Cheerful-Stay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

1,763

Trades

1,801

lifetime

Volume

$8.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Other

78% 98% -$3

Sports

17% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 98% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	07-09 15:28
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-05 08:55
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:35
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:10
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:35
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:26
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:52
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x291bc8…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03938c…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3bf3c…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x402789…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc25e47…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1be51…
10-20 18:36:12	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefdba2…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e9fb5…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19e198…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69917a…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4bcf83…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb4323…
10-13 16:04:16	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b242f…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x85b99e…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40559c…
10-12 09:05:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x577e50…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a2804…
10-09 02:09:56	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbf66e…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e89f3…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcdcccf…
10-04 23:23:11	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23f537…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbfbcb…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3791a0…
10-03 02:52:56	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x956eda…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97e26c…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f9c11…
10-01 12:06:14	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6cb47b…
10-01 07:27:03	atp buse halys 2026 09 29	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb9bf4…
10-01 06:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fe0cc…
10-01 05:16:11	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x32edae…
09-30 23:54:59	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf83b0b…
09-30 02:03:00	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58dd8a…
09-29 13:59:00	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1408c6…
09-29 13:18:44	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x36293b…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8de90…
09-27 20:25:06	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11e749…
09-27 13:31:21	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12dede…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x596c83…
09-26 22:55:26	TCU vs. UCF	UCF	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4da87a…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21485e…
09-26 19:42:20	Virginia Tech vs. Boston College	Virginia Tech	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3afbe8…
09-26 16:16:12	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x334f2d…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdcf3c1…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0bf252…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x75f1f4…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaac1c3…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe9d65…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4cd02…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcfc990…
09-20 12:02:25	M15 Forbach: Manuel Frank vs Antoine Walch	Antoine Walch	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x090348…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7931f…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd385d…
09-20 02:45:49	Houston Christian vs. Incarnate Word	Incarnate Word	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd55854…
09-20 02:44:37	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f03f5…
09-20 01:26:40	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa33047…
09-19 03:59:34	Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8c03f…
09-17 20:00:13	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0324b6…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b2d31…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x692a3b…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x188c33…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3423cc…
09-17 00:30:46	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38c4ea…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70a7a2…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1cff4…
09-15 09:42:04	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff4ed2…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe42e25…
09-14 01:22:54	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5553c…
09-13 22:59:30	Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc065f…
09-13 07:36:42	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ef59b…
09-13 02:51:28	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06d72f…
09-12 14:19:54	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x014626…
09-12 03:18:52	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x993982…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08d4ba…
09-11 20:35:00	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb86f35…
09-11 15:23:24	Tulln: Zdenek Kolar vs Alex Barrena	Alex Barrena	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43b44c…
09-11 13:25:21	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs	FunPlus Phoenix	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ede45…
09-11 02:58:30	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d6be5…
09-10 18:48:19	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27f24c…
09-10 17:31:48	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x152f75…
09-10 12:35:22	Montreux: Fiona Ferro vs Barbora Palicova	Fiona Ferro	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0f852…
09-10 01:18:21	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd13da1…
09-09 22:45:55	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ae1c7…
09-09 18:51:10	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd22e8e…
09-09 18:30:57	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81cffc…
09-09 07:41:57	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30f3b0…
09-09 04:08:04	Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2677d…
09-08 23:11:31	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a9360…
09-08 12:12:36	Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Juan Martin	Valerio Aboian	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdac55d…
09-08 06:06:00	M25 Sapporo: Kazushi Idogaki vs Seiya Nakanishi	Seiya Nakanishi	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb65da6…
09-07 21:25:31	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6db1fc…
09-07 17:57:51	US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x78b039…
09-07 15:15:06	Counter-Strike: mellren vs Esport BERG (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #6 Group D	mellren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34811e…
09-07 15:02:03	Counter-Strike: mellren vs Esport BERG - Map 2 Winner	mellren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xead636…
09-04 15:49:42	cs2 fokus aim1 2026 09 04	FOKUS	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbde4f5…
09-03 10:13:12	itf jadou popovi 2026 09 03	Stevan Popovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x882689…
09-03 09:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe8d81…
09-03 06:07:45	itf sujeong soohaja 2026 09 03	Soo Ha Jang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5636a…
09-02 18:35:15	Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ab59e…
09-02 18:29:45	Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb159b…
09-02 15:28:48	W15 Brasov: Thea Marcu vs Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru	Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e7b54…