Advanced-Incentive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

128

Trades

336

lifetime

Volume

$904

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-26 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 62% +$51

Other

19% 14% -$12

Politics

5% 0% -$26

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:50 UTC	10	$66	52	35	+17	Down	$0	04-12 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 06:05 UTC	10	$53	53	25	+27	Down	-$2	04-12 06:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 06:25 UTC	15	$44	51	15	+36	Up	-$14	04-12 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:10 UTC	2	$44	42	39	+3	Up	+$36	04-12 01:15
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	2	$41	36	36	+0	No	+$31	04-11 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:15 UTC	13	$39	32	18	+14	Up	-$2	04-12 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 06:00 UTC	12	$37	57	0	+57	Up	+$1	04-12 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	9	$37	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	05-03 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:20 UTC	7	$36	33	30	+2	Down	+$2	04-12 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:25 UTC	8	$35	27	19	+8	Up	+$4	04-12 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 06:30 UTC	6	$29	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	04-12 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:55 UTC	8	$29	23	22	+1	Up	+$16	04-12 06:00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	9	$25	17	17	+0	Yes	+$9	05-03 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 04:40 UTC	5	$23	28	27	+1	Up	+$7	04-12 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:25 UTC	8	$23	38	0	+38	Down	$0	04-12 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 11:55 UTC	11	$19	18	14	+5	Down	$0	04-12 12:00
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	6	$19	163	163	+0	Yes	-$3	04-11 13:32
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$16	90	90	+0	No	+$6	04-11 13:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:10 UTC	3	$13	11	8	+2	Up	+$3	04-12 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:45 UTC	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	04-12 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:35 UTC	4	$13	37	0	+37	Up	-$13	04-12 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:40 UTC	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	04-12 05:45
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	7	$11	18	0	+18	No	-$11	05-03 06:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:05 UTC	5	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	04-12 12:11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	4	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 12:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 04:45 UTC	2	$7	7	6	+0	Down	+$6	04-12 04:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:30 UTC	3	$7	170	0	+170	Down	-$7	04-12 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 05:05 UTC	6	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	04-12 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 11:50 UTC	4	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	04-12 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 00:10 UTC	2	$6	11	0	+11	Down	+$5	04-12 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 12:17:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x58e06a…
06-26 12:17:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x58fdd8…
06-26 12:16:40	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x28cb2e…
06-26 12:16:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$0	0x381c1c…
06-26 12:16:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x8c7ad0…
06-26 12:10:37	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x117082…
06-26 12:10:28	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe007c8…
06-26 12:10:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xbc2e3e…
05-14 18:50:05	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x192692…
05-14 18:49:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x6976e4…
05-14 18:48:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x0a2f70…
05-14 18:48:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x40f520…
05-14 18:43:31	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x694fa9…
05-14 18:42:49	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x068284…
05-14 18:42:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa8c608…
05-14 18:38:11	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0xfb98a2…
05-14 18:32:37	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xf5a191…
05-13 18:27:28	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x529316…
05-12 16:23:19	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5fc5f0…
05-12 16:23:17	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1d972a…
05-12 16:21:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x88e32f…
05-12 16:21:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa26323…
05-12 16:15:49	Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?	No	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xcfb5ea…
05-12 16:15:26	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by May 31?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x12a0bf…
05-12 16:14:25	Will MrBeast hit 488 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x38d5e2…
05-12 16:10:39	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xa49999…
05-10 04:42:00	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x93c8d9…
05-10 04:33:29	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0e053c…
05-10 04:29:46	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$1	0x98739b…
05-10 04:29:43	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xec41b2…
05-10 04:29:38	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x90e9d0…
05-10 04:29:15	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfc1d49…
05-09 12:31:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8da7de…
05-09 12:31:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe14d65…
05-09 12:31:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x799251…
05-09 12:30:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x008680…
05-09 12:28:05	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x37585f…
05-09 12:27:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x414c94…
05-04 05:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xbafe80…
05-04 05:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x195e57…
05-04 05:53:02	Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xd3d821…
05-04 05:52:56	Will MrBeast hit 122 billion views by May 31?	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x35ec74…
05-04 05:52:52	Will MrBeast hit 121.5 billion views by May 31?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc907d7…
05-04 05:50:48	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x0ab955…
05-04 05:49:26	Will MrBeast hit 488 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x296e85…
05-04 05:49:12	Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xca69fe…
05-04 05:47:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa109b5…
05-04 05:47:26	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb3923f…
05-04 05:46:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf8afe8…
05-04 05:45:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc4d2ea…
05-04 05:44:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2870ba…
05-04 05:42:58	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9627a5…
05-03 17:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x780656…
05-03 17:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9ef323…
05-03 17:35:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x146595…
05-03 06:57:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x99d0ee…
05-03 06:57:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0fa78e…
05-03 06:56:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc90092…
05-03 06:56:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x668f49…
05-03 06:56:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x163217…
05-03 06:56:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xadb689…
05-03 06:55:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x14f2c0…
05-03 06:55:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc71a7b…
05-03 06:55:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcca56e…
05-03 06:54:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb66b80…
05-03 06:54:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x69eba5…
05-03 06:54:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x03ae04…
05-03 06:53:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xddbd1d…
05-03 06:52:08	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5003e7…
05-03 06:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x239f2b…
05-03 06:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xf608a2…
05-03 06:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x96a345…
05-03 06:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5cd932…
05-03 06:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xac701f…
05-03 06:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x33b637…
05-03 06:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x25cac9…
05-03 06:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb5776a…
05-03 06:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x731198…
05-03 06:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x33f72c…
05-03 06:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8f255a…
05-03 06:39:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6fc692…
05-03 06:38:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x70dda1…
05-03 06:38:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5034f3…
05-03 06:38:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x2ddd4b…
04-30 14:06:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x7853ca…
04-30 14:04:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x1d49ed…
04-30 14:04:52	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	621	0¢	$1	0x37d894…
04-30 14:02:22	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7800d1…
04-30 14:00:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8e086a…
04-30 13:57:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x051814…
04-30 13:57:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xfadbf3…
04-30 13:57:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xadcb57…
04-30 13:57:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x889f42…
04-26 08:55:36	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xdc609f…
04-13 04:17:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x6e5d59…
04-13 04:17:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6e6cee…
04-13 04:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x48ecfc…
04-13 04:16:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe8b084…
04-13 04:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1cd057…
04-12 15:50:27	will justin bieber play boyfriend first at coachella	Yes	BUY	262	0¢	$1	0x1b40db…