Dull-Owl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

319

lifetime

Volume

$2.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-27 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 83% +$0

Politics

18% — —

Other

15% 100% +$2

Sports

15% 100% +$4

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	10	$230	250	213	+37	open	—	05-01 17:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$206	128	99	+29	open	—	04-01 01:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$88	89	0	+89	open	—	04-21 01:45
Will Lille win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	3	$57	59	0	+59	open	—	02-10 20:22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$55	29	29	+0	open	—	05-27 22:44
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	03-06 12:34
Will Celtic win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$43	44	0	+44	open	—	02-19 15:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	04-13 01:56
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-14 15:54
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-14 21:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	04-26 19:40
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$28	29	0	+29	Yes	+$1	05-12 18:45
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-16 22:38
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	04-26 19:43
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	03-19 10:27
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-19 10:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-28 17:19
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$27	28	0	+28	open	—	03-11 18:13
Will Red Star Belgrade win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	02-02 20:21
Will GNK Dinamo win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	02-02 20:24
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	03-06 12:25
will let god sort em out clipse pusha t malice win album of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	01-07 22:36
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$25	29	0	+29	No	+$4	04-16 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	13	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	05-01 17:30
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-12 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 22:44:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x56ed6c…
05-27 02:47:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0x7a6814…
05-23 23:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x05c3f2…
05-23 23:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x30817e…
05-23 23:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38f15a…
05-23 23:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7992ea…
05-23 23:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb627a6…
05-17 00:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10efab…
05-17 00:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdcc13c…
05-17 00:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x35c560…
05-17 00:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb20d99…
05-17 00:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xe5f9a1…
05-17 00:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x0a3af6…
05-17 00:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5b2f8a…
05-17 00:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeb4900…
05-17 00:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x67fdcd…
05-17 00:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x919d28…
05-17 00:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x60e574…
05-17 00:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x11eae5…
05-17 00:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfbc97f…
05-17 00:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6909e6…
05-17 00:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x15fe5d…
05-16 22:38:50	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x91e81c…
05-14 21:14:31	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xebe0cf…
05-14 21:13:33	Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xab6802…
05-14 20:43:03	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc78c55…
05-14 20:38:19	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x1e19bb…
05-14 15:54:33	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	29	98¢	$29	0x880e01…
05-13 01:48:56	Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbbf7f6…
05-13 01:48:35	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3c6900…
05-12 21:18:32	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x0cdeeb…
05-12 21:18:18	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe33df1…
05-12 18:45:51	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x38ac6f…
05-10 01:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x776c10…
05-10 01:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf284ba…
05-10 01:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9a827b…
05-10 01:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf25059…
05-10 01:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb34984…
05-10 01:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4dbecf…
05-10 01:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2d6aea…
05-10 01:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe8b179…
05-10 01:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeb2e96…
05-10 00:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcafc22…
05-10 00:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc383a0…
05-10 00:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc248f4…
05-10 00:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x458853…
05-10 00:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc2de85…
05-03 00:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x259768…
05-03 00:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe55d59…
05-03 00:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa48d87…
05-03 00:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x971e30…
05-03 00:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa3eb91…
05-03 00:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe2ce57…
05-02 23:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x143318…
05-02 23:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3d861b…
05-02 23:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x822a0e…
05-02 23:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1997d5…
05-02 23:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1fc1a2…
05-02 23:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x53c7e5…
05-02 22:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6795d…
05-02 21:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28123a…
05-02 21:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c6c84…
05-02 21:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x40f891…
05-02 21:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x86a04c…
05-02 21:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x05436b…
05-02 21:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdaf490…
05-02 21:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa06f05…
05-02 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd4097…
05-02 21:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86462e…
05-02 21:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x331f93…
05-02 21:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x68b80c…
05-02 20:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x96a78c…
05-02 20:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ec4d0…
05-02 20:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd8c274…
05-02 20:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3fdfc4…
05-02 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf7177d…
05-02 20:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2111c8…
05-02 20:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x57661b…
05-02 20:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f2ffc…
05-02 20:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xfd09f7…
05-02 20:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4464c2…
05-02 20:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x262924…
05-02 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xe7af51…
05-02 20:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x883e68…
05-02 20:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x662792…
05-02 20:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x4b353a…
05-02 20:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0847d3…
05-02 20:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xa0a87c…
05-02 20:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xd8e476…
05-02 20:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd41a4c…
05-02 20:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6f1227…
05-02 20:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x161871…
05-02 20:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5eff64…
05-02 20:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x13c9fd…
05-02 20:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5cc683…
05-02 20:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc42200…
05-02 19:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x509777…
05-02 19:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4d4ec1…
05-02 19:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x6c17de…
05-02 19:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xc88e23…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	141	$83.1K	4,165	05-23 23:09
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	136	$31.0K	5,740	05-23 23:06
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	136	$28.7K	10,722	05-23 23:07
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	136	$26.6K	8,584	05-23 23:07
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	136	$24.9K	8,065	05-23 23:07
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	136	$23.1K	4,922	05-23 23:07
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	136	$19.0K	5,423	05-23 23:08
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	135	$29.7K	1,067	05-23 23:05