Clumsy-Stationwagon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

-$92

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$604

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-05-16

last 07-15 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

58% 56% +$86

Politics

42% 33% -$131

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+245	$120	12¢	$28	-$92	05-17 11:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	2	$212	171	171	+0	Yes	+$128	07-11 23:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	2	$130	351	0	+351	No	-$130	05-17 11:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$120	245	0	+245	open	—	05-17 11:18
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	07-11 20:39
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$23	15	15	+0	No	+$3	05-18 12:21
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	1	$20	53	0	+53	No	-$20	07-15 18:57
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	44	0	+44	No	-$20	05-16 18:09
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 assists anthony gordon gte1	1	$10	42	0	+42	No	-$10	07-15 19:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$4	05-17 11:21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	05-17 15:05
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	05-18 12:26
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	05-17 11:59
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	-$1	05-18 12:24
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	05-17 11:58
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	05-17 11:49
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	05-17 11:54
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	05-17 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 19:12:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 assists anthony gordon gte1	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xeffd04…
07-15 18:57:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xdb1d64…
07-11 23:09:05	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	171	100¢	$170	0x684483…
07-11 20:40:17	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	171	25¢	$42	0x1f7fc4…
07-11 20:39:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x0b5d26…
05-18 12:26:40	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xdb6d58…
05-18 12:24:29	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcfdc6a…
05-18 12:22:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfb0cd0…
05-18 12:21:42	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0xbf46c4…
05-17 15:12:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x036f61…
05-17 15:05:33	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x736d84…
05-17 12:00:38	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xe6843b…
05-17 11:59:51	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x052af3…
05-17 11:58:58	Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x378212…
05-17 11:58:23	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd8f96b…
05-17 11:54:25	Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa41bad…
05-17 11:49:19	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x977d88…
05-17 11:44:07	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x49d9f7…
05-17 11:21:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x91f66c…
05-17 11:18:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x74fd8d…
05-17 11:18:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	49¢	$120	0xa21a1c…
05-17 11:17:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xf37763…
05-16 18:11:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x8f9e57…
05-16 18:09:54	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x864f0d…