Other-Tendency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

-$135

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,039

lifetime

Volume

$121.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

$517

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 07-02 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

38% 0% $-41

Politics

32% — —

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No		+687	$550	71¢	$488	$-62	06-15 16:35
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes		+62	$102	46¢	$29	$-73	06-24 16:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	20	$4.7K	4,516	4,516	+0	open	—	06-16 20:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	19	$4.1K	5,076	5,076	+0	open	—	06-01 07:07
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	8	$3.9K	2,550	2,550	+0	open	—	06-25 00:03
Fed rate hike in 2026?	17	$3.7K	4,310	4,248	+62	open	—	06-24 16:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	28	$3.6K	3,534	3,534	+0	open	—	05-10 01:34
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	11	$2.4K	2,618	2,618	+0	open	—	06-29 08:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$2.3K	2,364	2,364	+0	open	—	05-09 00:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$2.0K	1,453	1,453	+0	open	—	04-30 11:27
btc updown 15m 1776085200	10	$1.9K	1,883	1,817	+66	open	—	04-13 12:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	12	$1.9K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	06-30 23:16
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	8	$1.8K	1,820	1,820	+0	open	—	06-30 10:16
btc updown 15m 1776171600	26	$1.8K	1,809	1,746	+63	open	—	04-14 12:59
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	13	$1.8K	1,955	1,955	+0	open	—	06-10 11:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	4	$1.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	06-10 07:19
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	10	$1.7K	1,609	1,609	+0	open	—	06-28 06:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	8	$1.7K	1,766	1,766	+0	open	—	06-08 09:20
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$1.7K	1,800	1,405	+395	open	—	06-05 23:23
btc updown 15m 1775653200	17	$1.6K	1,585	1,540	+45	open	—	04-08 02:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-15 18:42
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	7	$1.6K	1,800	1,556	+244	open	—	06-30 18:09
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	17	$1.5K	1,420	1,420	+0	open	—	05-22 20:20
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	9	$1.5K	1,449	1,449	+0	open	—	05-20 00:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	5	$1.5K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-26 17:49
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	9	$1.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	06-08 11:12
btc updown 15m 1775739600	34	$1.5K	1,413	1,368	+45	open	—	04-09 12:56
starmer out by june 24 2026	2	$1.4K	900	900	+0	open	—	06-22 04:15
btc updown 15m 1775826000	23	$1.4K	1,403	1,358	+45	open	—	04-10 13:08
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	5	$1.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	06-10 00:14
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	5	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-22 01:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	9	$1.4K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-29 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 18:00:07	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 second half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xb9c6e8…
07-02 17:59:52	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 second half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x76a8fb…
07-02 14:15:56	atp duckwor cobolli 2026 07 02 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x7e35fc…
07-02 06:49:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	238	18¢	$43	0x571a00…
07-02 06:49:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0xc3bef5…
07-02 06:48:44	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	447	19¢	$85	0x48790a…
07-02 06:48:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	144	19¢	$27	0xabc9c2…
07-02 06:48:08	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x58d35a…
07-02 06:47:56	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xfd53b5…
07-02 06:47:49	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xd1d0d1…
07-02 06:47:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xfad6db…
07-02 06:47:28	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x1bea59…
07-02 06:47:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe42a76…
07-02 06:47:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd9af66…
07-02 06:47:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xc991a2…
07-02 06:47:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x55e54a…
07-02 06:47:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2fedd8…
07-02 06:47:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	843	21¢	$177	0x46c8c8…
07-02 02:16:07	mlb lad oak 2026 07 01 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x51bafa…
07-01 08:46:34	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	900	19¢	$171	0xf2e018…
07-01 08:45:56	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	900	20¢	$180	0x47ef61…
07-01 06:50:47	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 corners total 9pt5	Under	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x998961…
07-01 06:50:29	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 corners total 9pt5	Under	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x1553ed…
07-01 06:50:19	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xcd3fcf…
07-01 06:50:19	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x36bd05…
07-01 02:40:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	582	64¢	$373	0xdd65c3…
07-01 02:40:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	178	64¢	$114	0x94059b…
07-01 02:21:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x5e43aa…
07-01 02:15:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xab8c24…
