Blissful-Consist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.36K

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

762

Trades

4,006

lifetime

Volume

$57.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-30 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Other

43% 33% -$821

Politics

21% 33% -$332

Crypto

17% 62% -$901

Sports

14% 50% -$164

Tech

4% 21% -$138

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes		+0	$18	10¢	$0	-$18	07-10 18:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on february 13 2026	39	$1.6K	1,667	1,667	+0	Up	-$18	02-13 11:36
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	37	$1.4K	1,562	1,698	-136	No	+$44	02-07 17:34
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	47	$1.3K	1,326	1,326	+0	Yes	-$1	05-31 14:55
spx opens up or down on february 12 2026	32	$1.0K	1,245	1,245	+0	Up	-$24	02-12 11:00
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	108	$996	836	857	-21	Yes	-$13	02-04 10:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	11	$942	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-19 22:12
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	13	$809	610	610	+0	No	+$5	02-09 01:56
will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	7	$776	800	600	+200	Yes	-$104	07-13 14:16
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	56	$754	754	754	+0	Yes	-$14	01-30 01:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	13	$672	650	650	+0	Yes	-$24	07-15 22:32
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	21	$649	660	660	+0	Yes	-$27	06-02 00:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	9	$635	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$20	07-27 23:27
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	14	$629	763	763	+0	No	-$3	02-08 09:40
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	34	$595	458	458	+0	No	-$4	05-31 06:50
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	11	$568	700	700	+0	open	—	07-24 22:55
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$552	408	408	+0	No	-$7	02-12 10:00
spx up or down on february 13 2026	21	$543	575	575	+0	Up	-$35	02-13 11:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$512	600	600	+0	No	-$32	07-30 12:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	12	$458	477	477	+0	open	—	06-05 00:07
spx up or down on february 18 2026	16	$447	549	549	+0	Up	-$14	02-18 07:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	35	$425	681	657	+24	Yes	+$5	02-01 08:59
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	8	$391	670	670	+0	Yes	+$4	02-17 19:16
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	18	$382	400	400	+0	Yes	-$12	06-02 01:17
Fed rate hike in 2026?	5	$379	400	400	+0	Yes	-$17	07-09 10:38
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	12	$371	455	668	-214	Yes	+$75	02-08 04:44
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC	33	$364	1,277	575	+703	Down	-$22	09-02 12:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	7	$354	400	400	+0	Yes	+$2	06-02 01:19
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	6	$347	300	300	+0	open	—	07-29 09:54
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	8	$328	369	369	+0	Yes	-$37	02-11 20:19
Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	4	$317	268	268	+0	Yes	+$21	07-17 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:45:39	Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x7384c3…
10-30 04:45:33	Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x3e1ff3…
10-30 03:47:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	300	25¢	$76	0xf4bbed…
10-30 03:06:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	177	31¢	$55	0xd31e63…
10-30 03:06:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	123	31¢	$38	0x530d2a…
10-30 03:01:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x7223b5…
10-30 02:55:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x60f1a5…
10-30 02:55:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x02fd09…
10-30 01:37:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x26a8f4…
10-29 04:50:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xb9b112…
10-29 04:50:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0x929119…
10-29 01:23:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x9858db…
10-29 01:23:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x825662…
10-29 01:07:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x9c85a8…
10-29 00:48:59	Will "One in a Million" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x5b681e…
10-28 07:19:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x8b4260…
10-28 03:59:53	Will "One in a Million" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x054ded…
10-28 03:39:13	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6122ee…
10-27 20:14:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x6d5a85…
10-27 06:07:29	Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x53dd35…
10-27 05:49:32	Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2fef53…
10-27 03:51:35	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x58a53c…
10-27 00:56:24	Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xb2cd2b…
10-26 20:53:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xa22e4f…
10-26 11:34:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xafd468…
10-26 11:27:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	21¢	$22	0xb5b9e0…
10-26 11:27:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x28f21c…
10-26 06:56:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xb6ca97…
10-26 06:49:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xff3526…
10-26 06:49:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	28¢	$27	0xb8ab08…
