Mountainous-Muscle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.0%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-27 01:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-2

Sports

34% 50% +$0

Crypto

9% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$855	440	440	-0	open	—	03-19 12:28
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	12	$831	438	438	-0	Yes	$-2	03-25 10:24
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$538	278	278	+0	No	+$1	04-07 09:40
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$489	253	253	+0	No	$-0	03-31 04:18
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$442	235	235	+0	open	—	03-11 22:20
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$440	227	227	+0	open	—	03-13 04:03
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$437	225	225	+0	open	—	03-17 00:43
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$431	220	220	+0	open	—	03-17 14:15
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$422	221	221	+0	open	—	03-11 07:57
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$420	217	217	+0	open	—	03-13 15:03
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$420	219	219	+0	open	—	03-14 20:17
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$417	217	217	+0	open	—	03-20 11:38
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$415	214	214	+0	open	—	03-20 18:02
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$414	220	220	+0	open	—	03-18 06:26
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$410	209	209	+0	open	—	03-26 08:15
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	7	$404	216	216	+0	open	—	03-27 21:30
Netanyahu out by April 30?	5	$396	206	206	+0	open	—	03-23 02:52
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$393	207	207	+0	open	—	03-27 11:54
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	4	$391	202	202	-0	open	—	03-27 06:33
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$389	200	200	+0	open	—	03-26 14:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$382	196	196	+0	open	—	04-27 02:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$379	196	196	+0	open	—	03-30 04:28
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$379	199	199	+0	open	—	03-28 13:48
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$365	187	187	+0	open	—	04-25 00:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$234	129	129	-0	open	—	06-21 02:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	4	$231	123	123	+0	open	—	06-04 10:36
bitcoin above 72k on march 12	1	$217	221	0	+221	open	—	03-12 13:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$207	0	215	-215	open	—	03-22 04:11
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$206	111	111	+0	open	—	03-31 18:46
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$204	107	107	+0	open	—	04-15 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 01:52:10	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xd65879…
07-26 19:50:24	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x0ae411…
07-25 17:10:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x0909f9…
07-25 10:10:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x5e9157…
06-21 14:25:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x39116f…
06-21 08:20:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0xfd987d…
06-21 02:04:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0xabf131…
06-20 20:56:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	61	91¢	$56	0x42208f…
06-19 20:52:47	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x1b49b1…
06-19 16:47:20	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x95590b…
06-19 16:15:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	68	90¢	$61	0xdc7fe7…
06-19 12:12:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	68	91¢	$62	0x8d2b6a…
06-18 22:14:53	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	68	95¢	$65	0x3635c5…
06-18 15:12:37	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x22e808…
06-18 05:28:28	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x989aa6…
06-18 00:21:55	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xa977dc…
06-17 10:31:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xc38b58…
06-17 04:29:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x700855…
06-16 02:14:40	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x6c575b…
06-15 21:07:13	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x54b9ae…
06-11 11:40:36	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xeeb959…
06-11 06:32:00	Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x16bc74…
06-11 05:57:43	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	SELL	55	94¢	$51	0xfbe2ef…
06-11 00:50:03	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x267df7…
06-11 00:10:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0xd1b9f1…
06-10 16:01:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x5caf60…
06-05 00:56:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xd5b565…
06-04 16:51:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0xbdebc9…
06-04 10:36:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xeb0a10…
06-04 03:31:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x2bfeb6…
06-02 11:07:50	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x9287d8…
06-02 06:06:09	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x781049…
06-01 17:58:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	72	92¢	$66	0x8287ef…
06-01 11:57:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	72	94¢	$67	0xaa8eb8…
05-18 03:35:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$61	0xf98342…
05-16 08:22:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x20f57e…
04-28 02:25:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$43	0xdec4af…
04-27 20:49:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0x294ff2…
04-27 02:31:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	196	98¢	$192	0x6e45a2…
04-25 05:55:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	196	97¢	$190	0x666d7a…
04-25 00:34:48	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	187	97¢	$183	0x9a6e0b…
04-24 19:25:36	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	187	98¢	$183	0x60fbb6…
04-15 16:27:38	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xbcafd0…
04-15 10:18:32	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x7a4298…
04-12 14:44:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0xed12ed…
04-12 09:38:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0xa77451…
04-11 15:58:19	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xd7811d…
04-11 06:51:49	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x71d2cc…
04-10 17:51:37	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0x5a86cd…
04-10 10:00:09	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x1febff…
04-08 14:16:23	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	FC Barcelona	SELL	59	94¢	$55	0xc3fd68…
04-08 06:11:49	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x7d381c…
04-07 09:40:49	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0x4aabe7…
04-01 01:35:15	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x33f638…
03-31 18:46:41	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	56	92¢	$52	0xe176a4…
03-31 13:13:55	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x214d42…
03-31 12:21:03	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	55	92¢	$51	0x70eaca…
03-31 05:33:05	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x0d5e35…
03-31 04:18:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x9159c0…
03-30 20:21:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x2fc1ec…
03-30 04:28:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	196	97¢	$189	0x707ac3…
03-29 20:32:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	196	97¢	$190	0x1d3e69…
03-28 18:47:07	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	206	97¢	$199	0xaacf13…
03-28 14:40:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$199	0xef91f2…
03-28 13:48:53	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	199	95¢	$189	0x779311…
03-28 06:22:53	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	199	95¢	$190	0x6b996d…
03-27 21:30:09	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	216	94¢	$202	0x2bd17a…
03-27 14:00:29	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x37e2ba…
03-27 13:57:35	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x84a291…
03-27 13:48:49	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x6bcbf5…
03-27 13:17:47	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$19	0x74c8c6…
03-27 13:11:39	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x683d13…
03-27 13:10:37	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x3cce2b…
03-27 11:54:27	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	207	94¢	$194	0x9d4972…
03-27 06:42:47	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	207	96¢	$199	0x63c2db…
03-27 06:33:13	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	202	97¢	$195	0xa57c84…
03-27 01:46:41	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0xd5b82e…
03-27 01:14:09	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	147	97¢	$143	0x7f8d1e…
03-27 00:18:11	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x281d77…
03-26 14:04:53	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	200	97¢	$195	0x33301c…
03-26 11:20:17	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0x50384c…
03-26 10:50:47	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xf69ceb…
03-26 09:58:27	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x8d3dbb…
03-26 09:54:05	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xed7deb…
03-26 08:15:59	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	209	98¢	$205	0x77e896…
03-26 00:52:59	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	209	98¢	$205	0x37b10e…
03-25 10:24:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	211	94¢	$199	0xf513ff…
03-25 02:11:51	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7a747f…
03-25 02:10:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	118	95¢	$112	0x8533fe…
03-25 02:10:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0xc5be05…
03-25 02:10:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x2e7e37…
03-23 02:52:43	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	206	96¢	$197	0xc96061…
03-22 20:58:47	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0x6bad7f…
03-22 20:52:47	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x9a26e4…
03-22 20:49:39	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x8a94b9…
03-22 20:45:27	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x4f2fdc…
03-22 04:11:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	215	96¢	$207	0x8d2324…
03-20 18:02:45	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	214	97¢	$208	0xbc24ba…
03-20 11:57:57	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	183	97¢	$178	0xf6ffa6…
03-20 11:57:07	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa88442…