Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$376

Hit rate

35.8%

Resolved

Trades

281

lifetime

Volume

$207.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$737

Open exposure

$11.0K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 09-26 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

72% 56% -$31,819

Other

28% 21% -$3,889

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-11,172	-$10,612	98¢	$-10987	-$375	09-26 09:07
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	-5	-$4	98¢	$-5	-$1	05-18 19:57
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	-1	-$1	92¢	$-1	$0	05-18 19:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	26	$34.6K	18,497	18,497	+0	No	+$1,542	04-03 16:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	18	$34.3K	50,198	19,977	+30,220	No	-$1,032	04-23 15:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	11	$30.4K	30,410	3,000	+27,410	Yes	-$25,502	04-05 21:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	23	$23.2K	14,809	14,357	+452	Yes	-$598	04-02 16:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$17.5K	14,983	14,983	+0	Yes	-$2,506	04-05 20:56
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	21	$15.7K	9,938	9,938	+0	Yes	+$744	04-05 20:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$10.6K	0	11,172	-11,172	open	—	09-26 09:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$5.2K	2,900	2,900	+0	No	+$319	05-18 19:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	76	$4.1K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$4,100	04-03 23:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$3.1K	3,371	0	+3,371	No	+$270	04-05 13:35
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$3.0K	4,218	0	+4,218	No	+$1,218	03-14 05:13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$2.5K	2,918	2,918	+0	No	-$42	04-01 22:51
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	3	$2.4K	7,446	0	+7,446	No	-$2,410	03-17 17:12
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	5	$2.4K	3,252	3,252	+0	Yes	-$1,826	03-31 19:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$2.1K	2,445	0	+2,445	Yes	-$2,054	04-01 10:56
will uae strike iran by march 31	1	$2.0K	2,485	0	+2,485	No	+$485	03-19 03:35
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	3	$1.6K	2,354	2,354	+0	No	-$619	03-17 17:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	3	$1.2K	10,310	500	+9,810	No	-$246	04-12 12:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$1.1K	1,331	0	+1,331	No	+$201	03-05 01:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$1.1K	1,651	0	+1,651	No	+$521	03-06 20:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	1	$1000	1,149	0	+1,149	No	+$149	03-05 00:57
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$879	1,083	1,083	+0	No	-$121	03-17 14:34
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	5	$823	1,769	1,769	+0	No	+$19	03-06 04:18
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$774	0	800	-800	No	-$26	05-18 19:56
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$521	451	451	+0	No	+$21	03-05 12:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$500	605	0	+605	No	+$105	03-05 00:51
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$496	2,076	2,076	+0	Yes	-$104	03-08 18:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$494	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$346	04-02 12:58
us announces military support of iran oppostion by march 31	2	$471	417	417	+0	No	-$29	03-06 20:27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$405	304	304	+0	Yes	+$185	03-08 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 09:07:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	4,585	96¢	$4,420	0x95d90e…
09-06 19:58:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	4,066	96¢	$3,911	0x91429f…
09-06 19:05:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1,069	96¢	$1,029	0x565e7f…
05-18 19:57:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1,452	86¢	$1,253	0x769343…
05-18 19:57:33	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x307adf…
05-18 19:57:26	OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x2fcf16…
05-18 19:57:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	335	94¢	$315	0x518367…
05-18 19:56:56	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	800	97¢	$774	0xfeea3b…
05-18 19:56:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2,900	95¢	$2,755	0x21d5d6…
04-23 15:26:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23,074	5¢	$1,236	0xc9736b…
04-13 17:15:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	845	20¢	$169	0xb41ee0…
04-13 17:14:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x393978…
04-13 17:14:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	276	20¢	$55	0xf19e47…
04-12 12:11:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	9,810	3¢	$280	0x8bdcf4…
04-11 22:19:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,875	16¢	$300	0x1b5722…
04-11 22:18:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	7,143	7¢	$500	0xc374a1…
04-11 19:23:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf8c65d…
04-09 21:56:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	5,723	90¢	$5,151	0xd472ca…
04-09 21:55:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	500	97¢	$486	0x8f5256…
04-05 21:02:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	6,476	91¢	$5,893	0x3d19b2…
04-05 21:02:11	will iran strike uae again in march	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdff213…
04-05 20:56:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,183	100¢	$2,177	0xb167f0…
04-05 20:56:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3,722	100¢	$3,715	0x139a43…
04-05 14:41:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	215	92¢	$198	0x3bba14…
04-05 14:40:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0x4e8878…
04-05 14:40:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	6,000	80¢	$4,800	0x7ca885…
