Legitimate-Desert — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

282

Trades

461

lifetime

Volume

$5.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 13:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 85% +$75

Other

15% 43% -$122

Sports

1% 30% -$5

Politics

0% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+10	$2	7¢	$1	-$1	05-28 19:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	1	$250	252	0	+252	No	+$2	05-19 01:45
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$160	81	81	+0	No	+$0	03-07 01:37
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	04-06 22:44
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	5	$117	117	6	+111	No	+$4	03-28 01:05
Will Solana reach $120 in May?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-28 19:21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	04-06 22:45
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	03-01 21:50
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	04-07 23:44
will hyperliquid dip to 20 in february 415	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-27 09:27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	4	$93	95	0	+95	No	+$2	04-22 15:37
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$84	206	0	+206	Spain	-$84	07-19 16:44
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	1	$80	82	0	+82	No	+$2	04-07 22:47
will xrp reach 2pt8 in august 2026	1	$75	76	0	+76	No	+$1	08-22 14:36
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	4	$70	66	6	+60	No	+$1	02-27 02:56
will xrp reach 3pt4 in january 2026	3	$70	61	10	+50	No	+$0	01-29 07:47
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	6	$69	58	19	+39	No	+$4	03-17 02:24
Will Solana reach $120 in April?	2	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$2	04-30 18:53
will xrp reach 2pt4 in february 2026	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	02-27 09:21
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$0	02-03 15:27
will bitcoin reach 84k february 9 15	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	02-14 17:10
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$0	02-03 01:41
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$60	106	0	+106	Spain	-$60	07-14 18:18
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	02-02 00:53
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	6	$52	39	17	+22	No	+$2	03-17 02:27
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	5	$51	27	27	+0	No	+$1	02-11 01:50
will bitcoin reach 78k february 23 march 1	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-01 21:45
will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-28 01:03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$50	52	0	+52	No	+$2	05-19 01:45
Will Solana reach $140 in April?	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	04-07 23:21
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	03-01 21:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 13:04:18	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x53750b…
10-25 13:04:08	Will Athletic Club vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcc0fdc…
10-18 14:00:33	Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0xd6c2cf…
10-18 13:56:15	Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe9fb92…
10-18 13:55:56	Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x0b3c9a…
09-19 14:53:20	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x07a214…
09-19 14:52:57	Will Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xcd9518…
09-13 15:47:45	Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc198ec…
09-13 15:47:33	Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x797078…
09-09 20:57:46	Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xef276c…
09-09 20:57:34	Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa1381a…
08-30 19:20:49	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x6d61c6…
08-30 19:20:27	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x8dbf65…
08-27 19:07:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd5b4d3…
08-22 14:36:07	will xrp reach 2pt8 in august 2026	No	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0x95af88…
08-22 14:34:43	will solana reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x5d4c02…
08-22 14:34:01	will bitcoin reach 90k in august 2026	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x2f00c9…
08-22 14:33:22	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xc3b7e1…
08-22 14:33:07	Will Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x0571fa…
07-19 16:44:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	206	41¢	$84	0x954725…
07-14 19:26:52	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x44c8af…
07-14 19:26:28	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x891b34…
07-14 18:18:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	106	56¢	$60	0x505e55…
07-06 19:13:11	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xaa5a23…
07-06 19:12:47	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x991fec…
06-23 00:00:35	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0xa64a55…
06-23 00:00:23	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x1bcbf7…
06-23 00:00:14	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x3dbdd7…
06-23 00:00:02	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xd6ab05…
06-22 23:59:49	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xebe305…
06-22 23:59:38	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x50492f…
06-22 23:59:19	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xab956e…
06-22 23:58:17	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf1d387…
06-22 23:58:05	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x2f718b…
05-29 19:52:47	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x2e5a9c…
05-28 19:21:25	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x270e5d…
05-28 19:20:43	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3f4e2a…
05-26 04:48:25	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xd9c4d3…
05-21 02:43:12	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xde9c28…
05-19 01:47:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x79f142…
05-19 01:46:58	Will Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd46f5a…
05-19 01:45:53	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	252	99¢	$250	0xc0a04c…
05-19 01:45:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x2a761a…
05-19 01:44:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xca264d…
05-19 01:43:21	Will XRP reach $2.20 in May?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xafebaa…
05-19 01:42:22	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xac324a…
05-18 18:11:25	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	95	11¢	$11	0xb2a11d…
05-17 17:03:30	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0ef524…
05-17 17:03:18	Will Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1890ce…
05-14 15:08:56	Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x49d120…
05-14 15:08:30	Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x5f2a45…
05-14 03:28:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x0f0f6b…
05-12 11:40:22	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x4d72aa…
05-12 11:40:06	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x171417…
05-11 18:34:22	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x5c3967…
05-11 18:33:47	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf84847…
05-11 18:33:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	67¢	$10	0xd60fe5…
05-07 13:47:03	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x519cc1…
05-07 13:46:51	Will Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x4233ea…
05-07 13:45:34	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x42ab5b…
05-07 13:45:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	18	86¢	$16	0x108634…
05-04 02:36:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x56f5a1…
05-02 21:43:52	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x278080…
05-02 21:42:32	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xf8a402…
05-02 21:42:06	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x5dde7b…
05-02 21:41:48	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4cfb71…
05-02 21:41:02	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x83d5e0…
05-02 21:40:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xe186b5…
05-02 01:46:22	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa73a3b…
05-02 01:46:10	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb4b248…
05-01 13:30:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xac42bb…
04-30 18:55:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe3c708…
04-30 18:55:18	Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfdbc2b…
04-30 18:54:36	Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4a4f74…
04-30 18:54:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8b685d…
04-30 18:53:50	Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2e2b4b…
04-30 18:53:18	Will Solana reach $120 in April?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xd87318…
04-27 22:13:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x7c88d4…
04-27 02:08:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x8a7b3f…
04-27 02:07:06	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xee409f…
04-23 18:35:26	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xf6d3bc…
04-23 18:35:12	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x1be2a3…
04-22 15:37:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x0d9061…
04-22 15:37:14	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x7a0650…
04-17 21:16:58	Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbb1122…
04-17 21:16:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x503e69…
04-17 21:15:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb04dcb…
04-17 21:14:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x672893…
04-16 17:39:36	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb95344…
04-16 17:38:56	lal bil osa 2026 04 21 osa	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2fbc51…
04-16 17:38:46	lal bil osa 2026 04 21 draw	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1f0950…
04-13 22:32:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd84180…
04-09 15:13:31	nvda up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x7e0a96…
04-07 23:47:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x03f167…
04-07 23:47:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3ba50a…
04-07 23:47:23	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x281de5…
04-07 23:47:09	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x40ddbd…
04-07 23:46:59	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x009a32…
04-07 23:46:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0a6f3b…
04-07 23:45:55	lal bil vil 2026 04 12 vil	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xd25c40…