Outlying-Hatred — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

29.5%

Resolved

301

Trades

657

lifetime

Volume

$37.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-27 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 38% -$67

Other

11% 45% -$5

Politics

1% 80% +$0

Sports

0% 53% -$1

Tech

0% 29% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes		+19	$15	82¢	$16	+$1	10-01 11:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	2	$1.2K	617	617	+0	No	+$0	01-23 17:17
will solana reach 180 in january 2026	2	$1.2K	617	617	+0	No	-$1	01-26 16:28
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	No	-$1	05-29 13:56
Will BNB reach $800 in May?	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	No	-$3	05-28 11:57
Will Chainlink reach $14 in May?	7	$1.0K	518	518	+0	No	-$3	05-30 13:00
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	No	-$3	06-07 09:32
will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	No	-$2	06-09 12:59
will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	No	+$2	06-12 06:29
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	-$3	06-04 11:25
will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	+$3	06-06 05:30
will ethereum reach 2600 in june 2026	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	-$3	06-11 07:13
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$616	0	618	-618	No	-$2	01-21 16:49
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	3	$504	510	0	+510	No	+$6	05-30 13:49
will chainlink reach 20 in march	4	$319	160	160	+0	No	-$1	03-12 17:53
will wti reach 150 in september 2026	4	$280	140	140	+0	No	$0	09-25 11:32
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$270	136	136	+0	open	—	09-17 12:05
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	7	$230	116	116	+0	No	+$1	05-26 14:00
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	2	$180	91	91	+0	No	+$0	06-25 09:04
will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	07-31 16:43
will solana reach 150 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	07-14 14:57
will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	08-06 11:57
will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	2	$180	91	91	+0	No	+$0	07-04 10:55
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	2	$180	91	91	+0	No	+$0	07-24 17:17
will ethereum reach 2300 in june 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-27 12:09
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	08-04 15:33
will xrp reach 2pt6 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-08 15:41
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-05 06:53
will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-15 06:28
will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-30 16:39
will xrp reach 2 in march 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-30 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:31:50	Will XRP reach $3.00 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6df628…
10-27 13:29:09	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xcd832f…
10-26 13:23:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x13a186…
10-26 13:23:18	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x2d2a62…
10-23 12:07:14	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xa1119b…
10-23 12:05:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xbf08ca…
10-22 11:41:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x12c83d…
10-22 11:40:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xcd222c…
10-21 13:46:00	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xff3868…
10-21 13:43:00	Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xe07ae9…
10-20 10:47:05	Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x2a1481…
10-20 10:45:32	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x9a7670…
10-19 13:07:18	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x642b90…
10-19 13:06:57	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xfef55f…
10-16 11:19:37	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x68f671…
10-16 11:18:16	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x966f54…
10-15 09:07:31	will solana reach 200 in october 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc7a902…
10-15 09:04:25	will ethereum reach 4500 in october 2026	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa3dde0…
10-14 09:55:02	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6fe822…
10-14 09:53:01	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x9cc6c5…
10-13 14:07:17	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x34d4b9…
10-13 14:06:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xcc3388…
10-12 14:04:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xafc849…
10-12 14:03:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	72	98¢	$71	0x645b42…
10-09 14:55:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x24d7fb…
10-09 14:54:43	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x33d39c…
10-08 13:20:03	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xdc78c4…
10-08 13:19:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa52a47…
10-07 10:10:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x51e5e3…
10-07 10:10:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0xb8c4d9…
10-06 11:07:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xf3cb39…
10-06 11:06:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	SELL	73	97¢	$70	0xb78117…
10-05 14:06:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xc2ca46…
10-05 14:05:46	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0x4c7495…
10-02 12:18:03	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x92f38d…
10-02 12:17:18	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xaaa104…
10-01 11:49:30	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xfc21f3…
10-01 11:48:12	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x9b86d4…
10-01 11:45:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x2a7923…
09-30 10:20:15	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x16a8c9…
09-30 10:18:45	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x5cf889…
09-29 11:41:33	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd4c6d7…
09-29 11:39:12	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xb524b7…
09-28 14:51:59	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xed72b8…
09-28 14:49:02	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0xe4044a…
09-25 11:33:45	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xc1f32f…
09-25 11:32:17	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x0554ba…
09-25 11:31:23	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x655704…
09-25 11:30:03	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x7e58d2…
09-24 10:34:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xfec4b1…
09-24 10:32:50	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xb31ddb…
09-23 11:29:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x699d28…
09-23 11:28:41	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x217c7d…
09-22 10:07:30	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x320323…
09-22 10:05:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x94a293…
09-21 14:43:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xd3da7d…
09-21 14:40:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xcf8d83…
09-19 08:05:21	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x355fc8…
09-18 13:55:59	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x706751…
09-18 13:54:18	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xe8a38d…
09-17 12:06:25	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x6a09b7…
09-17 12:05:07	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xc78062…
09-16 11:32:49	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7afaba…
09-16 11:25:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xea9b10…
09-15 12:27:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x897a37…
09-15 12:25:51	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x115319…
09-14 13:12:40	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x11797c…
09-14 13:10:55	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xcf48a2…
09-12 08:14:18	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x0c60a0…
09-12 08:12:03	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xcae78e…
09-11 07:33:06	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x001d3b…
09-11 07:32:01	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x1c3ad1…
09-10 08:39:01	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe74930…
09-10 08:37:09	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x7f0592…
09-09 12:44:40	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x7e84db…
09-09 12:43:15	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	93¢	$70	0x29c164…
09-09 12:43:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5dcad4…
09-08 09:58:19	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x924cf0…
09-08 09:56:57	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	93¢	$70	0x0e0fde…
09-08 09:54:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x1b759d…
09-07 22:23:51	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x072218…
09-07 07:49:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xfe705e…
09-07 07:45:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0xf3162b…
09-04 23:44:18	another gta vi trailer released by september 30	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x90740e…
09-04 23:42:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x2341dd…
09-04 23:39:01	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x430fa3…
09-03 15:22:18	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7c66e5…
09-03 15:21:27	Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x872b1b…
09-03 15:20:04	Will Ignacio Buse win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0cf1f7…
09-02 21:46:13	Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xcedf62…
09-02 14:55:21	Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc9c0f3…
09-02 14:52:31	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x8a3f38…
09-01 15:23:58	Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x024eb2…
09-01 15:22:31	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xc0b831…
09-01 15:20:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x95322b…
08-29 17:31:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb9ed98…
08-29 17:29:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x78e659…
08-29 17:26:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x438dd9…
08-28 18:48:46	Trump out as President by August 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4c563c…
08-28 18:48:24	Trump out as President by August 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x58d676…