Bare-Mambo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$2.41K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

454

lifetime

Volume

$460.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.01K

Open exposure

$12.2K

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-26 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 100% +$10

Politics

37% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	+13,116	$9,657	90¢	$11.9K	+$2,213	06-09 01:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	+331	$-109	100¢	$330	+$439	06-16 15:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+28	$117	99¢	$28	$-88	06-26 08:52
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	06-01 07:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+23	$150	1¢	$0	$-150	06-25 03:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	16	$105.7K	54,640	54,640	+0	open	—	05-24 08:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	14	$39.3K	30,989	30,984	+5	open	—	05-24 13:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	26	$34.8K	35,807	910	+34,897	open	—	05-30 04:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$33.2K	25,087	25,087	+0	open	—	05-24 10:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	6	$30.9K	32,628	0	+32,628	open	—	04-18 14:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	35	$24.8K	31,656	31,604	+52	open	—	06-26 08:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$22.2K	11,690	11,690	+0	open	—	05-14 14:36
starmer out by june 15 2026	9	$16.6K	7,897	9,030	-1,133	open	—	06-08 11:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	31	$16.2K	8,724	8,393	+331	open	—	06-16 15:41
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$14.3K	7,897	7,897	+0	open	—	05-06 15:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	5	$12.5K	13,064	0	+13,064	open	—	04-25 06:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$12.0K	13,000	0	+13,000	open	—	04-26 13:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	12	$11.8K	12,226	0	+12,226	open	—	04-17 11:38
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$11.7K	11,966	0	+11,966	open	—	04-14 15:26
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$11.6K	7,143	4,947	+2,196	open	—	05-11 01:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	16	$9.7K	13,116	0	+13,116	open	—	06-09 01:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$7.6K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	04-14 15:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	36	$6.6K	5,069	4,957	+112	open	—	04-16 03:33
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$4.1K	4,537	0	+4,537	open	—	05-10 01:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	25	$4.1K	2,661	2,660	+1	open	—	04-17 13:17
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	2	$4.1K	4,087	0	+4,087	open	—	04-16 03:49
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$3.1K	4,100	0	+4,100	open	—	04-12 04:06
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	7	$3.1K	2,280	1,140	+1,140	open	—	04-13 22:52
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	4	$2.5K	1,338	1,333	+5	open	—	05-14 14:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$2.2K	1,539	1,539	+0	open	—	04-28 02:57
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	1	$1.5K	1,589	0	+1,589	open	—	04-20 08:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-17 13:16
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	3	$1.3K	1,297	0	+1,297	No	+$7	05-01 22:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$1.2K	1,306	0	+1,306	open	—	05-21 02:25
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	1	$1.2K	1,522	0	+1,522	open	—	06-24 21:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 08:52:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x01bfd9…
06-26 07:30:43	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfa9971…
06-26 07:18:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,954	88¢	$1,721	0x3ef838…
06-26 07:06:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,388	91¢	$1,257	0xa31e8c…
06-26 05:50:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x796cd7…
06-26 05:50:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	186	90¢	$168	0x361c61…
06-26 05:50:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	352	90¢	$318	0xdfd366…
06-25 06:15:13	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x61ea43…
06-25 03:54:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6,269	4¢	$263	0xc6e592…
06-25 01:10:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xce78ca…
06-25 01:10:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	113	5¢	$6	0x591cdb…
06-25 01:10:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	151	5¢	$8	0x27d9d1…
06-25 01:09:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xd943f8…
06-25 01:09:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	151	5¢	$8	0xc367fa…
06-25 01:09:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0x0b7626…
06-25 01:09:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	736	5¢	$38	0x1df824…
06-24 23:37:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9,357	5¢	$440	0x13b149…
06-24 23:37:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x075404…
06-24 23:36:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	691	5¢	$33	0xfa20ba…
06-24 23:34:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	94	5¢	$5	0x9034c1…
06-24 23:34:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	116	5¢	$6	0xec99c7…
06-24 23:34:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	148	5¢	$7	0xac633d…
06-24 23:34:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	211	5¢	$11	0xf7ef49…
06-24 23:34:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	468	5¢	$24	0x26d16e…
06-24 23:34:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	487	5¢	$25	0x3bc805…
06-24 23:33:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xcee6ab…
06-24 23:33:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	134	6¢	$7	0x60c3dd…
06-24 21:54:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc161e9…
06-24 21:54:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	13,211	5¢	$721	0xf2fe56…
