Energetic-Sinuosity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$547

Unrealized P&L

+$765

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

$1.08K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-14 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

48% 60% +$788

Other

43% 40% +$9

Sports

7% 0% -$200

Crypto

2% 0% -$50

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+1,200	$300	90¢	$1.1K	+$774	06-03 17:26
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes		+1,081	$10	0¢	$1	-$9	04-29 22:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$825	0	1,714	-1,714	Yes	+$825	05-21 17:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$572	823	823	+0	No	-$28	06-14 22:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$300	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-03 17:26
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$206	556	556	+0	No	+$6	03-06 17:30
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	2	$191	3,160	3,160	+0	Yes	-$9	06-02 20:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$182	357	357	+0	Yes	-$18	06-12 17:14
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$150	211	0	+211	Yes	+$61	04-11 16:14
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	3	$146	4,789	4,267	+521	No	+$26	05-08 19:48
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	2,439	0	+2,439	No	-$100	06-10 21:23
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	11,111	0	+11,111	No	-$100	06-11 17:05
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	1	$50	333	0	+333	No	-$50	04-29 22:34
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	1	$50	216	0	+216	No	-$50	05-07 22:12
will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$20	9,679	0	+9,679	No	-$20	03-09 17:07
2026 Balance of Power: Other	1	$10	1,081	0	+1,081	open	—	04-29 22:23
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$5	0	5,233	-5,233	No	+$5	06-05 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 22:12:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	823	33¢	$272	0x0b8104…
06-12 17:14:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	357	23¢	$82	0x3972c9…
06-11 17:05:48	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11,111	1¢	$100	0xdc8e26…
06-10 21:23:03	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,439	4¢	$100	0x52d1a0…
06-05 20:22:52	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,233	0¢	$5	0xdde218…
06-03 17:26:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,200	25¢	$300	0x65d0b4…
06-02 20:01:40	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	No	SELL	3,160	3¢	$91	0x33f1ae…
06-02 19:40:40	Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	No	BUY	3,160	3¢	$100	0x2b9ad5…
05-27 15:41:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	823	36¢	$300	0x369ed3…
05-21 17:29:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,714	48¢	$825	0xf7d707…
05-08 19:48:50	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	521	2¢	$10	0x21b8a1…
05-08 17:43:20	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,267	2¢	$86	0x081822…
05-07 22:12:36	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,267	1¢	$50	0xb51e19…
05-07 22:12:31	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	23¢	$50	0xb44058…
05-06 19:50:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x2a7396…
04-29 22:34:26	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x51873c…
04-29 22:23:10	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	1,081	1¢	$10	0x88fdd9…
04-11 16:14:25	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	211	71¢	$150	0xbec429…
03-09 17:07:55	will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	9,679	0¢	$20	0xae4529…
03-06 17:30:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	556	19¢	$106	0x55dad8…
03-05 00:08:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x5f4fe1…