Fortunate-Constellation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$12

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

2,393 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$72

$15.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-13 03:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 96% -$35

Other

38% 90% -$2

Politics

2% 85% -$21

Tech

0% 75% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+190	-$6	2¢	$3	+$9	06-08 15:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1,358	$4.7K	36,576	36,386	+190	open	—	06-08 15:04
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	315	$943	323,112	347,940	-24,828	No	+$49	02-25 04:33
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	29	$926	50,414	49,578	+836	No	-$1	01-28 03:50
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	7	$883	56,093	30,399	+25,694	No	-$25	01-29 20:34
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	149	$723	124,698	86,685	+38,013	No	-$66	03-22 00:37
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	3	$700	500	200	+300	No	+$0	04-12 00:38
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$559	300	300	+0	open	—	06-03 21:46
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on january 8	1	$405	405	0	+405	No	+$0	01-06 21:09
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 98000 on february 4	3	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$1	02-02 21:39
will bitcoin dip to 82k december 29 january 4	2	$278	279	0	+279	No	+$0	01-04 21:55
will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	6	$205	106	101	+5	No	+$0	02-27 17:25
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	41	$200	50,000	50,000	+0	No	+$0	02-12 20:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 07:06
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-09 02:35
bitcoin above 78k on march 1	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	02-28 00:12
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$177	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	06-03 03:29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	2	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 05:01
bitcoin above 84k on march 24	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	03-22 03:26
will bitcoin reach 78k february 23 march 1	2	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$1	02-27 17:34
bitcoin above 100k on february 4	1	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	02-02 17:17
will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	2	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	02-06 12:20
bitcoin above 88k on february 7	2	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	02-06 12:11
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	5	$100	200	200	+0	No	-$8	06-03 03:28
Will ETHGAS launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	01-19 13:32
bitcoin above 84k on january 7	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	01-06 21:05
bitcoin above 84k on march 23	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-22 03:25
will bitcoin reach 98k december 29 january 4	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-04 21:54
bitcoin above 80k on february 13	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-11 10:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	05-13 08:03
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$62	200	200	+0	No	-$2	06-03 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 03:11:13	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe8f501…
09-13 03:10:43	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87f51e…
09-13 03:10:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe47f8d…
09-01 12:02:18	Will the price of Solana be above $160 on September 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1dfcb…
09-01 12:01:03	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde385d…
09-01 11:59:13	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb84a6…
09-01 11:58:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc67c4…
09-01 11:58:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea5f3d…
09-01 11:58:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4c6dd…
08-17 13:49:07	bitcoin above 74k on august 20 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d36ea…
08-17 13:48:48	bitcoin above 70k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92dd8f…
08-17 13:48:31	bitcoin above 68k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa44e71…
08-09 09:54:07	bitcoin above 74k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbaae22…
08-09 09:53:00	bitcoin above 72k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6ca1b…
08-09 09:52:28	bitcoin above 68k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddb7c2…
08-02 02:08:02	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0b3b3…
08-02 02:07:32	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d2ce9…
08-02 02:07:02	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf32004…
07-18 13:53:54	bitcoin above 74k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37bec4…
07-18 13:53:24	bitcoin above 74k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b66b6…
07-18 13:53:07	bitcoin above 72k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53b20a…
07-18 13:52:54	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7165d6…
07-03 08:31:31	bitcoin above 70k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3e030…
07-03 08:31:17	bitcoin above 68k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e46d7…
07-03 08:31:02	bitcoin above 68k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ff5e3…
07-03 08:30:10	will xauusd reach 4400 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4dff19…
06-27 05:54:14	bitcoin above 70k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xf595bc…
06-27 05:54:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x211b5a…
06-27 05:53:49	bitcoin above 68k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38ab50…
06-20 08:14:08	will ethereum reach 2000 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x632d4f…
06-20 08:13:49	will bitcoin reach 70k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2ea0fd…
06-20 08:13:14	will solana reach 80 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc37105…
06-12 15:49:09	aapl above 325 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd46311…
06-12 15:48:31	will spy reach 765 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4dc2f6…
06-08 15:04:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	689	6¢	$45	0xa0dbd1…
06-08 15:04:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x0031af…
06-08 15:04:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,305	6¢	$85	0x1035ab…
06-08 14:09:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,690	6¢	$108	0x190337…
06-08 14:09:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x529b57…
06-08 14:09:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xad1753…
06-08 14:08:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x1e5cdd…
06-08 14:08:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xc9e6ec…
06-08 14:08:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd795dc…
06-08 14:07:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x806e72…
06-08 14:07:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$2	0x65b242…
06-08 14:07:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc98b49…
06-08 14:07:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xeb6293…
06-08 14:07:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x73843a…
06-08 14:06:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xfef8ff…
06-08 14:06:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x91f960…
06-08 14:06:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x46b2d3…
06-08 14:06:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x6100a6…
06-08 14:05:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x769e78…
06-08 14:05:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x73d5d0…
06-08 14:04:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xd5a8d7…
06-08 14:04:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xbd13c5…
06-08 14:03:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x1eeea9…
06-08 14:03:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x307304…
06-08 14:02:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x531f6c…
06-08 14:02:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x6f9f5b…
06-08 13:33:49	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x607a87…
06-08 10:55:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,582	6¢	$101	0x748f4f…
06-08 10:55:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xfe6188…
06-08 10:55:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x50e512…
06-08 10:55:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xe2a34a…
06-08 10:54:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x2d8726…
06-08 10:54:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xcb6ad1…
06-08 10:54:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x8fb932…
06-08 10:54:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x88b5ba…
06-08 10:54:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x4f97f0…
06-08 10:54:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x672bf7…
06-08 10:53:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xe6eb64…
06-08 10:53:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x662beb…
06-08 10:53:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x4f93a8…
06-08 10:52:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x34feb5…
06-08 10:52:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x56fc4a…
06-08 10:52:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x745872…
06-08 10:52:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xd1493b…
06-08 10:51:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x5b43f8…
06-08 10:51:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x361c79…
06-08 10:51:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x0bfe79…
06-08 10:50:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x70c2ed…
06-08 10:50:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x4c5125…
06-08 10:50:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xf7637f…
06-08 10:49:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xc041d2…
06-08 10:49:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xf7869c…
06-08 10:49:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x047692…
06-08 10:49:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xb047c5…
06-08 10:48:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x61d1cf…
06-08 10:48:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x20582d…
06-08 10:48:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x924d9d…
06-08 10:48:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xaee4de…
06-08 10:48:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x369f2b…
06-08 10:48:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x4da80e…
06-08 10:48:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x95dd61…
06-08 06:30:13	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt9b	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x47da57…
06-08 04:52:22	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x330b59…
06-08 04:49:21	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	36¢	$7	0x8e3acc…
06-08 03:58:51	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x9cd347…
06-07 20:22:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$65	0xb77da4…