10-26 06:21:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	26¢	$12	0xd29795…
10-26 06:02:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	26¢	$12	0xe07248…
10-26 04:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xda2d27…
10-26 03:28:39	Will Russell Westbrook play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x4952ff…
10-26 03:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	SELL	44	70¢	$31	0xad8f53…
10-26 01:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x8fe584…
10-26 01:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2b305d…
10-26 01:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc06bc8…
10-26 01:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xcea08d…
10-26 01:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x437375…
10-26 01:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x221f85…
10-26 00:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xe1e027…
10-26 00:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x143691…
10-26 00:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0xb435f6…
10-26 00:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x0468d1…
10-25 21:41:11	Will Russell Westbrook play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xff4c9b…
10-25 21:37:02	Will Russell Westbrook play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x1e45d1…
10-25 21:30:50	Will Russell Westbrook play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xcd0f5f…
10-25 21:30:30	Will Russell Westbrook play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x50e92c…
10-25 09:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	BUY	57	66¢	$37	0xafdcd0…
10-25 02:13:11	Will Fabián Ruiz attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0xd8e4c3…
10-24 21:30:35	Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	81	1¢	$1	0x8b5193…
10-24 20:41:32	Will Fabián Ruiz attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x60738b…
10-24 09:36:27	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x1b32fe…
10-24 09:31:23	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x9f6242…
10-24 06:56:44	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	60	65¢	$39	0x542671…
10-24 06:29:30	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0x272f10…
10-24 01:42:47	Will Fabián Ruiz attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xa92254…
10-24 01:42:23	Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	295	5¢	$15	0xf6416b…
10-24 01:41:00	Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	141	7¢	$10	0x100168…
10-23 23:48:59	Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xdaddec…
10-23 23:16:20	Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x1a547d…
10-23 23:12:24	Will Fabián Ruiz attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x056acf…
10-23 23:09:03	Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0xe71949…
10-23 23:08:27	Will Fabián Ruiz attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	69	5¢	$3	0xf04c58…
10-23 23:07:17	Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xca4e68…
10-23 23:07:17	Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x50958a…
10-23 23:06:59	Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	252	7¢	$17	0x054e4e…
10-23 03:38:30	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xb854e0…
10-23 03:17:56	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	162	9¢	$15	0x629956…
10-23 03:16:44	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0xc583fc…
10-23 02:40:27	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xcc693f…
10-23 01:29:20	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	SELL	161	9¢	$14	0x6db79e…
10-23 01:12:39	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0xa5e5e4…
10-23 01:11:57	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x592c5b…
10-22 23:56:20	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0xb1aed1…
10-22 23:50:14	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x5d305b…
10-22 23:50:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xbcccf6…
10-22 23:50:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x0757f6…
10-22 23:50:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x060326…
10-22 23:49:57	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0xc1585e…
10-22 23:35:45	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x7c7c55…
10-22 23:15:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x6af2cc…
10-22 23:14:59	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x6c5491…
10-22 23:11:30	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x6fc0ee…
10-22 23:01:24	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xe79d9d…
10-22 23:00:21	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	162	8¢	$13	0xffc33c…
10-22 22:57:48	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	SELL	72	18¢	$13	0x29dbf9…
10-22 22:49:15	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	72	17¢	$12	0xcb2df0…
10-22 22:46:08	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	BUY	81	8¢	$6	0x2b99c4…
10-22 22:44:51	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xbd4867…
10-22 08:25:51	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0xe3b549…
10-22 05:27:35	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xfc244c…
10-22 02:56:15	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x03a0b3…
10-22 02:51:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0xbc2dbe…
10-22 01:40:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0xdd06ab…
10-22 01:40:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xda78c4…
10-22 00:32:45	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x6da782…
10-22 00:16:06	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xd46eb7…
10-22 00:16:05	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xe6cc1d…