Adored-Colonisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.73K

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$56.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

$136

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-23 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

58% 67% +$460

Other

37% 75% +$1,268

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	+1,103	$110	10¢	$105	$-6	07-23 14:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+114	$18	22¢	$24	+$6	06-29 18:59
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	Yes	+75	$23	9¢	$7	$-16	06-17 14:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	15	$8.4K	8,050	8,050	+0	open	—	06-18 23:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$4.8K	6,058	6,058	+0	open	—	03-31 02:34
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	19	$4.3K	3,995	2,200	+1,795	No	+$1,167	04-07 23:55
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	3	$4.2K	4,329	0	+4,329	open	—	04-02 23:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	21	$4.0K	3,057	3,056	+0	open	—	06-29 12:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$2.7K	2,119	2,118	+0	open	—	04-07 23:42
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	31	$2.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-05 00:40
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	6	$2.2K	2,429	0	+2,429	No	+$259	04-13 01:11
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	2	$1.9K	1,981	0	+1,981	open	—	04-02 10:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	5,089	4,882	+206	Yes	+$604	05-08 18:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	16	$1.6K	2,276	1,945	+331	open	—	05-30 13:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$1.6K	1,862	0	+1,862	open	—	05-06 11:16
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	7	$1.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	07-17 01:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$1.1K	2,354	2,354	+0	open	—	04-07 23:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	4	$1.1K	2,978	2,978	+0	open	—	06-09 13:00
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	6	$1.0K	1,329	729	+600	open	—	06-07 03:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.0K	3,887	0	+3,887	open	—	05-22 17:35
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	1	$1000	1,007	0	+1,007	open	—	05-19 16:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$981	3,807	3,807	+0	open	—	04-28 15:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$871	2,089	2,089	+0	open	—	05-07 20:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	8	$840	4,486	3,000	+1,486	open	—	05-26 09:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	4	$720	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-12 22:11
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	7	$655	1,107	1,107	+0	Yes	$-166	04-12 19:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$628	2,027	0	+2,027	open	—	05-22 17:59
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	14	$607	794	794	+0	open	—	07-07 13:26
iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	4	$549	370	370	+0	open	—	07-17 09:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$455	950	950	+0	open	—	03-27 23:19
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	14	$433	2,447	2,447	+0	open	—	06-17 16:19
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	7	$343	1,087	1,087	+0	open	—	06-10 11:23
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	2	$268	223	223	+0	open	—	07-22 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 14:05:45	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,103	10¢	$110	0xd50efc…
07-23 01:47:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	97	57¢	$55	0xcdf7bf…
07-23 01:44:31	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x9d3e28…
07-22 19:10:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	116	69¢	$80	0xa49d85…
07-22 17:50:01	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	223	67¢	$149	0xa83afd…
07-22 13:48:37	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	223	53¢	$119	0x7180a8…
07-22 10:43:48	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	49	12¢	$6	0xcc6180…
07-22 09:42:34	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	150	12¢	$18	0x03d187…
07-22 09:17:46	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x63eb5f…
07-22 09:17:15	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	500	12¢	$60	0x1423cc…
07-22 09:17:01	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xd731d8…
07-22 09:12:34	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	121	12¢	$15	0x2bc058…
07-22 00:53:00	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	SELL	300	18¢	$54	0x15ca04…
07-21 23:40:19	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$2	0x586951…
07-21 21:44:10	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0xa64be6…
07-21 21:27:18	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xeba97b…
07-21 20:46:09	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x220c8c…
07-21 20:46:01	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xa79842…
07-21 20:45:51	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xf512ec…
07-21 19:46:52	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	BUY	1,065	12¢	$128	0x651dc3…
07-20 15:51:00	will shabana mahmood be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533205	No	BUY	156	1¢	$1	0xd0f4ac…
07-18 19:23:42	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	BUY	129	32¢	$41	0x736d75…
07-17 16:58:51	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	190	46¢	$87	0x1fa7e8…
07-17 16:39:37	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	25	50¢	$13	0x3533d7…
07-17 16:39:19	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	60	52¢	$31	0x981ca7…
07-17 09:34:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	136	91¢	$124	0x8c3fb7…
07-17 09:27:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	92	91¢	$83	0xc15042…
07-17 09:05:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	142	91¢	$130	0xa7406c…
07-17 01:33:05	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	378	42¢	$159	0x1291dd…
