Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$143
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
828
lifetime
Volume
$65.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$2.10K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-04 00:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52%
Other
47%
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -5,337 $-961 12¢ $-667 +$294 06-12 15:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +3,500 $625 15¢ $508 $-117 06-15 08:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -5,605 $-448 $-364 +$84 06-15 17:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,500 $330 12¢ $188 $-142 05-29 15:07
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +999 $180 18¢ $185 +$5 06-22 13:17
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes -5,129 $-205 $-185 +$21 06-15 17:29