Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$761
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
225
lifetime
Volume
$378.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.68K
Open exposure
$88.2K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 06-14 12:38
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
75%
Politics
15%
Tech
10%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -33,036 $-29,404 97¢ $-32078 $-2,673 06-11 12:28
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +26,589 $24,098 87¢ $23.2K $-885 06-14 11:25
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +23,482 $12,143 60¢ $14.2K +$2,064 06-14 11:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +8,130 $6,737 84¢ $6.8K +$52 06-11 12:40
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -3,664 $-3,589 97¢ $-3560 +$30 06-14 11:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -3,610 $-2,962 82¢ $-2960 +$2 05-28 02:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,400 $-1,993 90¢ $-2172 $-179 06-04 00:06
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -1,470 $-1,436 98¢ $-1436 $-0 06-14 11:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -5,000 $-1,850 20¢ $-975 +$875 05-28 01:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,008 $857 80¢ $811 $-45 06-02 02:33