07-16 20:20:25	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	370	57¢	$212	0xc3c43a…
07-16 17:08:23	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	BUY	275	44¢	$121	0xf292a6…
07-16 12:47:58	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x52b280…
07-16 12:47:50	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	382	9¢	$34	0x900946…
07-16 09:28:07	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,136	44¢	$500	0x75d910…
07-16 07:44:50	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	341	44¢	$150	0xebd4ae…
07-16 00:23:35	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	70	44¢	$31	0x09abb4…
07-15 17:25:37	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xe1178b…
07-15 16:30:35	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0xa21184…
07-15 15:29:01	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	22¢	$440	0xf9110f…
07-13 19:21:05	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa79b38…
07-13 19:21:05	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3953d0…
07-13 02:30:43	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,166	0¢	$6	0x5f57b4…
07-07 13:26:25	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	SELL	794	25¢	$199	0xc0995e…
07-07 13:02:10	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0xe61240…
07-07 13:01:59	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	87	51¢	$45	0xb348a5…
07-07 13:01:40	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0x6472bf…
07-07 13:01:38	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	68	51¢	$35	0x694a2c…
07-07 13:01:28	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x477952…
07-07 13:01:22	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xe66e20…
07-07 13:01:20	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x864ccd…
07-07 13:01:20	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x80d4c9…
07-07 13:01:19	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x116a22…
07-07 13:01:19	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x00fe2b…
07-07 13:01:17	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x7ff50d…
07-07 13:01:14	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x1e004e…
07-07 13:00:35	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xb46711…
06-29 18:59:11	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	371	29¢	$107	0x1d4a37…
06-29 12:07:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	1,253	53¢	$666	0x7c8022…
06-29 11:40:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	18	63¢	$12	0x7ab71e…
06-29 11:40:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	220	63¢	$139	0xd4379c…
06-29 11:35:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0xbe702e…
06-29 11:35:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x2c630f…
06-29 11:35:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3ae941…
06-29 11:34:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	277	62¢	$171	0xac02a1…
06-29 11:34:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	309	63¢	$194	0xd82f58…
06-29 11:33:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x8100dc…
06-29 11:33:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0x151cec…
06-26 18:12:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	390	79¢	$308	0x0abb68…
06-26 18:02:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	900	77¢	$693	0x02e8d7…
06-26 16:22:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	400	79¢	$316	0xb849af…
06-26 16:22:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	113	78¢	$88	0x8e9c3b…
06-26 13:44:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	255	61¢	$156	0x63b9f3…
06-26 13:00:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	29	60¢	$17	0xe51f1f…
06-26 13:00:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	799	60¢	$479	0x804fbd…
06-26 12:59:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x1938b8…
06-26 12:58:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x9d8ea3…
06-26 12:58:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	144	55¢	$79	0x58b8af…
06-26 12:56:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x85ecbe…
06-23 16:25:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	205	3¢	$7	0x573031…
06-18 23:47:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	791	63¢	$495	0x2efc9f…
06-18 23:35:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	590	63¢	$370	0x3af9ec…
06-18 23:24:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0x3573e2…
06-18 23:18:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	65	63¢	$41	0xba27fe…
06-18 23:16:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	15	63¢	$9	0x074f60…
06-18 22:37:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	1,475	63¢	$924	0x81c46c…
06-18 20:48:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	365	55¢	$200	0xd0b50e…
06-18 20:13:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	1,834	58¢	$1,073	0x0a7aca…
06-18 20:09:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x683cd9…
06-18 20:08:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	712	58¢	$416	0x0c61ff…
06-18 19:19:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	5,171	39¢	$2,032	0x20194a…
06-18 16:01:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	SELL	2,513	55¢	$1,375	0x1c6854…
06-18 14:21:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	65	53¢	$35	0xa7c441…
06-18 14:19:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	383	53¢	$204	0x7ad8bb…
06-18 14:17:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	2,066	57¢	$1,169	0xd40ea4…
06-18 13:51:10	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0xee90e9…
06-17 16:19:38	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	2,435	10¢	$244	0xffb970…
06-17 16:14:38	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x39afed…
06-17 14:13:14	Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	31¢	$23	0x8eb344…
06-17 00:18:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	105	8¢	$8	0x14a8a6…
06-17 00:14:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	697	8¢	$56	0x801f16…