06-24 21:54:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x860090…
06-24 21:54:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6,247	5¢	$325	0xbd90b2…
06-24 21:52:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,522	77¢	$1,177	0xb1a020…
06-24 21:43:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10,186	95¢	$9,634	0xc03c5b…
06-23 12:41:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	204	96¢	$195	0xa01787…
06-23 09:56:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10,000	95¢	$9,500	0x56456c…
06-23 09:00:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xafba74…
06-23 08:59:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xac714a…
06-21 12:09:53	labour leadership election scheduled by july 31	Yes	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x1c727c…
06-21 06:41:07	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	668	90¢	$603	0xf9ce83…
06-21 06:37:59	labour leadership election scheduled by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xd05869…
06-17 08:30:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4338d5…
06-17 08:24:32	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb8a5c8…
06-16 15:41:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	488	97¢	$474	0xd6898f…
06-16 12:13:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	805	97¢	$782	0xc51b43…
06-16 12:13:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	260	98¢	$254	0x36d6d5…
06-16 12:04:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x1b18be…
06-16 11:41:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	948	98¢	$931	0x62462d…
06-16 09:30:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	1,007	98¢	$989	0xb526f1…
06-16 09:07:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	3,182	98¢	$3,125	0xe34d3a…
06-15 23:02:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xcd2427…
06-15 23:02:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	170	97¢	$165	0xec1dfc…
06-15 23:00:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	115	97¢	$112	0x08f3f2…
06-15 15:30:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xad30b0…
06-15 14:58:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	408	98¢	$398	0x38c6f7…
06-15 14:58:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	212	98¢	$208	0xf9840c…
06-15 14:02:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x2ea895…
06-15 11:55:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	136	98¢	$132	0x748896…
06-15 11:54:21	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xe8feb4…
06-15 11:46:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd6165a…
06-15 11:21:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x621d74…
06-14 00:39:18	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x37de0e…
06-09 23:14:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	987	90¢	$887	0x3796e0…
06-09 01:23:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	680	64¢	$435	0x9c1622…
06-09 01:23:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	500	88¢	$440	0x141ffa…
06-09 00:29:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	578	71¢	$410	0xda33e9…
06-09 00:26:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	143	69¢	$99	0x7e76a8…
06-09 00:26:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	520	98¢	$509	0xaf53a3…
06-08 15:21:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0xa95151…
06-08 14:09:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	266	88¢	$233	0x0b2c0b…
06-08 14:08:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	90	87¢	$78	0x49f64a…
06-08 14:08:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1d9c72…
06-08 14:08:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x44b70c…
06-08 14:07:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	379	98¢	$371	0xd52d52…
06-08 11:37:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x315ad7…
06-08 11:30:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x4d84a3…
06-08 11:29:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	7,338	71¢	$5,186	0x329ca0…
06-08 11:28:21	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	6,100	99¢	$6,057	0x3dcafe…
06-08 06:41:40	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3f3411…
06-08 00:33:22	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	310	99¢	$308	0x3f6ab9…
06-08 00:26:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x5e1586…
06-08 00:26:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xad2fd9…
06-08 00:26:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x9f7f06…
06-07 23:29:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	1,842	78¢	$1,436	0x6c0612…
06-07 23:29:01	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	1,500	99¢	$1,488	0x8350b6…
06-07 23:27:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x5110ab…
06-07 23:16:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	240	78¢	$187	0x441475…
06-07 23:16:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0xb1973f…
06-07 23:15:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	427	94¢	$402	0xd8c171…
06-07 23:15:19	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	600	99¢	$595	0xe9d4d1…
06-07 23:14:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	134	77¢	$103	0xff6c91…
06-07 23:14:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	365	93¢	$340	0x581adc…
06-07 23:14:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0x69b296…
06-07 23:13:58	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x3664f1…
06-07 12:33:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	320	83¢	$266	0xab511e…
06-05 03:56:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	1,600	84¢	$1,344	0x00206a…
06-05 03:55:40	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	235	98¢	$231	0xb65cd1…
06-05 03:47:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	106	83¢	$88	0x11a0b7…
06-05 03:41:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	110	95¢	$105	0xd7d701…
06-05 01:52:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	3,290	95¢	$3,125	0x875eba…
06-05 01:47:16	starmer out by june 15 2026	No	BUY	800	97¢	$778	0x215171…