07-01 02:15:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	80	65¢	$52	0x00bd68…
07-01 02:14:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x104bd6…
07-01 02:14:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x0f16a5…
07-01 02:12:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	900	67¢	$603	0x1965ff…
06-30 23:16:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	900	14¢	$126	0x1b953a…
06-30 23:15:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	900	17¢	$153	0x48cd2f…
06-30 22:03:37	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 8pt5	Under	SELL	139	45¢	$62	0x19c0ab…
06-30 22:03:19	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	139	45¢	$62	0x784ee5…
06-30 18:33:38	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	615	28¢	$172	0x454490…
06-30 18:33:37	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	256	28¢	$72	0xb79e03…
06-30 18:33:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x5a40db…
06-30 18:31:41	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc67b42…
06-30 18:30:58	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	900	30¢	$270	0xdf7dd7…
06-30 18:09:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x2143e7…
06-30 18:08:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	510	18¢	$92	0x4c3a7f…
06-30 18:02:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	SELL	131	19¢	$25	0x5bc463…
06-30 18:00:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	900	21¢	$189	0x156496…
06-30 10:16:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	900	64¢	$576	0x86b654…
06-30 10:15:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	900	65¢	$585	0xe000fa…
06-30 03:14:35	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x3154c9…
06-30 02:18:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	206	19¢	$39	0xd60862…
06-30 02:18:05	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	206	19¢	$39	0x26759d…
06-29 23:48:59	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x486acf…
06-29 15:28:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xf0e210…
06-29 15:28:02	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	261	52¢	$136	0x7fffca…
06-29 15:23:47	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	270	52¢	$140	0x6ce6a9…
06-29 15:04:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xb828b8…
06-29 15:03:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	228	52¢	$118	0xa4ac77…
06-29 14:54:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x8a5324…
06-29 14:52:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xd759b1…
06-29 14:52:47	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x786f8c…
06-29 14:52:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x887a76…
06-29 14:50:59	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xb397c2…
06-29 14:50:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	900	55¢	$495	0x2766c6…
06-29 12:30:25	atp ruud hurkacz 2026 06 29	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xc9b742…
06-29 08:21:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	327	32¢	$105	0xbc57b3…
06-29 08:21:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	60	32¢	$19	0x224fbe…
06-29 08:20:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0xf6a333…
06-29 08:20:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	181	35¢	$63	0x50e786…
06-29 08:20:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0xa363e7…
06-29 08:20:28	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xe69816…
06-29 08:20:22	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	768	35¢	$269	0x18b992…
06-29 07:51:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x9e39e6…
06-29 07:50:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	198	76¢	$150	0x95f20e…
06-29 07:50:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	66	76¢	$50	0x78c678…
06-29 07:44:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0x54ad89…
06-29 07:22:10	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	900	35¢	$317	0xec746b…
06-29 07:21:46	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	900	36¢	$324	0x1d1c9c…
06-29 06:17:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	140	76¢	$106	0xddc284…
06-29 06:12:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	467	77¢	$360	0xfcb73c…
06-29 06:12:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0x5ec7e0…
06-29 06:10:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	900	79¢	$711	0x4d3d97…
06-29 00:17:14	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	660	32¢	$209	0xd85ce5…
06-28 23:30:37	mlb nyy bos 2026 06 28 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x1ea30f…
06-28 22:25:49	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	56	39¢	$22	0x9f96d5…
06-28 22:25:46	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	790	39¢	$308	0x911749…
06-28 22:25:35	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x82c61c…
06-28 22:25:35	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0x26f352…
06-28 20:38:50	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	209	38¢	$80	0xf479f7…
06-28 20:37:07	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0xceb762…
06-28 20:36:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	900	41¢	$369	0x8407a5…
06-28 17:00:05	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x1b5ed7…
06-28 16:59:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xd3593f…
06-28 14:58:35	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0x977149…
06-28 14:58:11	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	900	42¢	$378	0xc8cf19…
06-28 06:39:46	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	402	51¢	$205	0xadfcf7…
06-28 06:39:20	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	402	52¢	$209	0x43e6a3…
06-28 02:38:47	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xffe3b2…
06-28 02:25:25	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x6eba8b…
06-27 23:45:41	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x9586a2…
06-27 22:37:40	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x718e4c…