Other-Tendency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,405

lifetime

Volume

$184.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 08-12 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% $-41

Politics

38% — —

Tech

10% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	22	$5.3K	5,416	5,416	+0	open	—	07-06 06:48
Fed rate hike in 2026?	24	$5.1K	5,937	5,875	+62	open	—	07-12 23:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	19	$4.1K	5,076	5,076	+0	open	—	06-01 07:07
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	32	$4.0K	5,735	5,735	+0	open	—	07-12 23:34
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	8	$3.9K	2,550	2,550	+0	open	—	06-25 00:03
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	7	$3.6K	2,550	2,550	+0	open	—	07-11 22:19
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	25	$3.6K	3,662	3,662	+0	open	—	07-24 02:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	28	$3.6K	3,534	3,534	+0	open	—	05-10 01:34
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	21	$3.4K	3,350	3,350	+0	open	—	08-03 04:33
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	9	$3.3K	3,100	3,100	+0	open	—	08-04 00:46
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	13	$3.2K	3,368	3,368	+0	open	—	07-11 21:44
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	17	$3.0K	3,224	3,224	+0	open	—	07-31 11:41
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	13	$2.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	07-05 23:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$2.3K	2,364	2,364	+0	open	—	05-09 00:54
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	8	$2.3K	1,992	1,992	+0	open	—	07-21 10:35
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	9	$2.2K	1,694	1,694	+0	open	—	07-27 11:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	20	$2.1K	1,995	1,995	-0	open	—	08-12 07:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$2.0K	1,453	1,453	+0	open	—	04-30 11:27
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	8	$2.0K	1,825	1,825	+0	open	—	07-31 08:26
btc updown 15m 1776085200	10	$1.9K	1,883	1,817	+66	open	—	04-13 12:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	12	$1.9K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	06-30 23:16
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	14	$1.9K	1,754	1,754	+0	open	—	07-14 04:06
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	4	$1.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	07-08 03:55
btc updown 15m 1776171600	26	$1.8K	1,809	1,746	+63	open	—	04-14 12:59
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	13	$1.8K	1,955	1,955	+0	open	—	06-10 11:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	4	$1.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	06-10 07:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	8	$1.7K	1,766	1,766	+0	open	—	06-08 09:20
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	11	$1.7K	1,267	1,267	+0	open	—	07-19 09:28
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$1.7K	1,800	1,405	+395	open	—	06-05 23:23
btc updown 15m 1775653200	17	$1.6K	1,585	1,540	+45	open	—	04-08 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 07:59:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	645	32¢	$208	0x2a5eb5…
08-12 07:57:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xd75418…
08-12 07:57:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x905b12…
08-12 07:57:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x492715…
08-12 07:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xd296e9…
08-12 07:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xc5837d…
08-12 07:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xa59c29…
08-12 07:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8557a5…
08-12 07:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x6a9c84…
08-12 07:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x3d17a1…
08-12 07:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x3cdbc6…
08-12 07:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x24f590…
08-12 07:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x24ef7a…
08-12 07:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x21cfde…
08-12 07:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x1e5d47…
08-12 07:57:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	638	33¢	$211	0xb283a9…
08-12 01:24:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0x4d38b0…
08-12 01:23:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x6e2ace…
08-12 00:34:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	700	28¢	$196	0x41d162…
08-12 00:34:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	700	29¢	$203	0x891032…
08-11 06:08:28	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	700	55¢	$385	0xa93078…
08-11 06:08:10	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	700	56¢	$392	0x733923…
08-09 11:43:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	553	68¢	$376	0xf22141…
08-09 11:43:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	28	68¢	$19	0xc25761…
08-09 11:42:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x4d4b19…
08-09 11:42:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x39cd01…
08-09 11:41:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	700	53¢	$371	0xee837f…
08-09 11:41:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x963dbe…
08-09 11:40:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	700	70¢	$490	0xf9a3e2…
08-09 11:40:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	700	54¢	$378	0x152b58…
08-09 01:39:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	700	33¢	$231	0xb9a52d…
08-09 01:39:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	700	34¢	$238	0x2822a6…
08-08 12:10:31	clf cfc acm 2026 08 08 btts	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf4f18e…
08-08 10:41:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	650	72¢	$468	0xb929e5…
