Other-Tendency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

-$73

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,271

lifetime

Volume

$162.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

$579

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 07-22 11:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-41

Politics

34% — —

Tech

11% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No		+687	$550	78¢	$536	$-14	06-15 16:35
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes		+62	$102	68¢	$42	$-59	07-12 23:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	22	$5.3K	5,416	5,416	+0	open	—	07-06 06:48
Fed rate hike in 2026?	24	$5.1K	5,937	5,875	+62	open	—	07-12 23:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	19	$4.1K	5,076	5,076	+0	open	—	06-01 07:07
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	32	$4.0K	5,735	5,735	+0	open	—	07-12 23:34
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	8	$3.9K	2,550	2,550	+0	open	—	06-25 00:03
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	7	$3.6K	2,550	2,550	+0	open	—	07-11 22:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	28	$3.6K	3,534	3,534	+0	open	—	05-10 01:34
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	13	$3.2K	3,368	3,368	+0	open	—	07-11 21:44
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	23	$2.9K	3,062	3,062	+0	open	—	07-16 05:17
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	13	$2.7K	2,574	2,574	+0	open	—	07-18 10:23
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	13	$2.4K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	07-05 23:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$2.3K	2,364	2,364	+0	open	—	05-09 00:54
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	8	$2.3K	1,992	1,992	+0	open	—	07-21 10:35
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	4	$2.0K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	07-13 04:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$2.0K	1,453	1,453	+0	open	—	04-30 11:27
btc updown 15m 1776085200	10	$1.9K	1,883	1,817	+66	open	—	04-13 12:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	12	$1.9K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	06-30 23:16
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	14	$1.9K	1,754	1,754	+0	open	—	07-14 04:06
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	4	$1.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	07-08 03:55
btc updown 15m 1776171600	26	$1.8K	1,809	1,746	+63	open	—	04-14 12:59
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	13	$1.8K	1,955	1,955	+0	open	—	06-10 11:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	4	$1.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	06-10 07:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	8	$1.7K	1,766	1,766	+0	open	—	06-08 09:20
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	11	$1.7K	1,267	1,267	+0	open	—	07-19 09:28
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$1.7K	1,800	1,405	+395	open	—	06-05 23:23
btc updown 15m 1775653200	17	$1.6K	1,585	1,540	+45	open	—	04-08 02:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-15 18:42
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	7	$1.6K	1,800	1,556	+244	open	—	06-30 18:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	8	$1.6K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	07-22 08:12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	17	$1.5K	1,420	1,420	+0	open	—	05-22 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 11:14:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	700	52¢	$364	0x9ca773…
07-22 11:14:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	700	53¢	$371	0xdaa7cb…
07-22 09:48:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	464	65¢	$301	0x412a23…
07-22 09:48:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	464	65¢	$301	0xf72608…
07-22 08:12:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	395	13¢	$51	0xc7eace…
07-22 08:12:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	305	13¢	$40	0x7287c9…
07-22 08:11:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	698	16¢	$112	0xcd46fe…
07-22 08:11:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x20cdf8…
07-22 04:57:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	410	56¢	$230	0x5b87f3…
07-22 04:56:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	BUY	410	56¢	$230	0x27f3ed…
07-21 10:35:37	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	359	81¢	$291	0xeb507f…
07-21 10:35:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	359	82¢	$294	0xc48b91…
07-21 05:34:34	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	108	49¢	$53	0xaf4a96…
07-21 05:31:37	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	592	49¢	$290	0xf6164c…
07-21 05:29:30	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	700	51¢	$357	0x3ac574…
07-21 04:58:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	SELL	700	30¢	$210	0x7c39af…
07-21 04:56:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	700	32¢	$224	0x8b23e9…
07-21 02:37:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	150	69¢	$104	0x94a969…
07-21 02:31:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf406a3…
07-21 02:31:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xc4bc9c…
07-21 02:31:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	324	70¢	$227	0xaef209…
07-21 02:31:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	19	71¢	$13	0x1b5c9c…
07-21 02:31:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	94	71¢	$67	0x37b329…
07-21 02:31:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	37	71¢	$26	0xdaace3…
07-21 02:29:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	94	72¢	$68	0xf6b260…
07-21 02:29:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0xdb31b9…
07-21 02:29:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	37	72¢	$26	0x9076ba…
07-21 02:29:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	525	72¢	$378	0xe291cc…
07-20 12:17:22	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	642	12¢	$77	0x35f302…
07-20 11:48:03	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0xaaa05b…
