Salty-Osprey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$179

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-20 14:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$23

Crypto

31% 75% +$67

Sports

21% 67% +$89

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$975	505	505	+0	Yes	+$22	04-27 11:29
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	2	$936	800	800	+0	No	+$72	07-20 14:22
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	15	$544	1,100	0	+1,100	Knicks	+$6	05-25 08:54
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$84	0	502	-502	No	+$84	05-06 01:54
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$21	301	301	+0	No	$0	04-08 03:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13?	2	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	06-12 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 13?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-12 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 07:25
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 13?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-12 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 90°F or higher on June 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 07:39
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 29?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-16 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on May 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-27 05:24
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 08:43
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-18 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 25?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-24 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 13?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-12 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-24 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-24 10:09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-18 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 13?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-12 10:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on June 25?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-24 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 14:22:21	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	800	63¢	$504	0x8c1f8e…
07-20 03:37:18	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	800	54¢	$432	0xe5b9be…
07-16 08:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bc0b6…
07-16 08:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd6bfba…
07-13 07:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb4e5ef…
07-13 07:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x974c53…
06-24 10:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x15b4ba…
06-24 10:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaeaf93…
06-24 10:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xc5679c…
06-24 10:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcf55fd…
06-24 10:12:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x49e174…
06-24 10:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfd9199…
06-24 10:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfb1860…
06-24 10:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 90°F or higher on June 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc5440…
06-22 07:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5470ba…
06-22 07:31:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x021c4e…
06-22 07:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9a227…
06-22 07:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x371fcd…
06-22 07:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb48151…
06-22 07:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9b9bd3…
06-22 07:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x74cb1c…
06-22 07:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1fc287…
06-12 10:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc0b50…
06-12 10:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb019cd…
06-12 10:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 13?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5b4c50…
06-12 10:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x60f8ab…
06-12 10:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f378e…
06-12 10:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6fd2ea…
06-12 10:04:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd24c87…
06-12 10:02:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x199398…
06-09 07:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa74b4e…
06-09 07:37:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71ab45…
06-09 07:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x15dfdd…
06-09 07:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9cc559…
05-29 07:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa90c1e…
05-29 07:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcee9db…
05-29 07:52:35	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x31f485…
05-29 07:50:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e4465…
05-29 07:47:44	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa4c836…
05-29 07:46:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a8bad…
05-29 07:45:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x71721a…
05-27 06:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x088c95…
05-27 06:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x304bb5…
05-27 06:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcc2271…
05-27 05:56:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x916805…
05-27 05:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f3639…
05-27 05:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3660ea…
05-25 08:54:27	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	168	43¢	$72	0x80beb9…
05-25 08:53:27	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	49	43¢	$21	0xbe22f5…
05-25 08:53:06	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xd8466c…
05-25 08:52:05	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x221760…
05-25 08:49:15	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x164f8d…
05-25 08:48:28	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x3fe27b…
05-25 08:48:21	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x6fda7e…
05-25 08:47:37	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x8b54bc…
05-25 08:47:13	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x0dacc9…
05-25 08:46:50	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x20575a…
05-25 08:43:48	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0xd9c99c…
05-25 08:43:46	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x88f922…
05-25 08:43:38	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	88	43¢	$38	0x8e2ced…
05-25 08:43:20	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	41	43¢	$18	0xdf1d44…
05-25 05:21:44	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	550	56¢	$308	0x73854c…
05-18 08:33:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xff2b1f…
05-18 08:32:33	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x498684…
05-18 08:30:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x15e2a9…
05-18 08:28:52	Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x13ba4b…
05-14 08:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d8e0d…
05-14 08:41:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x452efd…
05-14 08:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb83dc6…
05-14 08:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe024c4…
05-11 03:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xedeb0d…
05-11 03:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbe8820…
05-11 03:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeb84d0…
05-11 02:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8a22a9…
05-06 01:54:30	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	502	17¢	$84	0xfbe6b5…
04-27 11:29:22	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0xa84114…
04-27 11:29:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	431	99¢	$426	0x1842bf…
04-27 07:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 11°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x900c3e…
04-27 07:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 48°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x00d0b8…
04-27 07:47:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcf8617…
04-27 07:46:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe494f9…
04-24 08:24:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	316	94¢	$298	0xfa117d…
04-24 08:23:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0xe03c50…
04-24 08:23:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xb5eb61…
04-24 08:23:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xb5e6c9…
04-08 03:36:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	92	4¢	$3	0x938f2e…
04-08 03:33:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xc93508…
04-08 03:33:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0x77bcf3…
04-08 03:33:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x4065b0…
04-08 03:33:55	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	104	4¢	$4	0x8096e8…
04-07 07:42:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	301	4¢	$11	0x868428…
03-03 08:30:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5de75a…