e6a4a…
06-15 17:52:24	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0xc98aad…
06-15 17:50:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0xd46692…
06-15 17:46:31	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xd4e3a2…
06-15 17:41:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x412dcc…
06-15 04:50:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x823230…
06-15 04:49:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf1d4ba…
05-19 13:45:43	Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Jenson Brooksby	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x1c4c85…
05-19 13:43:25	Cervia: Filippo Romano vs Enrico Dalla Valle	Filippo Romano	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe673a1…
05-19 13:41:52	Istanbul: Benjamin Hassan vs Filip Jianu	Filip Jianu	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x2efa22…
05-19 13:40:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	373	1¢	$5	0xe76078…
05-19 13:23:56	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Kaichi Uchida	Kaichi Uchida	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x67d91a…
05-19 13:17:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	129	1¢	$2	0x25f941…
05-19 13:17:38	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	129	1¢	$2	0x9b79d2…
05-19 06:28:36	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	302	1¢	$4	0x5c1ca8…
05-19 06:26:37	Bengaluru 3: Karan Singh vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x5c965c…
05-19 06:24:31	Bengaluru 3: Karan Singh vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x099577…
05-19 06:18:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x39228e…
05-19 06:04:25	Bengaluru 3: Karan Singh vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xbc1557…
05-19 05:54:20	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x26f3ac…
05-19 05:53:54	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x988597…
05-19 00:56:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	258	1¢	$3	0xe8def8…
05-19 00:54:28	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	345	1¢	$5	0x5e3344…
05-18 14:42:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0xc2647d…
05-18 14:41:48	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0xb7bd9e…
05-17 13:07:46	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	1,120	0¢	$1	0xb3da80…
05-17 13:06:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0xda8945…
05-16 05:56:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	78	2¢	$2	0xe3d6b6…
05-16 05:56:19	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xfd89dd…
05-16 05:24:48	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	113	2¢	$3	0x3bf063…
05-16 05:23:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0xd21c29…
05-09 15:18:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut	Roberto Bautista Agut	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0x42133e…
05-09 15:18:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	31	20¢	$6	0x85f4af…
05-09 15:04:43	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut	Roberto Bautista Agut	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xdaaadf…
05-09 15:03:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut	Roberto Bautista Agut	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x610e9f…
05-09 14:50:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xbd621c…
05-09 14:50:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x729029…
05-09 14:50:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x24b68b…
05-09 14:25:03	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x6803ea…
05-09 14:19:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xba95ac…
05-09 14:16:13	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xcdcadc…
05-09 14:10:54	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Shelton	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf686c3…
05-07 20:38:08	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xa7c6c8…
05-07 20:18:33	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0x5f2fe8…
05-07 20:07:00	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x17bf7c…
05-07 20:03:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi	Andrea Pellegrino	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xe57147…
05-07 19:33:37	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi	Andrea Pellegrino	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x5477d6…
05-07 19:30:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi	Luca Nardi	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x42ddb9…
05-07 18:56:31	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardi	Luca Nardi	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xbfb7be…
05-07 18:54:14	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0x4828dc…
05-07 18:41:47	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xbe11ae…
05-07 18:39:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend	Taylor Townsend	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xc5480a…
05-07 18:28:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend	Taylor Townsend	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xeba392…
05-07 16:02:06	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Lucknow Super Giants	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x231877…
05-07 14:04:03	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x0ab2d5…
05-05 03:56:22	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	17¢	$5	0xf309e6…
05-05 03:53:56	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	263	2¢	$5	0xece809…
05-05 03:50:20	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd0541a…
05-05 01:41:10	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	215	3¢	$6	0x9153a6…