Bare-Mambo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$1.05K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

496

lifetime

Volume

$482.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$972

Open exposure

$15.0K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-08

last 07-19 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$10

Politics

35% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No		+20,471	$16,099	74¢	$15.0K	$-1,052	07-14 14:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	16	$105.7K	54,640	54,640	+0	open	—	05-24 08:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	14	$39.3K	30,989	30,984	+5	open	—	05-24 13:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	26	$34.8K	35,807	910	+34,897	open	—	05-30 04:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$33.2K	25,087	25,087	+0	open	—	05-24 10:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	6	$30.9K	32,628	0	+32,628	open	—	04-18 14:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	35	$24.8K	31,656	31,604	+52	open	—	06-26 08:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$22.2K	11,690	11,690	+0	open	—	05-14 14:36
starmer out by june 15 2026	9	$16.6K	7,897	9,030	-1,133	open	—	06-08 11:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	31	$16.2K	8,724	8,393	+331	open	—	06-16 15:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	21	$16.1K	20,471	0	+20,471	open	—	07-14 14:06
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$14.3K	7,897	7,897	+0	open	—	05-06 15:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	5	$12.5K	13,064	0	+13,064	open	—	04-25 06:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$12.0K	13,000	0	+13,000	open	—	04-26 13:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	12	$11.8K	12,226	0	+12,226	open	—	04-17 11:38
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$11.7K	11,966	0	+11,966	open	—	04-14 15:26
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$11.6K	7,143	4,947	+2,196	open	—	05-11 01:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	2	$7.6K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	04-14 15:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	36	$6.6K	5,069	4,957	+112	open	—	04-16 03:33
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	3	$5.3K	4,420	4,420	+0	open	—	07-14 13:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	5	$4.4K	3,386	1,110	+2,276	open	—	07-16 13:54
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	11	$4.3K	5,248	0	+5,248	open	—	07-19 11:10
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$4.1K	4,537	0	+4,537	open	—	05-10 01:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	25	$4.1K	2,661	2,660	+1	open	—	04-17 13:17
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	2	$4.1K	4,087	0	+4,087	open	—	04-16 03:49
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$3.1K	4,100	0	+4,100	open	—	04-12 04:06
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	7	$3.1K	2,280	1,140	+1,140	open	—	04-13 22:52
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	4	$2.5K	1,338	1,333	+5	open	—	05-14 14:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$2.2K	1,539	1,539	+0	open	—	04-28 02:57
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	1	$1.5K	1,589	0	+1,589	open	—	04-20 08:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-17 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 11:10:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x181f99…
07-19 08:11:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	2,400	82¢	$1,968	0xb4708d…
07-19 08:08:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	1,081	81¢	$876	0xb8f5d5…
07-19 00:23:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x933556…
07-18 23:49:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	86	79¢	$68	0x8dfc52…
07-18 23:29:39	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	370	90¢	$334	0xee0dea…
07-18 11:32:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x4134a0…
07-18 11:32:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	256	91¢	$232	0xf52efd…
07-17 23:24:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0xa2c343…
07-17 23:24:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x4086f9…
07-17 23:23:37	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x909b88…
07-17 10:12:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0xee36e6…
07-17 09:47:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x5147f9…
07-17 09:47:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	49	89¢	$44	0xc3b323…
07-17 09:27:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	379	90¢	$339	0x350b7d…
07-17 09:21:01	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	264	81¢	$214	0xc9a933…
07-17 00:41:07	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	227	91¢	$206	0x290aac…
07-17 00:38:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	255	82¢	$209	0x34ec9c…
07-16 23:45:58	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	130	90¢	$117	0x0a5835…
07-16 23:44:50	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0x393280…
07-16 13:55:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	888	84¢	$746	0xdc3379…
07-16 13:54:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0x241d71…
07-16 13:49:07	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	102	83¢	$85	0x8b6591…
07-14 14:06:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	1,500	84¢	$1,260	0x393dfc…
07-14 13:16:31	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4,420	24¢	$1,062	0xb69b02…
07-12 00:21:10	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xb28427…
07-11 23:49:41	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	105	83¢	$87	0xaae0dc…
07-11 12:58:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x0ba4c4…
07-11 07:28:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x48e19c…
07-11 07:25:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x57ce98…
07-11 00:27:14	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2a71e3…
