Realized P&L (7d)
+$29
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
79.1%
Resolved (7d)
73
Trades (7d)
480
8,651 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$129
$2.80K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$16
21 positions
First seen
2026-08-05
last 11-06 03:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 90 days
Categories
Other
78% 38% +$431
Politics
14% 41% +$77
Pop-Culture
3% 42% +$58
Tech
2% 56% +$15
Sports
2% 7% -$23
Crypto
1% 29% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 3% or more? Yes -12 $0 78¢ $-10 -$9 09-24 13:57
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-04 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +4 $0 49¢ $2 +$2 09-06 04:32
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Asturias in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +63 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 11-01 14:38
Will Karmine Corp Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? Yes -25 $0 4¢ $-1 -$1 10-18 17:32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-04 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +5 $0 14¢ $1 +$1 09-06 04:32
Will Podemos win the most seats in Asturias in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes — +66 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 10-24 21:05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +7 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 08-10 19:05
Will the AP call the Alaska Senate race by November 6? Yes +26 $1 1¢ $0 $0 11-05 08:33
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 10-14 18:51
bank of mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after december 2026 meeting Yes +42 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 11-05 19:01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-04 House election by 35% or more? Yes +4 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 09-06 04:32
Will Strasbourg win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes -40 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-13 17:50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 12% or more? Yes +31 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-08 06:12
will ramayana opening weekend box office be between 6m and 7m Yes +13 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-06 03:18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 12% or more? Yes -2 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 10-06 20:17
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 10%-15%? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-07 19:20
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 $0 10-31 02:43
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes -7 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 09-19 16:32
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? Yes +1 $0 0¢ $0 $0 11-05 06:07
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m? Yes +1 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 11-06 03:18
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? No +0 -$1 12¢ $0 +$1 10-12 03:56