07-20 11:42:19	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0xbea09e…
07-20 11:36:33	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	700	15¢	$105	0x44b425…
07-20 11:30:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	700	84¢	$588	0x6952d5…
07-20 11:30:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	700	85¢	$595	0xdc99b2…
07-20 07:32:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	700	16¢	$112	0xb73bd3…
07-20 07:31:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	700	17¢	$119	0xfd59c0…
07-20 05:44:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	700	70¢	$490	0xfce5cf…
07-20 05:43:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	700	71¢	$497	0x69adf7…
07-19 10:37:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	462	79¢	$365	0x4eeafb…
07-19 10:36:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	462	80¢	$369	0x49ecde…
07-19 09:28:46	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	325	59¢	$192	0xf02619…
07-19 09:28:06	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	245	59¢	$145	0x85f15a…
07-19 09:27:30	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x13a901…
07-19 09:27:27	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x47a58c…
07-19 09:27:25	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x3e37f7…
07-19 06:51:01	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	700	62¢	$434	0x95f494…
07-19 03:12:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	700	70¢	$490	0xfab69c…
07-19 03:11:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	700	71¢	$497	0x8ca9bb…
07-18 23:23:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	700	13¢	$91	0x76dbd4…
07-18 23:23:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	700	14¢	$98	0x693c77…
07-18 21:32:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	471	76¢	$358	0x99e4b8…
07-18 21:32:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	471	77¢	$363	0x4df9ab…
07-18 19:40:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	SELL	216	19¢	$41	0x203041…
07-18 18:30:03	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	SELL	484	20¢	$97	0xa5a8e2…
07-18 18:27:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	700	22¢	$154	0xb94cc3…
07-18 10:23:24	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	747	53¢	$396	0x05acc5…
07-18 10:21:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x350709…
07-18 10:20:15	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	750	56¢	$420	0x4de36e…
07-18 08:29:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	236	72¢	$170	0xb6170e…
07-18 08:29:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	236	72¢	$170	0x59db99…
07-18 06:51:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	SELL	712	60¢	$428	0x9fc4db…
07-18 06:51:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970	No	BUY	712	61¢	$435	0xcb6971…
07-17 05:07:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	563	35¢	$197	0x861d70…
07-17 05:07:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	563	36¢	$203	0x3ae3fc…
07-16 14:52:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	546	22¢	$120	0x269c77…
07-16 12:19:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x8691bf…
07-16 08:40:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xfd92ca…
07-16 07:24:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	287	26¢	$75	0xa67160…
07-16 06:09:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xdc47d3…
07-16 06:06:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x307931…
07-16 05:17:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	445	37¢	$165	0xcea2fb…
07-16 05:17:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	445	37¢	$165	0xcc7862…
07-16 04:58:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x9bacf8…
07-16 04:53:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0xb7016d…
07-16 04:51:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	900	29¢	$261	0x17aa70…
07-14 04:06:22	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	46	45¢	$21	0xbd5920…
07-14 04:06:10	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	99	45¢	$45	0xfa6733…
07-14 04:05:49	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	99	46¢	$46	0xb2578d…
07-14 04:05:34	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0xd96cab…
07-14 02:33:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x3a98ac…
07-14 02:33:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	297	35¢	$104	0xbda245…
07-14 02:33:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	35¢	$105	0xf3b957…
07-14 02:33:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	35¢	$105	0x957b93…
07-14 02:29:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x465ba2…
07-14 02:26:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	38¢	$342	0x49f273…
07-13 15:31:14	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	252	72¢	$182	0xce391a…
07-13 15:30:59	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0xa61d3c…
07-13 15:30:53	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xe1989e…
07-13 15:30:52	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	544	73¢	$397	0x5e83dd…
07-13 15:30:52	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x44bc6b…
07-13 15:30:52	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0x019ac9…
07-13 15:29:05	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0xa22121…
07-13 15:29:04	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	57	74¢	$42	0xe57137…
07-13 15:28:38	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	900	74¢	$666	0x10db50…
07-13 04:26:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	900	45¢	$405	0x581db4…
07-13 04:25:08	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	900	46¢	$414	0x4625d3…
07-12 23:50:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	60¢	$46	0x993a1e…
07-12 23:50:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	60¢	$46	0x72c889…
07-12 23:34:28	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	SELL	750	14¢	$105	0xd90e7d…
07-12 23:33:46	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	750	16¢	$120	0x727fe6…