Realized P&L (7d)
+$468
Unrealized P&L
-$680
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
0
1,337 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$37.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$1.42K
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 09-24 21:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 52% -$2,428
Other
38% 17% -$1,102
Politics
4% 43% +$404
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +548 $274 84¢ $457 +$183 09-10 16:03
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +584 $183 72¢ $418 +$234 09-24 21:19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,198 -$216 16¢ $-191 +$25 09-20 15:57
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +420 $839 29¢ $120 -$719 09-10 05:17
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +2,300 $426 4¢ $103 -$322 09-20 14:41
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +100 $50 66¢ $66 +$16 09-08 17:53
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +100 $46 36¢ $36 -$10 09-12 07:27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +1,000 $15 1¢ $12 -$2 09-20 14:20
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +100 $5 7¢ $7 +$2 09-11 17:00
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +150 $68 2¢ $3 -$65 09-06 16:25
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 09-13 17:56
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 09-18 10:04
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +50 $21 2¢ $1 -$20 09-09 21:20