04-05 14:16:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,849	94¢	$1,738	0x35de0e…
04-05 14:15:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	2,000	80¢	$1,600	0xc8a653…
04-05 13:35:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	1,433	92¢	$1,318	0x38d841…
04-05 13:28:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0x09647a…
04-05 13:27:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0x50a9e6…
04-05 13:14:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x4e77ee…
04-05 13:12:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	137	92¢	$126	0x889d46…
04-05 13:05:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	1,639	92¢	$1,508	0x94883e…
04-05 13:04:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	4,000	81¢	$3,240	0xb6c79e…
04-05 13:02:53	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	230	37¢	$85	0x2010d6…
04-05 13:02:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xea9c89…
04-05 12:53:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1,280	95¢	$1,216	0x712323…
04-05 12:50:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	1,500	81¢	$1,215	0x6c6c13…
04-05 02:51:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0x122ef0…
04-05 02:50:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x1fd149…
04-05 01:18:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	240	95¢	$228	0x256ac6…
04-05 01:17:19	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0xddb3b2…
04-05 01:06:59	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0xf8ace8…
04-05 01:05:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	22¢	$108	0x604892…
04-05 01:02:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	599	81¢	$485	0xa96378…
04-05 00:54:55	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xfec473…
04-04 18:56:17	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	522	89¢	$465	0x541d8c…
04-04 18:55:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	83¢	$1,660	0x9e9a3c…
04-04 18:55:19	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,200	89¢	$2,848	0x5073c4…
04-04 02:03:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5,351	94¢	$5,030	0x74c7b8…
04-03 23:23:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	125	82¢	$102	0xcf9641…
04-03 23:23:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	138	82¢	$113	0xdd7273…
04-03 23:23:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb65c6c…
04-03 23:22:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xadbcc1…
04-03 23:22:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x926d24…
04-03 23:20:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x2d6a98…
04-03 23:20:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	161	82¢	$132	0x35961b…
04-03 23:20:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	400	82¢	$328	0xf6a6d9…
04-03 23:19:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	161	82¢	$132	0x6cfb9e…
04-03 23:18:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe0fda5…
04-03 23:17:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xbca735…
04-03 23:17:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xbcb7fa…
04-03 23:16:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe81ad8…
04-03 23:16:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2cdecb…
04-03 23:15:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xdd2d47…
04-03 23:15:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x0ddb0f…
04-03 23:13:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3d7823…
04-03 23:12:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	24	82¢	$19	0x6a085f…
04-03 23:11:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x8b710d…
04-03 23:11:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	24	82¢	$19	0xddb2ae…
04-03 23:04:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xfc5760…
04-03 23:04:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x22d1b4…
04-03 22:48:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	133	82¢	$109	0x0b25f7…
04-03 22:47:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x6af616…
04-03 22:42:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x0c1273…
04-03 22:39:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	194	82¢	$159	0x5fd9a2…
04-03 22:39:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	194	82¢	$159	0x2f1714…
04-03 22:36:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0x96b313…
04-03 22:28:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	204	82¢	$167	0x49abb2…
04-03 22:27:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x295c97…
04-03 22:25:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x84369a…
04-03 22:14:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	289	82¢	$237	0x314889…
04-03 22:14:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x6c06f6…
04-03 22:10:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x5821e0…
04-03 22:10:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xb7c2ae…
04-03 22:08:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x697a86…
04-03 22:05:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xf27b12…
04-03 22:05:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x5d38b5…
04-03 22:03:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x48fabc…
04-03 22:02:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0xb378e3…
04-03 22:02:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0xb182af…
04-03 22:01:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x5873b6…
04-03 22:01:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0xb3ebf3…
04-03 22:00:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0xb2f9b5…
04-03 22:00:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x92f521…
04-03 21:56:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	111	82¢	$91	0x1b632b…
04-03 21:52:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x1ee196…
04-03 21:51:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x5e6e4e…
04-03 21:46:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0x7220d9…