(anonymous) 0xf6eb84…81accf
new 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
-$297
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
46
lifetime
Volume
$1.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$375
14 positions
First seen
2026-10-23
last 10-27 19:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
73% 100% +$48
Other
25% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1,316 $200 13¢ $175 -$25 10-24 16:36
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +124 $78 62¢ $77 -$1 10-27 19:01
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +1,660 $249 2¢ $33 -$216 10-23 15:58
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +31 $25 82¢ $26 +$1 10-25 10:49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +121 $25 18¢ $22 -$3 10-25 10:53
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +15 $10 64¢ $10 $0 10-26 09:49
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +100 $8 7¢ $7 -$1 10-26 10:18
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +50 $12 13¢ $6 -$5 10-26 12:17
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +100 $9 5¢ $5 -$4 10-26 12:15
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +75 $6 6¢ $5 -$1 10-26 10:14
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +38 $3 12¢ $4 +$1 10-27 16:02
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +62 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 10-26 10:17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +1,237 $5 0¢ $2 -$3 10-26 09:58
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +124 $37 0¢ $0 -$37 10-27 19:57