Advanced-Incentive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$824

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-26 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% — —

Other

13% 0% $-1

Politics

4% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775973000	10	$66	52	35	+17	open	—	04-12 05:55
btc updown 5m 1775973900	10	$53	53	25	+27	open	—	04-12 06:10
btc updown 5m 1775975100	15	$44	51	15	+36	open	—	04-12 06:30
btc updown 5m 1775956200	2	$44	42	39	+3	open	—	04-12 01:15
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	2	$41	36	36	+0	open	—	04-11 02:28
btc updown 5m 1775996100	13	$39	32	18	+14	open	—	04-12 12:20
btc updown 5m 1775973600	12	$37	57	0	+57	open	—	04-12 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	9	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	05-03 06:49
btc updown 5m 1775996400	7	$36	33	30	+2	open	—	04-12 12:24
btc updown 5m 1775971500	8	$35	27	19	+8	open	—	04-12 05:30
btc updown 5m 1775975400	6	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	04-12 06:33
btc updown 5m 1775973300	8	$29	23	22	+1	open	—	04-12 06:00
btc updown 5m 1775968800	5	$23	28	27	+1	open	—	04-12 04:45
btc updown 5m 1775996700	8	$23	38	0	+38	open	—	04-12 12:29
btc updown 5m 1775994900	11	$19	18	14	+5	open	—	04-12 12:00
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	6	$19	163	163	+0	open	—	04-11 13:32
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$16	90	90	+0	open	—	04-11 13:32
btc updown 5m 1775995800	3	$13	11	8	+2	open	—	04-12 12:13
btc updown 5m 1775972700	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-12 05:49
btc updown 5m 1775972100	4	$13	37	0	+37	open	—	04-12 05:39
btc updown 5m 1775972400	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-12 05:45
btc updown 5m 1775995500	5	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-12 12:11
btc updown 5m 1775969100	2	$7	7	6	+0	open	—	04-12 04:50
btc updown 5m 1775971800	3	$7	170	0	+170	open	—	04-12 05:35
btc updown 5m 1775970300	6	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-12 05:09
btc updown 5m 1775994600	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-12 11:53
btc updown 5m 1775952600	2	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-12 00:14
btc updown 5m 1775970900	6	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	04-12 05:19
btc updown 5m 1776053700	4	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	04-13 04:17
will fewer than 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	2	$5	87	87	+0	open	—	04-12 04:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 12:17:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x58e06a…
06-26 12:17:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x58fdd8…
06-26 12:16:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$0	0x381c1c…
06-26 12:16:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x8c7ad0…
05-14 18:50:05	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x192692…
05-14 18:48:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x0a2f70…
05-14 18:48:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x40f520…
05-14 18:43:31	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x694fa9…
05-14 18:32:37	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xf5a191…
05-13 18:27:28	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x529316…
05-12 16:23:19	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5fc5f0…
05-12 16:23:17	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1d972a…
05-12 16:15:49	Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?	No	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xcfb5ea…
05-12 16:15:26	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by May 31?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x12a0bf…
05-12 16:14:25	Will MrBeast hit 488 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x38d5e2…
05-10 04:42:00	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x93c8d9…
05-09 12:30:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x008680…
05-04 05:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xbafe80…
05-04 05:50:48	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x0ab955…
05-04 05:49:26	Will MrBeast hit 488 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x296e85…
05-04 05:49:12	Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xca69fe…
05-03 17:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x780656…
05-03 17:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9ef323…
05-03 06:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x239f2b…
05-03 06:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xf608a2…
05-03 06:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x96a345…
05-03 06:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5cd932…
05-03 06:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xac701f…
05-03 06:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x33b637…
05-03 06:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x25cac9…
05-03 06:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb5776a…
05-03 06:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x731198…
05-03 06:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x33f72c…
05-03 06:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8f255a…
04-30 14:06:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x7853ca…
04-30 14:04:58	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x1d49ed…
04-30 14:04:52	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	621	0¢	$1	0x37d894…
04-30 14:02:22	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7800d1…
04-30 14:00:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8e086a…
04-26 08:55:36	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xdc609f…
04-13 04:17:27	btc updown 5m 1776053700	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x6e5d59…