07-11 00:24:32	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc936e9…
07-09 03:20:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x3421d5…
07-08 16:51:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	3,542	89¢	$3,152	0x02436e…
07-08 16:03:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	1,799	88¢	$1,583	0xabb458…
07-08 16:03:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	399	87¢	$347	0x011445…
07-08 12:33:10	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5d93da…
07-08 05:39:26	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x4c0f68…
07-08 03:48:50	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4,220	97¢	$4,093	0x3d5026…
07-02 09:29:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1,466	99¢	$1,444	0x19a311…
07-02 04:57:16	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x52c440…
07-02 00:29:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1,920	99¢	$1,893	0x4e9fd8…
06-26 08:52:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x01bfd9…
06-26 07:30:43	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfa9971…
06-26 07:18:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,954	88¢	$1,721	0x3ef838…
06-26 07:06:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,388	91¢	$1,257	0xa31e8c…
06-26 05:50:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x796cd7…
06-26 05:50:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	186	90¢	$168	0x361c61…
06-26 05:50:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	352	90¢	$318	0xdfd366…
06-25 06:15:13	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x61ea43…
06-25 03:54:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6,269	4¢	$263	0xc6e592…
06-25 01:10:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xce78ca…
06-25 01:10:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	113	5¢	$6	0x591cdb…
06-25 01:10:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	151	5¢	$8	0x27d9d1…
06-25 01:09:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xd943f8…
06-25 01:09:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	151	5¢	$8	0xc367fa…
06-25 01:09:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0x0b7626…
06-25 01:09:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	736	5¢	$38	0x1df824…
06-24 23:37:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	9,357	5¢	$440	0x13b149…
06-24 23:37:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x075404…
06-24 23:36:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	691	5¢	$33	0xfa20ba…
06-24 23:34:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	94	5¢	$5	0x9034c1…
06-24 23:34:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	116	5¢	$6	0xec99c7…
06-24 23:34:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	148	5¢	$7	0xac633d…
06-24 23:34:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	211	5¢	$11	0xf7ef49…
06-24 23:34:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	468	5¢	$24	0x26d16e…
06-24 23:34:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	487	5¢	$25	0x3bc805…
06-24 23:33:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xcee6ab…
06-24 23:33:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	134	6¢	$7	0x60c3dd…
06-24 21:54:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc161e9…
06-24 21:54:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	13,211	5¢	$721	0xf2fe56…
06-24 21:54:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x860090…
06-24 21:54:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6,247	5¢	$325	0xbd90b2…
06-24 21:52:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,522	77¢	$1,177	0xb1a020…
06-24 21:43:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10,186	95¢	$9,634	0xc03c5b…
06-23 12:41:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	204	96¢	$195	0xa01787…
06-23 09:56:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10,000	95¢	$9,500	0x56456c…
06-23 09:00:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xafba74…
06-23 08:59:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xac714a…
06-21 12:09:53	labour leadership election scheduled by july 31	Yes	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x1c727c…
06-21 06:41:07	labour leadership election scheduled by december 31 2026 511	Yes	BUY	668	90¢	$603	0xf9ce83…
06-21 06:37:59	labour leadership election scheduled by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xd05869…
06-17 08:30:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4338d5…
06-17 08:24:32	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb8a5c8…
06-16 15:41:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	488	97¢	$474	0xd6898f…
06-16 12:13:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	805	97¢	$782	0xc51b43…
06-16 12:13:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	260	98¢	$254	0x36d6d5…
06-16 12:04:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x1b18be…
06-16 11:41:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	948	98¢	$931	0x62462d…
06-16 09:30:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	1,007	98¢	$989	0xb526f1…
06-16 09:07:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	3,182	98¢	$3,125	0xe34d3a…
06-15 23:02:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xcd2427…
06-15 23:02:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	170	97¢	$165	0xec1dfc…
06-15 23:00:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	115	97¢	$112	0x08f3f2…
06-15 15:30:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xad30b0…
06-15 14:58:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	408	98¢	$398	0x38c6f7…
06-15 14:58:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	212	98¢	$208	0xf9840c…
06-15 14:02:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x2ea895…
06-15 11:55:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	136	98¢	$132	0x748896…
06-15 11:54:21	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xe8feb4…