Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

4,554

Trades

7,754

lifetime

Volume

$43.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 09-01 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 96% +$7

Other

20% 57% -$83

Politics

11% 43% +$0

Sports

2% 29% +$2

Tech

2% 0% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+0	$0	90¢	$0	+$0	07-24 02:22
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+0	$33	3¢	$0	-$33	08-28 15:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	50	$1.7K	2,574	2,574	+0	open	—	08-28 15:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	15	$776	800	800	+0	No	$0	06-27 09:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	18	$760	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	08-21 03:27
Fed rate hike in 2026?	14	$685	805	805	+0	Yes	-$16	08-21 15:08
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	31	$473	600	600	+0	No	+$1	07-26 15:28
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	9	$458	800	800	+0	open	—	08-18 00:08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	8	$449	501	501	+0	open	—	08-26 08:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$409	916	916	+0	No	$0	06-18 13:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$364	400	400	+0	No	+$12	06-18 06:38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	7	$357	400	400	+0	No	+$1	07-30 13:28
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	9	$346	400	400	+0	open	—	08-19 13:05
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	22	$339	270	270	+0	open	—	07-27 15:32
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	16	$328	400	400	+0	No	+$8	07-11 06:54
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	11	$274	855	855	+0	open	—	08-19 14:03
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	4	$219	200	200	+0	Yes	+$23	07-12 11:28
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	2	$196	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 14:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	10	$190	200	200	+0	Yes	+$18	06-13 12:12
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	10	$185	150	150	+0	open	—	08-30 16:03
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$184	576	576	+0	Yes	+$2	06-11 09:37
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	2	$170	200	200	+0	No	+$2	08-19 06:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	2	$168	200	200	+0	Yes	-$20	07-21 15:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$168	200	200	+0	No	$0	07-30 05:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	6	$164	200	200	+0	No	$0	07-22 20:31
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	5	$164	394	394	+0	Yes	+$6	06-17 12:45
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	10	$151	200	200	+0	Yes	-$8	07-08 07:14
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	4	$149	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	07-23 17:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$147	200	200	+0	open	—	07-13 12:08
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?	2	$145	105	105	+0	No	+$0	06-07 06:58
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	2	$144	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 00:14
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	2	$132	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 10:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 19:28:43	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0xeec3bd…
09-01 19:28:34	FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	8¢	$4	0x92cccd…
09-01 18:23:09	Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?	No	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x322ddf…
09-01 08:44:31	FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x88c28c…
09-01 02:02:19	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xe0a6a8…
08-31 21:22:16	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xb982ff…
08-31 16:22:13	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x0d42c9…
08-31 00:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 1?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xfef231…
08-31 00:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 1?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x222525…
08-30 16:03:45	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xeded2c…
08-29 17:14:24	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x74305c…
08-29 07:07:30	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xaf4167…
08-28 15:56:04	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x234d7f…
08-28 00:04:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xc538a9…
08-27 12:21:43	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	35	55¢	$19	0x8ae449…
08-27 12:20:34	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x3b8cf1…
08-26 20:53:07	Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xfb314e…
08-26 17:03:30	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x97cfbc…
08-26 15:53:03	Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xcacb65…
08-26 08:11:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x9e8c7d…
08-26 03:11:30	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xee5997…
08-25 17:25:43	Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	23	63¢	$14	0xaf8beb…
08-25 14:42:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	14¢	$32	0x91f8e2…
08-25 09:58:15	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0x4baeb3…
08-25 09:54:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x62053d…
08-25 09:50:21	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0x6a2467…
08-25 09:45:00	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x99af82…
08-25 09:44:24	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x1779cf…
08-25 09:43:12	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x9718e8…
08-25 09:42:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0x03a137…
08-25 09:42:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	16¢	$37	0xf3b851…
08-25 09:42:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xc281a5…
08-25 09:42:40	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	17¢	$39	0xdc6ff6…
08-25 09:05:40	Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	Yes	BUY	23	63¢	$14	0x5d748b…
08-25 03:01:49	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x2c57fc…
08-25 03:01:39	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x6b014c…
08-24 07:49:49	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x5055e7…
08-24 07:49:48	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0x130492…
08-24 03:08:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	101	47¢	$47	0x2dde2e…
08-24 03:08:51	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	47¢	$47	0xdcea7e…
08-23 19:43:39	Will Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0xd48cd8…
08-23 03:26:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x9cd0d8…
08-23 03:26:49	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x1ec5a0…
08-22 18:59:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xc028f4…
08-22 18:59:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x505a93…
08-21 19:43:55	Will Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xebc0e6…
08-21 15:08:12	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x1ca5f6…
08-21 15:08:01	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x21c0f3…
08-21 15:07:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	103	47¢	$48	0xf48ba0…
08-21 14:51:13	Will Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$0	0xe08c88…
08-21 14:51:09	Will Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x62471a…
08-21 14:51:09	Will Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x335c41…
08-21 14:51:09	Will Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x07cf17…
08-21 03:27:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x985ee3…
08-20 12:45:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x9b273e…
08-20 09:03:48	russia elections united russia wins every region	No	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x36aac7…
08-20 04:03:42	russia elections united russia wins every region	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x9be799…
08-20 01:35:51	skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	No	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0x71dec8…
08-19 20:35:45	skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027	No	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x3cb519…
08-19 14:22:07	Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	SELL	35	63¢	$22	0xd96208…
08-19 14:03:19	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	SELL	226	11¢	$25	0xfbdf79…
08-19 14:03:18	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	SELL	226	10¢	$23	0x3a9324…
08-19 14:03:16	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	226	10¢	$23	0x84cce2…
08-19 13:05:45	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xcc2462…
08-19 12:47:28	Will Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?	Yes	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0xe63ed9…
08-19 10:58:24	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x6cd4c2…
08-19 06:42:43	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x03749e…
08-19 06:42:40	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x18e692…
08-19 01:42:12	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	SELL	203	11¢	$22	0x3f7d84…
08-18 20:42:09	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	203	12¢	$24	0xd23135…
08-18 11:20:48	Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0xdd4a65…
08-18 09:36:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	78	39¢	$30	0xd2d2b9…
08-18 01:13:52	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	78	39¢	$30	0x125a79…
08-18 00:08:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xa78efd…
08-17 23:44:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0x4e65fc…
08-17 19:08:01	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xfa0fcc…
08-17 18:44:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x008300…
08-17 04:49:52	Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x1fe966…
08-11 10:46:25	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	No	SELL	42	22¢	$9	0xf26726…
08-11 08:08:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xa3c1c6…
08-11 05:46:19	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	No	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0x377c6a…
08-10 13:54:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xce00c0…
08-10 03:40:21	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x94a164…
08-09 22:16:00	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	26	44¢	$11	0xe600e4…
08-09 19:12:54	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	61	31¢	$19	0x8653dc…
08-09 19:12:54	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	61	30¢	$18	0x5e5be4…
08-09 19:12:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	61	30¢	$18	0xd568d5…
08-09 19:12:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	61	31¢	$19	0x6fa4f3…
08-09 17:35:34	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xc02735…
08-09 14:14:12	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xdd0242…
08-09 13:25:34	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x6ac2ed…
08-09 10:43:21	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x371eb6…
08-09 00:17:10	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	44	44¢	$19	0x722978…
08-08 16:27:33	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0x45c540…
08-08 16:02:04	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x50a010…
08-08 06:37:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x609f5a…
08-08 01:37:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xb4198f…
08-08 00:18:25	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	21	57¢	$12	0xa2a0e6…
08-07 22:56:51	fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x290f65…
08-07 19:18:25	Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xdaeb8d…