Realized P&L
+$41.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.29K
Hit rate
79.0%
Resolved
71
Trades
469
lifetime
Volume
$771.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.64K
Open exposure
$85.0K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-26 04:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
72% 68% +$24,841
Politics
23% 88% +$13,949
Tech
5% 100% +$2,084
Crypto
0% 100% +$527
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -31,368 -$29,297 98¢ $-30724 -$1,427 05-21 18:18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +33,226 $26,058 84¢ $28.1K +$2,018 09-18 10:35
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +22,841 $19,738 99¢ $22.6K +$2,875 10-15 11:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,400 -$1,993 96¢ $-2308 -$315 06-04 00:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +6,000 $1,123 12¢ $690 -$433 09-09 04:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +6,700 $938 6¢ $402 -$536 09-09 08:54
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +4,227 $1,074 4¢ $184 -$890 09-04 22:41