04-13 04:17:05	btc updown 5m 1776053700	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6e6cee…
04-13 04:16:43	btc updown 5m 1776053700	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x48ecfc…
04-13 04:16:17	btc updown 5m 1776053700	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe8b084…
04-13 04:14:21	btc updown 5m 1776053400	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1cd057…
04-12 15:50:27	will justin bieber play boyfriend first at coachella	Yes	BUY	262	0¢	$1	0x1b40db…
04-12 15:50:19	will justin bieber play cold water first at coachella	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x08649f…
04-12 15:50:11	will justin bieber play ghost first at coachella	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xc1727b…
04-12 14:15:21	btc updown 5m 1776003300	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x280f7e…
04-12 12:46:55	btc updown 5m 1775997900	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x77ed34…
04-12 12:46:05	btc updown 5m 1775997900	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7d20a0…
04-12 12:45:47	btc updown 5m 1775997900	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xab759b…
04-12 12:38:45	will justin bieber play baby first at coachella	Yes	BUY	210	0¢	$1	0x2297b0…
04-12 12:38:03	will justin bieber play let me love you first at coachella	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x936424…
04-12 12:37:55	will justin bieber play 10000 hours first at coachella	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x05cab3…
04-12 12:37:45	will justin bieber play what do you mean first at coachella	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xaefee5…
04-12 12:34:49	btc updown 5m 1775997000	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe3c95a…
04-12 12:34:41	btc updown 5m 1775997000	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x569457…
04-12 12:33:11	btc updown 5m 1775997000	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x504fda…
04-12 12:30:53	btc updown 5m 1775997000	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x047f7a…
04-12 12:29:55	btc updown 5m 1775996700	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x23fbc0…
04-12 12:29:51	btc updown 5m 1775996700	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x35ba99…
04-12 12:29:45	btc updown 5m 1775996700	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4d15fe…
04-12 12:27:51	btc updown 5m 1775996700	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc8feda…
04-12 12:27:41	btc updown 5m 1775996700	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x95258f…
04-12 12:27:29	btc updown 5m 1775996700	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7dd882…
04-12 12:26:59	btc updown 5m 1775996700	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcc2b38…
04-12 12:25:27	btc updown 5m 1775996700	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc488fa…
04-12 12:24:37	btc updown 5m 1775996400	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd7c97c…
04-12 12:23:43	btc updown 5m 1775996400	Down	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0x6446cf…
04-12 12:23:29	btc updown 5m 1775996400	Up	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x5807f0…
04-12 12:22:41	btc updown 5m 1775996400	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcf7459…
04-12 12:22:35	btc updown 5m 1775996400	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x34b754…
04-12 12:22:09	btc updown 5m 1775996400	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x76d075…
04-12 12:21:09	btc updown 5m 1775996400	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x45a76c…
04-12 12:20:43	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa7ee3d…
04-12 12:19:37	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6eb783…
04-12 12:19:29	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdfd596…
04-12 12:19:09	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb5af76…
04-12 12:17:45	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x405a0a…
04-12 12:17:13	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe0cbda…
04-12 12:16:53	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa53f55…
04-12 12:16:49	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x742f5d…
04-12 12:16:35	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x61f17a…
04-12 12:16:07	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4a1e0e…
04-12 12:15:57	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe5d4e3…
04-12 12:15:31	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8a4396…
04-12 12:15:25	btc updown 5m 1775996100	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9579db…
04-12 12:13:51	btc updown 5m 1775995800	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xed3d1b…
04-12 12:11:15	btc updown 5m 1775995500	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdb5099…
04-12 12:11:03	btc updown 5m 1775995800	Up	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xb1a458…
04-12 12:10:11	btc updown 5m 1775995800	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb814ff…
04-12 12:06:37	btc updown 5m 1775995500	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf56153…
04-12 12:05:57	btc updown 5m 1775995500	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x416213…
04-12 12:05:23	btc updown 5m 1775995500	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe98077…
04-12 12:05:15	btc updown 5m 1775995500	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3da1e3…
04-12 12:00:29	btc updown 5m 1775994900	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdd590f…
04-12 11:59:47	btc updown 5m 1775994900	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa70d6d…
04-12 11:59:43	btc updown 5m 1775994900	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4cda97…
04-12 11:59:13	btc updown 5m 1775994900	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xcd0b54…