Fortunate-Constellation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$63

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,225

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$686

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-08 15:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 100% +$0

Other

34% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+5,722	$350	7¢	$409	+$59	06-08 15:04
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		-300	$-280	92¢	$-276	+$3	06-03 21:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1,280	$3.8K	30,900	29,061	+1,839	open	—	06-08 15:04
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	315	$943	323,112	347,940	-24,828	open	—	02-25 04:33
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	29	$926	50,414	49,578	+836	open	—	01-28 03:50
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	7	$883	56,093	30,399	+25,694	open	—	01-29 20:34
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	149	$723	124,698	86,685	+38,013	open	—	03-22 00:37
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	3	$700	500	200	+300	open	—	04-12 00:38
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 8	1	$405	405	0	+405	open	—	01-06 21:09
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 98000 on february 4	3	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	02-02 21:39
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$280	0	300	-300	open	—	06-03 21:46
will bitcoin dip to 82k december 29 january 4	2	$278	279	0	+279	open	—	01-04 21:55
will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	6	$205	106	101	+5	open	—	02-27 17:25
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	41	$200	50,000	50,000	+0	open	—	02-12 20:02
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-09 02:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	05-13 07:06
bitcoin above 78k on march 1	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	02-28 00:12
bitcoin above 84k on march 24	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	03-22 03:26
will bitcoin reach 78k february 23 march 1	2	$145	145	0	+145	open	—	02-27 17:34
bitcoin above 100k on february 4	1	$114	114	0	+114	open	—	02-02 17:17
bitcoin above 88k on february 7	2	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	02-06 12:11
will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	2	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	02-06 12:20
Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-19 13:32
bitcoin above 84k on january 7	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-06 21:05
bitcoin above 84k on march 23	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-22 03:25
will bitcoin reach 98k december 29 january 4	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-04 21:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	05-13 08:03
bitcoin above 80k on february 13	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-11 10:33
bitcoin above 92k on february 3	2	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	02-02 17:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on february 3	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	02-02 17:19
will solana dip to 90 december 29 january 4	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-04 21:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-03 03:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 15:04:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	689	6¢	$45	0xa0dbd1…
06-08 15:04:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x0031af…
06-08 15:04:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,305	6¢	$85	0x1035ab…
06-08 14:09:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,690	6¢	$108	0x190337…
06-08 14:09:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x529b57…
06-08 14:09:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xad1753…
06-08 14:08:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x1e5cdd…
06-08 14:08:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xc9e6ec…
06-08 14:08:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd795dc…
06-08 14:07:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x806e72…
06-08 14:07:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$2	0x65b242…
06-08 14:07:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc98b49…
06-08 14:07:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xeb6293…
06-08 14:07:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x73843a…
06-08 14:06:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xfef8ff…
06-08 14:06:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x91f960…
06-08 14:06:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x46b2d3…
06-08 14:06:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x6100a6…
06-08 14:05:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x769e78…
06-08 14:05:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x73d5d0…
06-08 14:04:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xd5a8d7…
06-08 14:04:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xbd13c5…
06-08 14:03:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x1eeea9…
06-08 14:03:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x307304…
06-08 14:02:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x531f6c…
06-08 14:02:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x6f9f5b…
06-08 13:33:49	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x607a87…
06-08 10:55:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,582	6¢	$101	0x748f4f…
06-08 10:55:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xfe6188…
06-08 10:55:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x50e512…
06-08 10:55:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xe2a34a…
06-08 10:54:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x2d8726…
06-08 10:54:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xcb6ad1…
06-08 10:54:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x8fb932…
06-08 10:54:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x88b5ba…
06-08 10:54:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x4f97f0…
06-08 10:54:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x672bf7…
06-08 10:53:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xe6eb64…
06-08 10:53:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x662beb…
06-08 10:53:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x4f93a8…
06-08 10:52:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x34feb5…
06-08 10:52:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x56fc4a…
06-08 10:52:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x745872…
06-08 10:52:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xd1493b…
06-08 10:51:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x5b43f8…
06-08 10:51:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x361c79…
06-08 10:51:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x0bfe79…
06-08 10:50:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x70c2ed…
06-08 10:50:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x4c5125…
06-08 10:50:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xf7637f…
06-08 10:49:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xc041d2…
06-08 10:49:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xf7869c…
06-08 10:49:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x047692…
06-08 10:49:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xb047c5…
06-08 10:48:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x61d1cf…
06-08 10:48:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x20582d…
06-08 10:48:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x924d9d…
06-08 10:48:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xaee4de…
06-08 10:48:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x369f2b…
06-08 10:48:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x4da80e…
06-08 10:48:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x95dd61…
06-08 06:30:13	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x47da57…
06-08 04:52:22	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x330b59…
06-08 04:49:21	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	36¢	$7	0x8e3acc…
06-08 03:58:51	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x9cd347…
06-07 20:22:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$65	0xb77da4…
06-07 16:23:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x8a9ae9…
06-07 16:23:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$5	0x2b5056…
06-07 16:23:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x082490…
06-07 16:22:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x3a575d…
06-07 16:22:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xaa3ab0…
06-07 16:22:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x4d5a77…
06-07 16:22:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x42bae5…
06-07 16:22:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x186285…
06-07 16:22:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xd521d1…
06-07 16:21:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xd08caf…
06-07 16:20:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe6e3fa…
06-07 16:20:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa5b283…
06-07 16:20:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x0667c2…
06-07 16:20:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x97a1d0…
06-07 16:20:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xdd8dc3…
06-07 16:20:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x311bec…
06-07 16:20:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x5e107f…
06-07 16:19:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x8ca0a3…
06-07 16:19:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x589eba…
06-07 16:19:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x7c69aa…
06-07 16:18:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x3597d2…
06-07 16:18:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xd76bd5…
06-07 16:18:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x554dd3…
06-07 16:17:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x78c83b…
06-07 16:17:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x04a14a…
06-07 16:17:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x989463…
06-07 16:17:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x708122…
06-07 16:16:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x90b0e9…
06-07 16:16:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x8fb895…
06-07 16:15:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x624267…
06-07 16:15:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x0a3485…
06-07 16:15:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xe3f44b…
06-07 16:14:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x5c5817…
06-07 16:14:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x8688e8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	238	$31.3K	17,087	05-08 22:12
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	231	$13.7K	4,973	06-09 18:09
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	216	$2.00K	2,879	03-24 18:49
Crafty-Lane 0x4eb6…fd8e	173	$1.93K	437	06-08 05:18
Expert-Rowing 0x9f04…1a93	164	$3.25K	467	06-08 13:30
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	156	$4.78K	4,628	05-31 04:12
Stable-Broccoli 0xd44b…f081	156	$1.92K	214	05-29 19:47
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	148	$240.0K	4,679	06-09 18:06