Nonstop-Confidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$199

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-31 05:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

39% 58% -$1

Politics

37% 50% $0

Sports

24% 0% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	19	$4.3K	2,182	2,182	+0	No	+$0	04-20 05:49
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$1.5K	743	743	+0	open	—	05-24 04:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$542	271	271	+0	No	$0	04-21 05:55
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$521	262	262	+0	No	$0	05-16 08:25
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$520	263	263	+0	No	$0	05-12 03:40
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	2	$517	260	260	+0	No	+$0	05-07 07:38
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$515	259	259	+0	open	—	05-23 05:16
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$514	260	260	+0	No	$0	05-11 06:23
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$511	257	257	+0	open	—	05-19 06:57
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$510	257	257	+0	open	—	05-27 05:48
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$510	257	257	+0	open	—	05-21 12:13
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$506	254	254	+0	No	$0	05-14 07:19
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$506	255	255	+0	No	$0	05-10 08:51
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$503	253	253	+0	No	+$0	05-08 21:02
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$503	253	253	+0	open	—	05-21 03:43
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$501	252	252	+0	No	$0	05-15 07:22
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$491	247	247	+0	open	—	05-22 02:34
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$489	246	246	+0	open	—	05-21 12:10
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$488	248	248	+0	No	$0	05-13 10:30
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$486	245	245	+0	No	$0	05-28 15:43
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$484	244	244	+0	open	—	05-31 05:41
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$480	242	242	+0	No	$0	05-13 01:44
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$442	222	222	+0	open	—	05-26 04:26
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$402	205	205	+0	No	+$0	05-06 14:15
will super j8 synth auv3 be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 20	1	$75	76	0	+76	No	+$0	02-16 15:34
will capcut photo video editor be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 2	3	$69	70	0	+70	Yes	+$1	01-02 14:26
will paramount be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 30 391	1	$66	66	0	+66	No	+$0	01-29 05:57
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	5	$53	30	30	+0	Yes	-$3	01-16 08:20
will grok be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	2	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	01-21 12:53
will google be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	01-21 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 05:41:37	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	244	99¢	$242	0x377aae…
05-29 01:17:06	Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	244	99¢	$242	0xe0f92e…
05-28 15:43:01	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	245	99¢	$243	0xcd2ff3…
05-27 05:49:26	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	245	99¢	$243	0x9c261f…
05-27 05:48:26	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	257	99¢	$255	0xc217da…
05-26 04:26:53	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	257	99¢	$255	0x9700f3…
05-26 04:26:18	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	222	99¢	$221	0xf66292…
05-24 04:48:18	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$221	0x5c8f93…
05-24 04:47:36	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	248	99¢	$246	0xc552ac…
05-23 05:16:39	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	248	99¢	$247	0xdf0479…
05-23 05:16:22	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	259	99¢	$257	0xc1fd41…
05-22 02:36:22	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	259	99¢	$257	0x87a23d…
05-22 02:34:56	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	247	99¢	$245	0x8f4416…
05-21 12:14:35	Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	247	99¢	$246	0x816f75…
05-21 12:13:41	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	257	99¢	$255	0x8ea36f…
05-21 12:11:24	Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	257	99¢	$255	0x8ad8df…
05-21 12:10:58	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	246	99¢	$245	0xb9d9b8…
05-21 03:44:12	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	246	99¢	$245	0x8defd9…
05-21 03:43:00	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	253	99¢	$251	0x5ba891…
05-20 10:09:39	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	253	99¢	$252	0x8be64b…
05-20 10:09:12	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	245	99¢	$243	0x4848e9…
05-20 03:41:09	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	245	99¢	$243	0x10ca36…
05-20 03:39:11	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	250	99¢	$249	0x346648…
05-19 07:00:38	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$249	0x79e695…
05-19 06:57:51	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	257	99¢	$255	0x6e1bed…
05-17 02:44:57	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	257	99¢	$256	0x9db9f8…
05-16 08:25:43	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	262	99¢	$260	0x24b7c7…
05-15 07:22:54	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	262	99¢	$261	0xc72b55…
05-15 07:22:17	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	252	99¢	$250	0x793c0f…
05-14 07:19:41	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x4e0f7a…
05-14 07:19:25	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	254	99¢	$253	0x59f45a…
05-14 04:16:31	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	254	100¢	$253	0x7cfcf9…
05-13 10:30:18	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	248	98¢	$244	0x8d9dbc…
05-13 01:44:37	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	248	98¢	$244	0x774b9f…
05-13 01:44:18	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	242	99¢	$240	0xfad9f2…
05-12 03:41:30	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	242	99¢	$240	0xa91add…
05-12 03:40:59	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	263	99¢	$260	0x9edaa0…
05-11 06:24:44	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	263	99¢	$260	0xe9263f…
05-11 06:23:52	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	260	99¢	$257	0x0d9d70…
05-10 08:51:27	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	260	99¢	$257	0x814218…
05-10 08:51:03	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	255	99¢	$253	0xdf1487…
05-09 02:43:32	Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	255	99¢	$253	0x073970…
05-08 21:02:08	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	253	99¢	$252	0xc736cb…
05-08 07:24:59	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	253	99¢	$252	0x48f37c…
05-07 07:38:56	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0x047b14…
05-07 02:15:11	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0xe5985a…
05-06 14:15:48	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	205	98¢	$201	0x2e0963…
05-06 03:08:08	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$201	0x47dd86…
04-21 05:55:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	271	100¢	$271	0xce8ca2…
04-21 03:29:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$271	0x0c2cc3…
04-20 05:49:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	272	100¢	$271	0x1b7332…
04-19 16:41:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	272	100¢	$271	0x7caeb5…
04-18 04:49:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	273	100¢	$272	0x761b86…
04-18 03:24:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0x1b2ab6…
04-18 03:24:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	273	100¢	$272	0x1d17ab…
04-18 03:17:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$178	0x09c14d…
04-18 03:16:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xa50b76…
04-17 08:54:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	273	100¢	$272	0x709c9a…
04-17 08:39:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x58054c…
04-17 08:38:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0x96c377…
04-17 04:35:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	273	100¢	$272	0xa3d21b…
04-17 02:42:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0x91e0a3…
04-17 02:42:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$272	0x1aa14b…
04-17 00:42:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$272	0x6bc0e5…
04-16 03:06:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	272	99¢	$271	0x3afccb…
04-16 00:55:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	272	99¢	$271	0xdebaa4…
04-15 14:24:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x010bbd…
04-15 14:24:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	218	100¢	$217	0x477e4f…
04-14 09:34:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	270	99¢	$268	0xe8fc77…
02-16 15:34:11	will super j8 synth auv3 be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 20	No	BUY	76	100¢	$75	0x74a7ac…
02-01 09:46:50	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3852a9…
01-29 05:57:12	will paramount be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 30 391	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x30d4d2…
01-21 12:53:44	will google be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x130098…
01-21 12:53:30	will grok be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd98dbb…
01-21 12:53:22	will grok be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x653e1d…
01-16 08:20:46	will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x453561…
01-16 08:20:00	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x1e43e9…
01-14 13:37:56	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x90293b…
01-10 17:33:34	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1cc041…
01-10 15:08:02	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf52e23…
01-10 14:18:02	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4542d1…
01-10 13:24:50	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x524f9c…
01-02 14:26:45	will capcut photo video editor be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 2	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf3545a…
01-02 14:26:13	will capcut photo video editor be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 2	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3e4c20…
01-02 14:25:53	will capcut photo video editor be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 2	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe0b0c5…
01-02 14:25:21	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 2	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xbe7af0…