08-08 10:40:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	650	73¢	$474	0x250ac0…
08-08 06:45:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	650	16¢	$104	0xe03631…
08-08 06:45:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	650	17¢	$111	0x7d3ab4…
08-08 02:31:57	wta mcnally eala 2026 08 08	Alexandra Eala	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa1a3f7…
08-08 01:24:55	mlb lad ari 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xeca93b…
08-08 01:21:09	wta mcnally eala 2026 08 08	Alexandra Eala	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xfc97a3…
08-07 12:13:34	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	650	57¢	$370	0xd44376…
08-07 11:43:07	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	650	63¢	$410	0xb6de7a…
08-07 11:05:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	650	76¢	$496	0xb87a25…
08-07 11:05:12	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	650	77¢	$500	0x1a68b8…
08-05 07:59:18	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	SELL	83	46¢	$38	0x9de57a…
08-05 07:59:02	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	83	47¢	$39	0xd8c745…
08-04 00:46:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x284025…
08-04 00:46:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	650	59¢	$383	0x545260…
08-04 00:45:47	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	650	57¢	$370	0x4230c6…
08-04 00:18:21	mlb tor hou 2026 08 03 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xceed26…
08-03 10:08:14	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	650	37¢	$240	0xb1b7d7…
08-03 10:07:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	650	38¢	$247	0xc4c7f0…
08-03 05:05:47	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	650	16¢	$104	0x206de5…
08-03 05:04:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	650	18¢	$117	0xdf84b8…
08-03 04:33:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	584	25¢	$146	0x661d93…
08-03 04:32:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	66	25¢	$16	0xffaadc…
08-03 04:32:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	584	26¢	$152	0x15342c…
08-03 04:32:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	66	26¢	$17	0xe15a09…
08-02 10:43:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	650	71¢	$462	0xeefb92…
08-02 10:43:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	650	72¢	$468	0x795783…
08-02 08:49:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	76	67¢	$51	0x1c9e6d…
08-02 08:49:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	76	68¢	$52	0x3b56cf…
08-02 02:09:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	303	34¢	$103	0x1e64f9…
08-02 02:09:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x4275a3…
08-02 02:09:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	331	36¢	$119	0x27c28e…
08-02 02:08:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	650	35¢	$227	0x9ae9ba…
08-02 01:42:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	650	37¢	$240	0xe1783d…
08-02 01:41:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	650	37¢	$240	0x3454df…
08-01 11:30:11	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	277	31¢	$86	0xea28c6…
08-01 11:30:09	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	347	31¢	$107	0xb0708a…
08-01 11:14:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x45d0c9…
08-01 10:56:18	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x60a697…
08-01 10:50:00	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xf6eb23…
08-01 10:37:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	650	34¢	$221	0x8548b6…
08-01 09:56:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	650	31¢	$202	0xbc00b4…
08-01 09:55:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	650	32¢	$208	0xf6c80d…
08-01 01:56:11	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	299	63¢	$189	0x068ef5…
08-01 01:27:02	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	351	66¢	$231	0x82fc7e…
08-01 01:24:57	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	650	69¢	$448	0xeb172d…
08-01 00:03:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	650	50¢	$325	0x48d3f4…
07-31 20:52:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	650	74¢	$481	0x9ca87c…
07-31 17:11:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	510	39¢	$199	0x671916…
07-31 17:09:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	140	40¢	$56	0xacc3a3…
07-31 17:09:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	140	41¢	$57	0x571b04…
07-31 17:09:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	462	41¢	$190	0x20479f…
07-31 17:09:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	47	41¢	$19	0x0150f8…
07-31 14:56:20	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	532	81¢	$431	0xa052c5…
07-31 14:56:20	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	118	81¢	$96	0x1c490e…
07-31 14:54:09	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	650	83¢	$540	0x490629…
07-31 11:41:06	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	78	21¢	$16	0x412c2b…
07-31 09:32:45	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xaf6be6…
07-31 09:32:42	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	569	28¢	$159	0xac8b36…
07-31 09:31:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	650	30¢	$195	0x9e29d1…
07-31 08:57:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	650	79¢	$514	0x269fdc…
07-31 08:57:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	650	80¢	$520	0xed1a5e…
07-31 08:26:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x0cbc3c…
07-31 08:26:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x907bf9…
07-30 01:43:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	700	48¢	$336	0x76fac7…
07-30 01:43:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	700	49¢	$343	0x5bb9ea…
07-28 05:50:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	43	13¢	$6	0x719e63…